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Lafayette College Investment Club September 5, 2014
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Overview 1. Introductions 2. Career Services 3. What is the Investment Club? 4. Market Update (What You Missed This Summer…) 5. Why JOIN?
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Introductions Name Year Major Position Previous Experience Club Involvement
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Career Services
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What Is the Investment Club? Independently run equity based student portfolio of over $500K Purpose: Provide students the opportunity to get involved and excited about financial industry Engage members through pitches, market analysis, and other informational presentations
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Opportunities Market Updates Financial Analysis Industry Insight Networking
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Market Update WHAT A BLEEPING SUMMER! WHAT’S GOING ON THIS WEEK?
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ECB Negative Interest Rates Historical move for a big central bank From zero-interest-rate policy (ZIRP) to NIRP Cheap medium term loans for lending to Eurozone businesses As expected the US dollar strengthened by 1.5% against the Euro a few hours later WHY would they do it? Stimulate economic growth June
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ECB Negative Interest Rates >>>>> FAST FORWARD A FEW MONTHS Further lowered deposit rates -0.2% Other programs to produce more economic stimulus (eg: ABS purchase program)
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US GDP Growth Numbers June GDP expanded at 4.2% rate in second quarter Personal consumption, private investments, exports, and government spending Some economists believe these results are nothing too impressive Year GDP could possible reach just a 2% growth because of Q1 decline.
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Summer Unemployment Rates July employment report was modestly disappointing, with payrolls rising 209,000 compared to expectations of 230,000 Unemployment rate went from 6.1% in June to a small rise to 6.2% in July, as participation increased Recent date shows that participation rate is starting to increase as a strong labor market draws candidates back to the job hunt FED believes that “there remains significant underutilization of labor resources” July
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Rough Summer for International Markets Argentina Faced default to bondholders for the second time in 13 years Argentine stocks plunged as expected No repercussions but raised concerns about Emerging Market Economies and investing July-August BES (Portugal) Bank files for bankruptcy protection Hidden, under the table dealings led to huge losses Resolved and split into two banks: good, bad
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Geopolitical Risk Rises for Global Investors Jan 2014 – political crises have rocked the news Crises have had minimal lasting impact on markets Underestimated risks and volatility (due to abundant liquidity) 28% of investors identified geopolitics as the biggest risk, compared to 14% in June
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What Happened This Week The dollar has climbed as the Fed gets closer to raising rates, helped by the possible further loosening of monetary policy by European and Japanese central banks Consumer prices in the euro zone dropped to 5 year lows Dollar General raised its offer for Family Dollar – contemplating a hostile bid Goldman Sachs loaned Portuguese bank Espirito Santo $835 million after near collapse Barclays is selling its Spanish retail-bank unit for $1 billion Tesla Motors has selected the state of Nevada to house its new $5 billion dollar “gigafactory” The S&P continues to hover around the 2,000 mark
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Why JOIN?
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Next Meeting September 12 th 12:15 Simon Basement
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