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Published byStewart Armstrong Modified over 9 years ago
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0 Economic & Market Overview US and Fairfield County March 1, 2011
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1 1 Executive Summary ■The US recession ended in June 2009. –Employment-the key driver of real estate markets bottomed in February 2010. –The economy has added 1.0 million jobs since then. –1.3 Million private sector jobs. –Unemployment rate at 9.0% in January, down from 9.7% a year earlier. –Employment leading indicators suggest growth is accelerating ■CT/Fairfield Economic Performance –Waiting for Recovery ■Fairfield Real Estate Market –Modest improvement
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2 2 GDP Growth Percent Change From a Year Ago Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
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3 3 Consumer Spending Growth Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Percent Change From a Year Ago
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4 4 Business Investment Growth Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Percent Change From a Year Ago
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5 5 Real Disposable Income Growth Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Percent Change From a Year Ago
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6 University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment Source: University of Michigan Survey Research Center
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7 University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment Source: University of Michigan Survey Research Center
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8 US Unemployment Rate Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
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9 US Weekly Unemployment Claims
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10 Profits & Employment
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11 US Payroll Employment Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics 12/07-2/10 -8.7 Mil. 2/10-1/11 +1.0 Mil.
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12 US Private Sector Payroll Employment Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics 12/07-2/10 -8.8 Mil. 2/10-1/11 +1.3 Mil.
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13 Fairfield County Unemployment Rate Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
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14 Fairfield County Payroll Employment Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Thousands of Persons
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15 Connecticut Payroll Employment Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Thousands of Persons
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16 Fairfield County Office Using Employment Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Thousands of Persons
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17 NYC Employment Financial Services Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Thousands of Persons
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18 Fairfield County Financial Services Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics Thousands of Persons
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19 Fairfield County Manufacturing Employment
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20 Personal Income Growth: Connecticut vs. US Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Percent Change From a Year Ago
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21 Fairfield County Market Inventory Dec 2010 Vacancy Rate Dec 2010 Asking Rent Dec 2010 Yr-Over-Yr Rent % Change Fairfield County40.9 msf19.1%$32.24-3.0 % Stamford CBD6.8 msf23.1%$41.07-0.4 % Stamford Suburbs8.4 msf22.7%$30.22-8.3 % Greenwich4.3 msf19.6%$58.06+4.3 %
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22 Fairfield County Office Market New Leasing Activity
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23 Fairfield Office Market: Vacancy Rate
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24 Fairfield County Office Market: Sublease as a % of total available space All Classes
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25 Overall Asking Rents Fairfield County Office Market $/sf
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26 FAIRFIELD COUNTY CLASS A MARKET FORECAST FORECAST
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27 107 Elm Street Four Stamford Plaza, 8th Floor Stamford, CT 06902-3851 (203) 326-5800 www.cushwake.com
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