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Technical Analysis © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Disclaimer The information and material provided at MUTIS is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial product advice. The views of the speakers are their own and not those of MUTIS. MUTIS does not represent or warrant that the information or material is complete or accurate. You should consider obtaining independent advice before making any financial decisions. If you are seeking advice (including a recommendation or opinion) about a financial product you should consult a certified financial advisor. To the extent permitted by law, no responsibility for any loss arising in any way (including by way of negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of the information or material is accepted by MUTIS © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Objective To provide the basic framework of technical analysis so as to improve financial literacy among our members and increase participation among the MUTIS community. © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Why Use of historical price action to forecast future price movements Value lies in forecasting/anticipation © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Contents Types of chart Support & resistance © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Types of charts Line Bar Candlestick © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Line Connects a single price Uses only one of the following Open High Low Mid Close (DEFAULT) © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Line Pros Gives a simplistic & overall view of price Line studies are easy to conduct Cons Insufficient information © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Bar Shows open high low close together © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Bar Pros Has sufficient information Cons Messy © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Candlestick Has sufficient information Highly visual Provides sentiment analysis Preferred chart for analysis © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Candlestick Pros Highly visual Provides sentiment analysis Cons Increased subjectivity More information = more analysis © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Candlestick Unnecessary to know patterns and names Patterns are either Bullish Bearish Neutral © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Support & Resistance Support Psychological price level of BUYING Resistance Psychological price level of SELLING Round numbers (e.g. DJIA 10000, SP 1400) © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Support & Resistance Reminder Value is in forecasting/anticipation Technical analysis always looks good on hindsight Without anticipation it has no value Obvious only when it works out © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Support & Resistance Resistance can turn into support and vice-versa Traders wait for the breakout of a range and buy into the breakout at the former resistance Sellers are resistance miss out on opportunity Same with support © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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RESISTANCE SUPPORT
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Contents Trends Trend lines Trend channel Range © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trends Uptrend Higher High, Higher Low Downtrend Lower High, Lower Low Swing points © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trend Lines Minimum 2 touch at swing points Extrapolate to forecast support/resistance © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trend Lines Uptrend Lines connect the swing lows Downtrend Lines connect the swing high © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trend Line Trend lines extrapolated can provide clues to future support/resistance Trend lines can and will always be broken in due time Broken trend lines indicates a weakening trend © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trend Channels Duplicate the trend line and connect it to the opposite swing points Creates a channel that contains price (support & resistance) Exceeding the opposite trend line is a sign of climaxes © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Trend Channel Overshoots
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Range Also known as SIDEWAYS TREND It is a type of trend, NOT an uptrend or downtrend “The market is trending sideways” or “The market is range bound” Remember there are 3 types of trend: Up, down, sideways © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Range Usually sandwiched between two price zones Support & Resistance Ranges provide opportunities for traders to trade extremes Traders also identify a range and anticipate breakouts to trade © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Range Resistance can turn into support and vice-versa Traders wait for the breakout of a range and buy into the breakout at the former resistance Sellers are resistance miss out on opportunity Same with support © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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Thank You © Copyright 2012 MUTIS. All rights reserved 2012.
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