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Global Dairy Overview & Outlook April 3, 2012
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2 Hoogwegt Groep BV Founded in 1965, based in Arnhem, The Netherlands International marketers of dairy ingredients & commodities Largest private dairy trading company with global network of 13 distinct business units
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3 Worldwide network Hoogwegt International Hoogwegt Milk Havero Hoogwegt Hoogwegt Cheese Apollo Milk Rumi Rumi Algeria Hoogwegt Poland Hoogwegt U.S., Inc. Good Home Foods LLC Hoogwegt Purchases Hoogwegt Australia Pacific Dairy Ingredients
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4 A True Global View Hoogwegt - A True Global View Active in all major producing and consuming markets Export to over 110 countries worldwide Network provides Hoogwegt with critical market access and market information Rich history of trading skills and volatility management
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5 Outline International trade landscape Implications for U.S. dairy industry U.S. is at a crossroads
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6 Milk Production Sources: EuroStat, USDA, DCANZ, DairyAustralia, Argentine Secretary of Agriculture, GTIS. EU and Argentina are milk deliveries.
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7 Milk Production – Major Exporters Source: EuroStat, USDA, DCANZ, DairyAustralia, Argentine Secretary of Agriculture. EU and Argentina are milk deliveries.
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8 Dairy Product Production – Major Exporters Source: USDA
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9 Dairy Product Production – Major Exporters Source: USDA
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10 Dairy Product Production – Major Exporters Source: USDA
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11 Whole Milk Powder Exports Source: GTIS
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12 Whole Milk Powder Imports Source: GTIS; Algeria and Venezuela extrapolated from partial-year numbers.
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13 Skim Milk Powder Exports Source: GTIS
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14 Skim Milk Powder Imports Source: GTIS. Algeria extrapolated from 11-month numbers.
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15 Cheese Exports Source: GTIS
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16 Cheese Imports Source: GTIS
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17 Butterfat Exports Source: GTIS
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18 Butterfat Imports Source: GTIS. Iran data unavailable for 2005-08.
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19 Whey Products Exports Source: GTIS
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20 Whey Products Imports Source: GTIS; Indonesia extrapolated from partial-year numbers.
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21 Aggregate Imports Includes WMP, SMP, cheese, butterfat and whey products. Source: GTIS. Algeria extrapolated from 11-month numbers.
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22 Aggregate Imports Includes WMP, SMP, cheese and butterfat. Source: FAPRI. SE Asia includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam. ME/NA includes Algeria, Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
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23 Benchmark Prices Source: USDA’s “Dairy Market News.” WMP, SMP, cheese and butter are Oceania. Whey is EU.
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24 Benchmark Prices Source: USDA’s “Dairy Market News.” WMP, SMP, cheese and butter are Oceania. Whey is EU.
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25 Global Marketplace: Current Situation
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26 Implications for the United States Source: USDA, USDA’s “Dairy Market News.”
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27 Volatility
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28 In truth, it’s tough playing in the global market
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29 Why is U.S. behind EU and Oceania in the global market? Export vs. customer? Policy – support & CCC? Federal order pricing – discourages investment? Large internal market – exportable volumes? Last in, first out
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30 Opportunities Source: U.S. Dairy Export Council/National Milk Producers Federation
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31 Need international customers if we want to grow
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32 Fast-food chain growth In emerging markets Non-U.S. stores (2010) Change from 2009 McDonald’s18,710+212 KFC11,798+696 Subway10,109+1,067 Pizza Hut5,890+175 Starbucks5,727+220 Burger King4,998+170 Domino’s4,422+350 Dunkin’ Donuts3,005+908 Dairy Queen802+154
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33 Conclusions … we are at a crossroads
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34 Embrace and Adapt …
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35 Change…
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36 Policy must promote innovation, investment and growth
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37 Thank you. Global Dairy Overview and Outlook Dairy Policy Annual Conference Dalyn Dye President and CEO, Hoogwegt U.S., Inc. April 3, 2012 d.dye@hoogwegtus.com
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