1. Setting the context

2. Introduction Welcome & Acknowledgement Background Workshops  action plan General Manager’s support Housekeeping Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles [Insert Council logo]

3. Purpose Developing a Climate Change Action Plan Program Keeping to time Respectful discussion Climate change deniers? Introductions Evaluation forms Introduction

4. Progress Gain internal support Steering Committee Meeting 1 -Develop a planning program Steering Committee Meeting 1 -Develop a planning program Workshop 1 -Introduction Workshop 1 -Introduction Steering Committee Meeting 2 -Research adaptation options Steering Committee Meeting 2 -Research adaptation options Steering Committee Meeting 4 -Action plan Steering Committee Meeting 4 -Action plan Steering Committee Meeting 5 -Review Steering Committee Meeting 5 -Review Steering Committee Meeting 3 -Mitigation Workshop 4 -Mitigation actions Workshop 4 -Mitigation actions Identify Planning Team Workshop 2 -Risk assessment Workshop 2 -Risk assessment Workshop 3 -Adaptation actions Workshop 3 -Adaptation actions

5. Expected outcomes Participants will : Understand sources of uncertainty for projections Appreciate projected impacts for the region Describe potential impacts for the LGA and council Record likely impacts, assumptions and decisions

6. Projections Projections based on modelling by the IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC assesses the most recent scientific, technical and socio-economic information 2,500 scientific expert reviewers for Fourth Assessment Report, 2007 Rajendra Pachauri, Then Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2009. Photo by the UN.

7. Uncertainty of projections Climate change projections are not certain. Projections are uncertain because: Future emissions are unknown The relationship between the level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere & global warming is uncertain The link between global warming & localised climate change is uncertain

8. Uncertainty should not stop action Councils should apply the precautionary principle and not use lack of certainty as an excuse to delay action planning: Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost- effective measures to prevent environmental degradation. Principle 15 of the ‘Rio Declaration on Environment and Development’ United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio, 1992.

9. Source: Environmental Defenders Office http://www.edo.org.au/edosa/publications/newsletter/edo%20newsletter%20october% 202005.htm http://www.edo.org.au/edosa/publications/newsletter/edo%20newsletter%20october% 202005.htm

10. Managing uncertainty Uncertainty can be managed by regularly updating climate change action plans (i.e. adaptive management) Risk assessment and adaptation planning should be completed based on projected trends and revisited rather than setting permanent values

11. Projections could be conservative Actual emissions are at the upper end of all projections Steffen, W. 2009

12. Temperature projections Likely impact - NSWSource TemperatureYear: Projection: Likely impact – This RegionSource TemperatureYear: Projection: www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

13. Rainfall projections Likely impact - NSWSource Summer Rainfall Year: Projection: Winter Rainfall Year: Projection: Likely impact – This RegionSource Summer Rainfall Year: Projection: Winter Rainfall Year: Projection: www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

14. Projected extreme events Likely impact - NSWSource Extreme Rainfall Year: Projection: Storm surgeYear: Projection: Days over 35°C Year: Projection: CyclonesYear: Projection: Fire daysYear: Projection: www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au

15. Projected sea level rise Likely impact - NSWSource Sea level rise 2030: +17cmCSIRO 2006 Sea level rise 2050: +40cm 2100: +90cm DECCW 2009 Damage to beach access, Wooli, May 2009 (Photo by Scott Lenton)

16. Current and Projected Climate Change in the Catchment Area – Temperature (CSIRO, 2007) 199020302070 Average (deg C) No. days below 0 deg C No. days above 35 deg C No. days above 40 deg C

17. Current and Projected Climate Change in the Catchment Area – Rainfall (CSIRO, 2007) 199020302070 Annual average (mm) Extreme rainfall Evaporation No. droughts per decade

18. Local example

19. Social information

20. Stakeholders Consulting: Informing:

21. Any questions?

22. Exercise How climate change may impact on Council Specifically, impacts on: Service delivery Related services and service providers Personnel General public Systems and equipment Administration and support

23. Exercise – ‘Drawing out the Impacts’ Consider a specific point in the future (e.g. 2030, 2050, 2070) Think laterally On the maps, draw how projected climate changes may impact the LGA Record your assumptions and decisions in the template Present your map Develop a list of agreed impacts

24. Agreed impacts

25. Achievements from the workshop During the workshop we have: Described how climate change will impact the LGA and council Recorded our assumptions and decisions Developed a list of agreed impacts as a group that can be used in the risk assessment workshop

26. Conclusion Thank you Evaluation forms

27. References IPCC, 2000, Special Report: Emissions Scenarios: Summary for Policymakers http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdfhttp://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf (visited December, 2009) IPCC, 2009, http://www.ipcc.ch/organization/organization.htm (visited December, 2009)http://www.ipcc.ch/organization/organization.htm Rio Declaration on Environment and Development 1992 http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentI D=78&ArticleID=1163 (visited December, 2009) http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentI D=78&ArticleID=1163 Steffen, W., 2009 Climate Change 2009: Faster Change & More Serious Risks. http://www.anu.edu.au/climatechange/wp- content/uploads/2009/07/climate-change-faster-change-and-more- serious-risks-final.pdf (visited December, 2009)http://www.anu.edu.au/climatechange/wp- content/uploads/2009/07/climate-change-faster-change-and-more- serious-risks-final.pdf