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HOW CAN THEY BE TYPIFIED? Trajectories of delinquent behaviour of institutionalized girls. September, 2008 European Society of Criminology Thessa Wong VU University Amsterdam
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Overview of Presentation Methods Trajectories Type of offences in each of the trajectories Type of girls in each of the trajectories Conclusion
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Methods Who are the girls? Harreveld: juvenile justice institution in The Netherlands Residential treatment Discharged Jan. ’92 – Dec. ’95 Minimal length of stay: 2 months Complete treatment dossier = 147 girls
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Methods What is measured? Judicial documentation Age: 12 – 33 (March, 2008) Dossier variables Psychological factors (intelligence, personality, disorders) Substance abuse Family factors (criminal models, parental neglect, divorce) Peer factors (delinquent friends, contact with peers)
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Analyses Group based trajectory models Maximum likelihood estimation Cross-tabs
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Trajectories 4 group model
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Trajectories Adolescent Limited (42.9%)
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Trajectories Low Desistance (45.6%)
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Trajectories High Desistance (7.5%)
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Trajectories Late Onset (4.1%)
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Type of Offences Adolescent Limited (42.9%) 63 girls Commited 4.1% (27) of total offences 74.1% property offenses 11.1% violent offenses 11.1% public order
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Type of Offences Low Desistance (45.6%) 67 girls Committed 38.3% (251) of all offenses 36.3% property offences 18.7% violent offences (committed by 40%) 12% public order offence More drugs offences than other groups More traffic offences than other groups
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Type of Offences High Desistance (7.5%) 11 girls Committed 35% (229) of all offenses 49.3% property offences 12.7% violent offences 14.8% public order offences More weapon use than other groups
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Type of Offences Late Onset (4.1%) 6 girls Committed 22.6% (148) of total offenses 54.1% property offences 9.5% violent offences 6.1% public order offences
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Type of Girls In general Highly neurotic Highly impulsive Highly thrill seeking 80% depressed Around 9% attempted suicide Around 65% used drugs Not many alcohol abusers 30-45% sexual abused Only 3 girls normal parent-child relationship
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Type of Girls Adolescent Limited (42.9%) Average intelligence Low self-esteem 2/3 problems with aggression regulation Better social skills than girls other groups 1/3 personality disorder (MOST) Less negative life events Moderate contact with peers 57.1% delinquent friends 18% from divorced family
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Type of Girls Adolescent Limited (42.9%) In combination with offending behaviour Individual and environmental factors least problematic for this group And so is delinquent behaviour Personality disorders
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Type of Girls Low Desistance (45.6%) Average intelligence Low self-esteem 2/3 problems with aggression regulation Bad to very bad social skills Almost no girls with personality disorder Many negative life events (less than HD) Bad to moderate contact with peers 69% delinquent friends 37% from divorced family
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Type of Girls Low Desistance (45.6%) In combination with offending behaviour: Individual and environmental factors quite problematic, but Minor delinquent behaviour Except violent behaviour Threshold?
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Type of Girls High Desistance (7.5%) Low intelligent 100% problems with regulating aggression Very bad social skills Very low self esteem Very bad contact with peers ¾ delinquent friends 100% experienced negative life events 36% from divorced family
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Type of Girls High Desistance (7.5%) In combination with offending behaviour Most ‘typical’ delinquents Profile similar to Low Desisters, but more negative However, big difference in frequency of offending Threshold
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Type of Girls Late Onset (4.1%) High intelligent Low self esteem Not really good social skills No personality disorders Delinquent friends Relatively little negative life events No really good contact with peers No divorce
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Type of Girls Late Onset (4.1%) In combination with offending behaviour More difficult to typify because of small n Relatively little risk factors High impressionable?
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Conclusion Clearly different groups of girls Most girls do not cause a lot of problems (88%!) Correct expectation recidivism by institution
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