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Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com 164 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 ~ 617/722-9916 www.pinnacle-advisory.com OUTLOOK 2007
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NATIONAL LODGING MARKET
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Total U.S. Monthly Room Supply – Seasonally Adjusted January 1989 to April 2006 Source: Smith Travel Research CAGR – 2.065% CAGR 3.5% CAGR 0.8% 4.4 Million Rooms 3.1 Million Rooms
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Source: Smith Travel Research Peak CAGR – 2.7% CAGR – 2.061% 6.1% Total U.S.Monthly Room Demand – Seasonally Adjusted January 1989 to April 2006
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Total United States Occupancy Percent 2002 – 2007P Source: Smith Travel Research
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Total United States ADR Percent Change 2002 – 2007P Source: Smith Travel Research
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Total United States RevPAR Percent Change 2002 – 2006P Source: Smith Travel Research
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Top 25 Market Areas – Occupancy Percent 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research
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Top 25 Market Areas – Average Daily Rate 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research
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Top 25 Market Areas – RevPAR 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research
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Key 15 Markets RevPAR Percent Change April 2006 YTD Year-over-Year 3.5 7.2 7.5 9.0 9.9 10.0 10.7 11.1 11.5 11.6 12.4 15.5 16.6 17.6 17.8 20.0 2.4 0510152025 Washington Philadelphia Orlando All Other Markets Total US New York Los Angeles San Diego Top 25 Markets Miami Phoenix Boston San Francisco Honolulu Atlanta Dallas Chicago Source: Smith Travel Research
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SUBURBAN BOSTON LODGING MARKET
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Suburban Boston Occupancy 1996 - 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston Average Daily Rate 1996-2005 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston RevPAR 1996 - 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston Supply and Demand 1999 - 2005 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston Occupancy YTD May 2004 - 2006 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston Average Daily Rate YTD May 2004 - 2006 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Suburban Boston RevPAR YTD May 2004 - 2006 Source: Smith Travel Research/Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Hilton Garden Inn – Plymouth – 130 Rooms – May Hampton Inn and Suites – Plymouth - 122-rooms – August Residence Inn – Marlborough – 112 Rooms - October Residence Inn – Norwood – 96 Rooms – November Suburban Boston New Supply 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Improving Economy Stronger Office Market Limited New Supply Compression Suburban Boston 2006
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20052006Change Occupancy60%62%3.9% Average Rate$96.13$100.945.0% RevPAR$57.39$62.589.0% Suburban Boston Projections 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Limited New Supply Slightly less Compression Improved Economy Conversions Suburban Boston 2007
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20062007Change Occupancy62%63%1.6% Average Rate$100.94$105.985.0% RevPAR$62.58$66.776.7% Suburban Boston Projections 2007 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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BOSTON CAMBRIDGE LODGING MARKET
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Boston / Cambridge Occupancy 1989-2005 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge ADR 1989-2005 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge RevPAR 1989-2005 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge Supply and Demand 1989-2005 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge Occupancy YTD May 2004-2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge ADR YTD May 2004-2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge RevPAR YTD May 2004-2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge Change In RevPAR 1996 – YTD May 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge Change In RevPAR By Market Area 2005 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Boston / Cambridge Change In Performance By Market Area YTD May 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Westin Headquarters Hotel – Waterfront – 790 Rooms – June Intercontinental – Downtown - 424-rooms - November Boston / Cambridge New Supply 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Charles Street Jail – Beacon Hill – 308 Rooms - May Renaissance – 477 Rooms – Waterfront District – December Boston / Cambridge New Supply 2007 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Continued Strong Corporate Growth Anticipated 2006 Record Convention Year 2007 Slightly behind 2006 Winter Advertising Campaign will help off-season Leisure Boston / Cambridge Demand Factors Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Strong increases in other national markets Momentum from 2006 Likely to Carry-Over to 2007 Luxury Orientation of New Product Will Help Large Citywides and Continued Strong demand will Help Compression Boston / Cambridge Average Rates Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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Several Regional Executives 5-7% RevPAR Growth Pinnacle Operator’s Survey 2007 Outlook Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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20052006Change Occupancy75%78%4.1% Average Rate$175.20$192.7210% RevPAR$131.22$150.3214.6% Boston Cambridge Projections 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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20062007Change Occupancy78%77%-1.2% Average Rate$192.72$204.946.3% RevPAR$150.32$157.945.1% Boston Cambridge Projections 2006 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
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164 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 ~ 617/722-9916 238 South State Street, Newtown, PA 18940 ~ 215/579-1804 3418 Norfolk Street, Pompano Beach, FL 33062 ~ 954/786-2019 www.pinnacle-advisory.com PINNACLE ADVISORY GROUP
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