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THE MARKETS REACT NEW ORLEANS / SOUTH LOUISIANA Charles H. Peterson, CRE
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THE MARKET
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2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA 2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA CBDSuburbanTOTAL Class A8,796,000 SF2,046,000 SF10,842,000 SF Class B852,000 SF1,710,000 SF2,562,000 SF TOTAL9,648,000 SF3,756,000 SF13,404,000 SF Sources: The Sossaman Report Corporate Realty, Inc.
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ANALYSIS OF MAJOR TENANTS NEW ORLEANS CBD ENERGY/RESOURCES35% LEGAL29% BANKING/FINANCE17% GOVERNMENT12% OTHER 7% Source: Corporate Realty, Inc.
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CBD Class A3,840,000 SF Class B2,853,000 SF TOTAL6,693,000 SF 2009 MARKET BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA Source: Baton Rouge Trends
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2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA PRE-KATRINA NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA Steady market… no growth No significant new commercial office building since 1991 Slight negative absorption of 175,000 SF between 2001 and mid-2005 Occupancy stayed flat High 80% range for CBD Class A Low 90% range for Suburban Class A and Class B 70% range for CBD Class B Rates were generally flat for the same period (2001 to mid-2005) $15.50 - $16.00/SF for CBD Class A buildings $20.00 - $21.00/SF for Suburban Class A buildings Slow loss of energy industry offset by slow local growth and building conversions
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PRE-KATRINA BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA Modest but steady growth Law Firms State government related firms Engineering firms serving petrochemical industry Class A buildings 94% occupancy $18.75 - $19.00/SF rates Class B buildings 75% - 80% occupancy range $13.00 - $14.00/SF rates
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NEW ORLEANS shut down Most office properties were closed for at least a month People could not return Many people went to Baton Rouge - Bought houses - Set up offices BATON ROUGE filled up Almost overnight, office space in Baton Rouge went to virtually 100% occupancy HURRICANE KATRINA AUGUST 29, 2005
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2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA POST-KATRINA NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA Rapid absorption of office space 161,000 SF in 4 th quarter of 2005 Another 307,000 SF in first half of 2006 Total absorption of 353,000 SF over first year Rates jumped approximately $1.00/SF Biggest occupancy jump was Class B CBD Five buildings were removed from the market One Class A (487,000 SF) Four Class B (1,063,000 SF)
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Vacant space filled immediately “Panic” leasing in some cases Rates did not jump as notably Class A Buildings / occupancy has lasted Class B Buildings / occupancy has softened Occupancy also declined because 720,000 SF of new Class A space has been brought to market POST-KATRINA BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA
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MAJOR SALES NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA
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SUMMARY SHORT-TERM EFFECTS NEW ORLEANS Market tightened with removal of five buildings(1,550,000 SF) Loss of tenancy: Dominion Resources to Houston (153,000 SF) Chevron to North Shore (300,000 SF) Gains of tenancy: Recovery-related engineering, legal and financial firms Government Agencies BATON ROUGE Filled market
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SUMMARY LONG-TERM EXPECTATIONS NEW ORLEANS Stable occupancy and rates Former DominionTower to be put back into commerce (487,000 SF) substantially leased removes an eyesore helps keep Saints in town for long-term Continued development on North Shore of Lake Pontchartrain BATON ROUGE Continued modest growth Government related firms Engineering Firms Recovery related Petrochemical related Best Economy in Louisiana State Government Petrochemical Industry Education Center Both markets are returning to normal
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