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THE MARKETS REACT NEW ORLEANS / SOUTH LOUISIANA Charles H. Peterson, CRE.

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Presentation on theme: "THE MARKETS REACT NEW ORLEANS / SOUTH LOUISIANA Charles H. Peterson, CRE."— Presentation transcript:

1 THE MARKETS REACT NEW ORLEANS / SOUTH LOUISIANA Charles H. Peterson, CRE

2 THE MARKET

3 2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA 2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA CBDSuburbanTOTAL Class A8,796,000 SF2,046,000 SF10,842,000 SF Class B852,000 SF1,710,000 SF2,562,000 SF TOTAL9,648,000 SF3,756,000 SF13,404,000 SF Sources: The Sossaman Report Corporate Realty, Inc.

4 ANALYSIS OF MAJOR TENANTS NEW ORLEANS CBD ENERGY/RESOURCES35% LEGAL29% BANKING/FINANCE17% GOVERNMENT12% OTHER 7% Source: Corporate Realty, Inc.

5 CBD Class A3,840,000 SF Class B2,853,000 SF TOTAL6,693,000 SF 2009 MARKET BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA Source: Baton Rouge Trends

6 2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA PRE-KATRINA NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA  Steady market… no growth  No significant new commercial office building since 1991  Slight negative absorption of 175,000 SF between 2001 and mid-2005  Occupancy stayed flat  High 80% range for CBD Class A  Low 90% range for Suburban Class A and Class B  70% range for CBD Class B  Rates were generally flat for the same period (2001 to mid-2005)  $15.50 - $16.00/SF for CBD Class A buildings  $20.00 - $21.00/SF for Suburban Class A buildings  Slow loss of energy industry offset by slow local growth and building conversions

7 PRE-KATRINA BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA  Modest but steady growth  Law Firms  State government related firms  Engineering firms serving petrochemical industry  Class A buildings  94% occupancy  $18.75 - $19.00/SF rates  Class B buildings  75% - 80% occupancy range  $13.00 - $14.00/SF rates

8  NEW ORLEANS shut down  Most office properties were closed for at least a month  People could not return  Many people went to Baton Rouge - Bought houses - Set up offices  BATON ROUGE filled up  Almost overnight, office space in Baton Rouge went to virtually 100% occupancy HURRICANE KATRINA AUGUST 29, 2005

9 2009 MARKET NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA POST-KATRINA NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA  Rapid absorption of office space  161,000 SF in 4 th quarter of 2005  Another 307,000 SF in first half of 2006  Total absorption of 353,000 SF over first year  Rates jumped approximately $1.00/SF  Biggest occupancy jump was Class B CBD  Five buildings were removed from the market  One Class A (487,000 SF)  Four Class B (1,063,000 SF)

10  Vacant space filled immediately  “Panic” leasing in some cases  Rates did not jump as notably  Class A Buildings / occupancy has lasted  Class B Buildings / occupancy has softened  Occupancy also declined because 720,000 SF of new Class A space has been brought to market POST-KATRINA BATON ROUGE METROPOLITAN AREA

11 MAJOR SALES NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA

12 SUMMARY SHORT-TERM EFFECTS NEW ORLEANS  Market tightened with removal of five buildings(1,550,000 SF)  Loss of tenancy:  Dominion Resources to Houston (153,000 SF)  Chevron to North Shore (300,000 SF)  Gains of tenancy:  Recovery-related engineering, legal and financial firms  Government Agencies BATON ROUGE  Filled market

13 SUMMARY LONG-TERM EXPECTATIONS NEW ORLEANS  Stable occupancy and rates  Former DominionTower to be put back into commerce (487,000 SF)  substantially leased  removes an eyesore  helps keep Saints in town for long-term  Continued development on North Shore of Lake Pontchartrain BATON ROUGE  Continued modest growth  Government related firms  Engineering Firms  Recovery related  Petrochemical related  Best Economy in Louisiana  State Government  Petrochemical Industry  Education Center Both markets are returning to normal


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