1. Josh Bruce, AICP Interim Director Oregon Partnership for Disaster Resilience Community Service Center, University of Oregon jdbruce@uoregon.edu Seaside, Oregon March 18, 2013 Resilience Planning Local Workgroup Meeting #2 Funding and support from: Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience: What’s the Difference

2. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org

3. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Threat The presence or potential of a hazard or hazard event

4. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Threat The presence or potential of a hazard or hazard event Can include natural, technological, or man-made hazards Short term, chronic, long-term, or catastrophic hazards Threat Assessments determine which hazards are most likely to affect a local community

5. BikePortland.org Threat Example Tsunamis are a threat to the Clatsop coast Cascadia Subduction Zone quake of 1700 Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience

6. Vulnerability Local systems or assets likely to be affected by hazard events

7. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Vulnerability Local systems or assets likely to be affected by hazard events Energy, water, food, transportation or communications systems Coastal communities, elderly populations, roads & bridges Vulnerability Assessments determine which aspects of a community are most threatened and by which hazard

8. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Vulnerability Example Cannon Beach Elementary School’s current location is highly vulnerable to both a near and distant tsunamis DOGAMI Tsunami Inundation Map, Cannon Beach, 2013

9. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Risk The potential losses and impacts should a hazard meet a vulnerability

10. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Risk The potential losses and impacts should a hazard meet a vulnerability Loss of critical facilities, resident’s safety, local economy Risk Assessments determine the potential outcome of a hazard event, and consider magnitude, probability and exposure

11. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Risk Example In it’s current location, Cannon Beach Elementary School could be inundated and destroyed by a near-shore tsunami caused by a Cascadia earthquake. Earthquake & tsunami damage Nakano Elementary, Japan Risks include: loss of life, destruction of building, interruption of education, social fabric disruption.

12. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Resilience The ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and recover from disruptions

13. Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience BikePortland.org Resilience The ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and recover from disruptions Focuses on adaptations Built environment and infrastructure, government and emergency services, the local economy, social cohesion and cooperation Resilience Assessments identify a range of adaptations and actions

14. BikePortland.org Resilience Example Community resilience depends on effective adaptations Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience

15. BikePortland.org Resilience Example Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property

16. BikePortland.org Resilience Example Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Having only an evacuation plan, everyone is safe, but the school is destroyed Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property

17. BikePortland.org Resilience Example Threat, Vulnerability, Risk & Resilience Having only an evacuation plan, everyone is safe, but the school is destroyed Without relocating the school or an evacuation plan, the community loses lives as well as their school Having relocated the school prior to tsunami, Cannon Beach recovers quickly without loss of life or property

18. Minamisanriku – Relocation to Higher Ground Two Levels of Tsunami Protection: 100 yr (seawalls) and 1000 yr (elevation) Before After Forested Hills Housing/Tourism/Gov. SeaEntire City Sea A: 1000 Year Tsunami B: 100 Year Tsunami Ind./Com. Hazard Zone

19. Minamisanriku – Recovery Plan

20. Minamisanriku – Recovery Vision

21. Vulnerabilities in Clatsop County BikePortland.org Hazard CCHA - 07/11CCEOP – 04/11 earthquakeHIGH floodHIGHMED tsunamiHIGH windstormHIGH- wildfireHIGHMED landslideHIGHMED winter stormHIGH hazmat releaseHIGHMED dam failureMED civil disturbanceMED