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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying The Debt Crisis Part I
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Socio-Political Overview: Readings: “Close the IMF, Abolish Debt and End Development: A Class Analysis of the International Debt Crisis” - Harry Cleaver “They Call it Democracy” - Bruce Cockburn
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Debt Origins: Overseas demand for large sums of borrowed money Demand derived from: Lack of internal savings – no investment money Lack of investment/development Diversion of money – capital flight Widespread poverty Troubling citizenry: workers, peasants, students Need for repression tools: police, military, equipment, training Need for consumption subsidies for part of the income hierarchy
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Sources for Borrowed Money: 1970s – OPEC petrodollars Most placed in Western banks Resulted from dramatic oil price increases Meant an international transfer of value Increased OPEC countries’ development and repression needs Development a function of modernization – needed money to cope with workers’ demands Repression in the form of local police and regional military power
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying : Sources for Borrowed Money: Petrodollars Continued: Oil price increases allowed by Western Powers – even though intervention used in the past Europe blamed America: American seeking competitive advantage United States policy makers – viewed situation as an opportunity to resolve supposed problem of capital scarcity in the US
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Source of Crisis – Higher Interest Rates: 1970s – IMF called for anti-inflationary (also anti-wage) offensive Carter and Volcker – tightened money and raised interest rates Required financial deregulation, removal of usury caps on interest rates, attack on consumer credit International loans – floating rate loans Interest rate increases raised debt load of international loans
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Source of Crisis – Collapse in Exports: Increase in interest rates led to a severe cut in investment and consumption expenditure Precipitated first a US and then a global depression Global depression resulted in a dramatic drop for import demand; overall depression for exporters
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Debt Crisis Continues: Failure to repay debt led to crisis: Costs/debt increased; reduced possibilities of earning foreign exchange; debt left unpaid Crisis initially averted: Debt rolled over – borrowed more to pay off older debt
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying Debt Crisis Continues: Failure to impose IMF conditionality: Limited access to rollover borrowing Borrowing depended on IMF sanction Bank consortium rolled over debt per IMF’s acceptance IMF given leverage beyond its implied resources
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying New IMF Leverage: IMF imposed its own conditionality: Wanted participating countries to cut imports, budget deficits, consumption and wages Creditor countries/businesses found it difficult to impose these conditions Countries continued to fail to achieve goals agreed to with the IMF Ultimately led to a constant renegotiating of debt
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B or d er o n th e le ft s d e Border along the top side – trying to make this look professional - trying IMF Conditionality: Always depressive, resulted in underdevelopment, lack of growth Generated widespread opposition from businesses, economists, and workers
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