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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 1 MegaTrends The Major Directions Transforming Our Lives
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 2 What is a MegaTrend u A megatrend is a major restructuring, a larger pattern of broad trends that is reshaping and transforming our lives. u In manufacturing, megatrends are reshaping the nature of competition, both domestically and internationally. u The term megatrend was popularized by John Naisbitt in his 1982 book by the same name.
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 3 Some Comments by Naisbitt u The most reliable way to anticipate the future is to understand the present u Trends are bottom up, fads are top down u America is a bottom up society l almost nothing starts in New York or Washington DC
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 4 More Comments by Naisbitt u Individuals and society operate as closed systems l there is a finite capacity l new concerns force out old concerns l megatrends are about concerns and patterns of concern that persist over time u Trends, like horses, are easier to ride in the direction they are already going
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 5 The Original Megatrends (1982) u from an Industrial Society to an Information Society u from Forced Technology to High Tech / High Touch u from a National Economy to a World Economy u from Short Term to Long Term u from Centralization to Decentralization
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 6 The Original Megatrends (1982) u from Institutional Help to Self Help u from Representative Democracy to Participatory Democracy u from Hierarchies to Networking u from North to South u from Either/Or to Multiple Option
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 7 Megatrends 2000 (1990) with Patricia Aburdene u the Booming Global Economy l global economic boom prompted by the information economy, freer trade, and a government bias towards economic expansion over political ideology u Renaissance in the Arts l rapid growth in participation in the fine and finer arts
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 8 Megatrends 2000 (1990) with Patricia Aburdene u the Emergence of Free-Market Socialism l the emergence of free markets in socialist economies u Global Lifestyles and Cultural Nationalism l increasing similarities in global lifestyles with increased cultural nationalism
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 9 Megatrends 2000 (1990) with Patricia Aburdene u the Privatization of the Welfare State l privatization of the welfare state in the western democracies u the Rise of the Pacific Rim l economic and cultural influence of Pacific Rim countries and California greatly expand
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 10 Megatrends 2000 (1990) with Patricia Aburdene u the Rise of Women in Leadership l women become much more important in leadership roles u the Age of Biology biotechnology makes great progress and raises major ethical issues, while biology becomes a more common metaphor
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Enterprise IntegrationMegatrends - 11 Megatrends 2000 (1990) with Patricia Aburdene u Religious Revival l religious revival led by fundamentalism and the desire for deep, personal experience. u Triumph of the Individual l triumph of the individual in becoming free of institutional constraints to become more in charge of one's own destiny
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