1. John Ciolek AlphaTRAC, Inc. Installation of the CAPARS® Emergency Response Atmospheric Modeling System for Los Alamos, N.M.

2. CAPARS Background …a few things you need to know NUMUG: June 27-29, 20112

3. CAPARS Requirements Automate as much as possible –Reduce input error Provide decision-critical information –Eliminate tendency to play Address client-specific requirements Be timely for emergency response –Rapid simulation completion –Contingency modeling Client owned/operated Provide redundancy Rapidly incorporate new met data sources NUMUG: June 27-29, 20113

4. CAPARS Basics… For real-time, analysis, and experiments Localized modeling system –Customized for individual sites Diagnostic –Can use prognostic model output Automated meteorological data collection Time-varying 3D meteorological fields Ellipsoidal puffs Similarity theory NUMUG: June 27-29, 20114

5. …CAPARS Basics Plume characteristics –Wet and dry deposition –Plume rise –Radiological ingrowth and decay How are impacts presented? –Nested receptors –Time varying dose, concentration, deposition –Web page output products Selected wind field images CAPARS output maps NUMUG: June 27-29, 20115

6. CAPARS Wind Field Image NUMUG: June 27-29, 20116

7. CAPARS Output Map Sample NUMUG: June 27-29, 20117

8. Los Alamos …domain of interesting issues NUMUG: June 27-29, 20118

9. Los Alamos Issues Very complex terrain –Steep canyons and finger mesas –Located on an extinct volcano caldera –Drainage into Rio Grande rift valley Limited meteorological observations Close site boundaries NUMUG: June 27-29, 20119

10. Nested Domains NUMUG: June 27-29, 201110

11. Customized Surface Data In each nested domain, AlphaTRAC developed the following data sets: –Terrain elevation (previous slide) –Land use / land cover –Terrain variability GIS map features obtained: –Orthophotos –Municipal boundaries –Roads, railroads, etc. NUMUG: June 27-29, 201111

12. Inner-domain Land Use Map NUMUG: June 27-29, 201112

13. Meteorological Data From 25 to 50 surface stations –RAWS (wildland fire agencies) –APRXWXNET (amateur radio operators) –CODOT (Colorado Dept. of Transportation) 5 LANL towers LANL sodar 13 MAPS profiles Investigating more data… NUMUG: June 27-29, 201113

14. Regional Terrain Elevation NUMUG: June 27-29, 201114

15. LANL Meteorological Towers NUMUG: June 27-29, 201115

16. MAPS Profiles NUMUG: June 27-29, 201116

17. Colorado Dept of Transportation NUMUG: June 27-29, 201117

18. RAWS Sites NUMUG: June 27-29, 201118

19. APRSWXNET Sites NUMUG: June 27-29, 201119

20. Embedded Met Profiles Determine regional meteorological fields –Extract profiles along middle-domain’s lateral boundaries –Insert profiles into middle-domain’s meteorological input data set –Build middle-domain’s meteorological fields Repeat for inner-domain NUMUG: June 27-29, 201120

21. Computer Platform Upgrades Complete system on one computer –Virtual machines (map server) Re-compiled all code for 64-bit computers Installed latest versions of –Operating systems: Fedora Core 14 Linux Windows 7 (map server) –ArcGIS 10 NUMUG: June 27-29, 201121

22. Custom High-end Computers Server-like capacity in a tower –Two 6-core xeon processors Only one implemented –Not (yet) overclocked 10,000 rpm VelociRaptor hard drive Solid state hard drive 18 GB memory (upgradeable to 48 GB) Mid-range NVIDIA Fermi graphics card NUMUG: June 27-29, 201122

23. CAPARS v5.11 Computer NUMUG: June 27-29, 201123

24. Computer Upgrade Benefits Base configuration (no optimization) out-performs all other systems (~ 2x) –Many optimization options More CPU cores Solid state drive General purpose GPU (about 250 cores on graphic card) More memory Overclocking Can run multiple, simultaneous scenarios Extended computer lifespan Multiple “computers” on one machine –Hidden map server (for extra security) NUMUG: June 27-29, 201124

25. Distance Binning Output Maximum dose or concentration within distance bins Bins default to HOTSPOT® /EPIcode® values –For model output comparison Can specify number of bins and distances Still need estimate of distance above PAC(s) NUMUG: June 27-29, 201125

26. Software Quality Assurance …the SCAPA Consequence Assessment Modeling Working Group way NUMUG: June 27-29, 201126

27. SQA Effort CAPARS SCAPA SQA effort coincided with Los Alamos installation –Resulted in CAPARS accepted as toolbox model First complex modeling system in toolbox –Developed SQA SharePoint site AlphaTRAC followed SCAPA SQA process during Los Alamos installation NUMUG: June 27-29, 201127

28. CAPARS Installation Page NUMUG: June 27-29, 201128

29. Installation Logs Basemaps CAPARS computer Surface data Wind field maps Meteorological data NUMUG: June 27-29, 201129

30. Project Logs Embedded profiles Nested domains 64-bit conversion Distance bins NUMUG: June 27-29, 201130

31. Sanity Check …no comments please NUMUG: June 27-29, 201131

32. Canyon Flow with Reversal NUMUG: June 27-29, 201132

33. Detailed View of Canyon Flow NUMUG: June 27-29, 201133

34. Questions? jciolek@alphatrac.com NUMUG: June 27-29, 201134