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Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014.

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Presentation on theme: "Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014."— Presentation transcript:

1 Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014

2 Background and History

3 Trip-Based Models Trip Generation Trip Distribution Mode Choice Network Assignment FeedbackTransit Non- Motorized Generalized Cost MSA

4 Plan for Advanced Modeling at CMAP Policy priorities Data needs Computing environment Freight Highway Pricing Transit Modernization

5 Advanced Freight Model Development GO TO 2040 Freight Chapter – National and Regional Policy – Economic development – Infrastructure Three-tiered freight analysis – Macro = Economic choice – Meso = Supply chain and logistics – Micro = Network operations Implementation strategy – Microsimulation – Agent-based

6 Progress-to-date Two rounds of mesoscale development – Microsimulates commodity flows and predicts distribution channels to, from and through the CMAP region. Also assembles local truck tours. Implemented at CMAP for scenario and project tests cmap.illinois.gov/catmug

7 Two rounds of development UIC Developed original FAME model at national level Designed the model and prepared the original code in SAS Extended the design and rewrote the code in R

8 Mesoscale Model: step by step cmap.illinois.gov/catmug

9 CMAP Implementation Testing model execution Understanding new concepts Linking to standard procedures Results Validation

10 Data Resources Basic demonstration uses currently available data: – Freight Analysis Framework – County Business Patterns – Make-Use Tables – Regional Model Data – National Freight Networks Parameter estimation: – heuristic – empirical

11 Recent Applications Tour Length Tonnage Comparison Circle Interchange

12 Forecasting Agent-based Economic Extension – External infrastructure decisions, economic change, policy actions – Combined effect of independent procurement and logistics business decisions

13 Activity-Based Models Application of an Activity-Based Model for Highway Pricing Studies in Chicago Application of an Activity-Based Model for Highway Pricing Studies in Chicago Transit Beyond Travel Time and Cost Network Microsimulation Extension to Activity-Based Travel Model Network Microsimulation Extension to Activity-Based Travel Model

14 Highway Pricing Model http://www.cmap.illinois.gov/mobility/roads/congestion-pricing

15 Transit Modernization Model

16 Bike Model

17 ABM/DTA Integration

18 Advanced Modeling Practice at CMAP Kermit Wies October 2014


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