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Steve Krebs and Jed Peters– DTSD-Bureau of Technical Services July 29, 2013.

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Presentation on theme: "Steve Krebs and Jed Peters– DTSD-Bureau of Technical Services July 29, 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1 Steve Krebs and Jed Peters– DTSD-Bureau of Technical Services July 29, 2013

2  Non-Conservative Costs  4 Policy Options with Implementation Costs  FDM Work Zone Delay Restricted Corridors  High Volume Arterials (color coded peak hour volume map)  TOIP  Freight Network 2

3  10 Projects Analyzed  8 Concrete Mainline  2 HMA Mainline  As-built and Estimated FDS Costs 3

4  Concrete Mainline Projects  As-built average (avg) cost: $182,920/mile  FDS HMA avg cost: $346,430/mile  FDS concrete avg cost: $265,000/mile  HMA Mainline Projects  As-built avg cost: $123,320/mile  FDS HMA avg cost: $171,600/mile 4

5  Concrete Mainline Projects  As-built avg net present value (NPV) life-cycle 50 year cost: $354,120/mile (Original Value: $276,720)  FDS HMA avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $428,310/mile  FDS concrete avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $345,140/mile  HMA Mainline Projects  As-built avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $250,230/mile (orig: $198,050)  FDS HMA avg NPV life-cycle 50 year cost : $243,210/mile * NPV calculated with 3.5% discount rate 5

6 Conventional DesignFDS HMAFDS Concrete Real Discounted Cost Real Discounted Cost Real Discounted Cost Cost Initial Construction $ 182,912.00 $ 346,428.00 $ 264,993.00 Total NPV of LCCA minus initial construction cost $ 171,206.68 $ 81,882.93 $ 80,143.57 Total NPV of LCCA $ 354,119 $ 428,311 $ 345,137 User Delay Costs - (Scheduled Maintenance, Rehabilitation, Reconstruction, & Unplanned Events) $ 134,056 $ - Cost NPV (Initial Construction + LCCA NPV+ User Delay NPV) $ 488,175 $ 428,311 $ 345,137 Benefits - Initial Cost (NPV) ($182,912) ($123,048) ($39,874) Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) -0.4 -0.2 6

7  Estimated As-Built Construction Cost/Mile  Estimated 10” FDS Construction Cost/Mile  Life Cycle Adjusted to Reflect True Life-To-Date  Minimal/Negligible maintenance costs  2012 Project (Year 28 of life cycle)- 8” Shoulders Let Cost/Mile  $333,850/mile  Adjusted LCCA Costs  As-built NPV = $519,200/mile  FDS NPV = $483,850/mile 7

8  Selective Application of FDS  High-Volume Arterial Corridors  Mass Evacuation Routes  Incorporate FDS (Existing and Future) into Emergency Planning 8

9  Selective Application of FDS  FDM Delay Corridors  High Volume Arterials  TOIP  Freight 9

10 10 1670 Miles

11 11 Volumes Estimated For Highest Direction in 30 th Highest Hour in 2013 : 850 Miles : 1070 Miles : 1180 Miles :1270 Miles :1580 Miles

12 12 Priority Corridors: 1190 Miles

13 13 Not Investigated as Stand-Alone

14 14 ~Equivalent to Backbone System

15  High Volume Arterials ($0.89 – $1.3 Billion)  $350 - $518 Million More than Conventional HMA  $89 - $98 Million Less than Minimum Concrete  TOIP Priority Corridors ($985 Million)  $390 Million More than Conventional HMA  $99 Million Less than Minimum Concrete  FDM Delay Restricted Routes ($1.4 Billion)  $548 Million More than Conventional HMA  $139 Million Less than Minimum Concrete  Freight Routes = Backbone System ($1.3 Billion)  $518 Million More than Conventional HMA  $131 Million Less than Minimum Concrete 15

16 16

17  Factor of All (High Volume Arterials, TOIP, Freight, and FDM Delay Corridors)  Driving Need: Traffic Demand  1000 VPH (2013 data) 17

18 18 1180 Miles

19  Total Cost  FDS: $977 Million  HMA Conventional: $590 Million  Minimum Concrete: $1.1 Billion  FDS Average Annual Cost (Average of 30 Reconstruct or Pavement Replacement projects with 18 Miles/Year)  FDS: $14.9 Million  HMA Conventional: $9 Million  Minimum Concrete: $16.4 Million  Nearly 150 Miles ($119 Million) Completed or Planned  N-S Freeway, Zoo Freeway, IH-39, USH 41 19

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