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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 1 Capacity Development for CDM Fourth National Workshop Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 PDD Preparation for CDM Projects PDD Preparation for CDM Projects Operationalising CDM Projects Operationalising CDM Projects Samir Amous, APEX, Tunisia Regional Centre for North Africa and Middle-East Tel : +216 71 848 094 --- Fax : +216 71 843 453 amous.apex@gnet.tn amous.apex@gnet.tn
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 2 Rules for projects to get the CDM Label
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 3 International Rules Kyoto Protocol entry into force 55 Parties should have ratified Annex B Parties to KP should represent at least 55% of Annex- I Parties’ GHG emissions
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 4 Criteria for Host Countries KP Ratification Designation of a National Authority for CDM
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 5 Criteria for CDM Projects Projects (PDD) to be APPROVED by the host country Approved projects to be submitted to the CDM-Executive Board for VALIDATION and REGISTRATION
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 6 Criteria for CDM Projects Project Execution to conform to COP and EB Rules (Monitoring, DOE for Verification, Certification of CERs, etc.)
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 7 Status of the Situation
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 8 Kyoto Protocol 122 countries have ratified: 34 Annex B Parties to KP 44.2% of Annex I Parties’ emissions 5 Annex B Parties to KP have not ratified yet (55.6% of Annex I Parties’ emissions: USA: 36.1% Russian Federation: 17.4% Australia: 2.1% Monaco and Lichtenstein: ~ 0%
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 9 Kyoto Protocol 122 countries have ratified, of which: 88 Non-Annex I Parties to the UNFCCC; of which 4 major emitting NA-I Countries: China India Brazil Korea
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 10 Kyoto Protocol 122 countries have ratified, of which: 3 Countries from North-Africa and Middle- East : Jordan Morocco Tunisia
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 11 DNA : situation 60 dans established dans in the World; of which, 6 from NA&ME: Egypt Jordan Lebanon Morocco Syria Yemen
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 12 CDM progress 13 meetings of the EB 14th Meeting: 12-14 june
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 13 CDM progress 51 Baseline methodologies submitted to EB; of which: 11 approved
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 14 Lignes de base MDP: Méthodologies approuvées 11 Approved BL Methodologies: 6 Latin America (4 in Brazil) 4 Asia 1 Africa
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 15 CDM RECAP
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 16 CDM Process in place, with EB operating well CDM Process implementation in host countries pending KP ratification and DNA establishment In Principal…CDM is pending the Russian ratification of KP… HOWEVER….
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 17 CDM Market already in place
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 18 CDM Progress A progressing CDM Market : Resources available: US$ 600 million 150 million tons of CO2
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 19 CDM Progress Major Actors: The Netherlands: 30% Prototype Carbon Fund: 22% Japan: 12%
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 20 CDM Progress Recent initiatives: Germany, Denmark, Austria, Belgium (21%)
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 21 CDM/JI et Emission Trading: Market Potential in 15 EU Countries Around 2.7 Billion tCO2e for the period (2008-2012) for the 15 EU (Low-Growth to Med-Growth Scen.) Canada: 688 MtCO2eJapan: 1,130 MtCO2eNew Zeland: 85 MtCO2e Around 4.6 billion tCO2e (2008-2012) 920 MtCO2e/yr US$ 3.7 billion/yr at US$4/tCO2e
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 22 CDM: EU is taking the Lead
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 23 CDM Progress Council of Ministers and Parliament decisions: The CDM will take place even without KP entry into force (Mini- KP Mini Market) CERs accepted from 2005
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 24 CDM Progress Council of Ministers and Parliament decisions: Probably no types of projects excluded (e.g. sinks, big-Hydro, Coal) Member States free to fix their own limitations, if any, for buying CERs and for sinks projects
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 25 Carbon Market: Perspectives
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 26 Worst Perspectives Russia will ratify (USA neither) Market Potential for CDM/JI: 100 MtCO2e/yr US$ 4/tCO2e Market Value for CDM/JI: US$ 400 Millions/yr
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 27 Middle Perspectives Russia will not ratify (USA neither) Japan, Canada and NZ will not join the EU Mini-KP Initiative Market Potential for CDM/JI: 300 MtCO2e/yr US$ 6/tCO2e Market Value for CDM/JI: US$ 1.8 Billion/yr
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 28 Best Perspectives Russia will not ratify (USA neither) Japan, Canada and NZ will join the EU Mini-KP Initiative Market Potential for CDM/JI: 550 MtCO2e/yr US$ 10/tCO2e Market Value for CDM/JI: US$ 5.5 Billion/yr
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Capacity Development for CDM - National Workshop on PDD, Cairo, 14-15 June 2004 29
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