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2010 EVCA Buyout Review An in-depth outlook of the buyout segment in Europe October 2010 Sponsored by.

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Presentation on theme: "2010 EVCA Buyout Review An in-depth outlook of the buyout segment in Europe October 2010 Sponsored by."— Presentation transcript:

1 2010 EVCA Buyout Review An in-depth outlook of the buyout segment in Europe October 2010 Sponsored by

2 2 Impact of the Economic Environment on Deal Making

3 3 Improvement in economic environment helps boost buyout investments Source: EVCA calculation based on Eurostat and PEREP_Analytics EU GDP growth and index of buyout investment activity (index by amount)

4 4 Debt market shows signs of revival Senior loan volume - LBO transactions Source: Standard & Poor's LCD The data includes all private equity-related transactions, including refinancings and recapitalisations.

5 5 Institutional funding is still insignificant Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD Pro rata loans are loans made up of revolving credit facility and an amortising term loan. Pro rata loans are syndicated to banks as opposed to institutional loans, which are term-loan facilities with a portion carved out for non-bank (institutional) investors. European pro-rata vs. institutional LBO activity

6 6 Leveraged loan prices have not fallen Rolling 3-month weighted average spreads of all European new-issue LBOs 498 433 Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD Wtd. avg. pro rata spread (WAPR) is the average RC/TLA spread weighted by sizes of the RC and TLA tranches. Wtd. avg. institutional spread (WAIS) is the average TLB/TLC spread weighted by the sizes of the TLB and TLC tranches.

7 7 80% of outstanding European leveraged loans mature 2013-2015 Source: Standard & Poor’s LCD Based on all facilities in the European leveraged loan index (ELLI) universe, priced and unpriced. Maturity schedule by par outstanding as of 30 June 2010

8 8 Leverage multiples converge across deal size ranges Source: CMBOR/Barclays Private Equity/Ernst & Young This sample includes all buyouts, not only private equity-backed buyouts. However, as non-private equity-backed buyouts are typically smaller in size (mainly sub-€10m deals), the data is still representative for private equity-backed buyouts. Debt-to-EBIT ratios for buyout transactions

9 9 Large deals get higher equity share than smaller deals in H1 2010 EquityMezzanineDebtLoan noteOther finance Source: CMBOR/Barclays Private Equity/Ernst & Young Average deal structures for European private-equity-backed buyouts

10 10 Purchase multiples increase at the upper end of the market Deal size range 200420052006200720082009H1 2010 €0m-€10m6.68.07.09.36.27.03.9 €10m-€25m9.110.39.79.6 8.17.4 €25m-€50m11.910.511.211.412.08.912.2 €50m-€100m12.815.39.812.414.816.217.6 €100m-€250m14.314.514.916.415.712.016.5 Over €250m13.418.418.618.516.88.917.6 Average P/E* ratios for European private-equity-backed buyouts Source: CMBOR/Barclays Private Equity/Ernst & Young * P/E ratios are defined as deal price divided by EBIT.

11 11 Evolution of Buyout Activity 2007 – H1 2010

12 12 Fundraising improves but remains challenging Amounts in €m 200720082009H1 2010 Growth capital 1,7162,9129161,485 Buyout 62,54366,6619,1075,890 Mezzanine 4,895979571999 Total fundraising* 69,15470,55210,5948,375 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics * Throughout the presentation, “total fundraising” refers to funds raised by buyout, growth and mezzanine funds Fundraising by fund stage focus (intermediate closings in the year)

13 13 The majority of fundraising activity is concentrated in UK & Ireland Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Regional fundraising (% of European total)

14 14 Banks continue to be the leading source of capital Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Percentages are calculated on the funds raised for which the source is known. Funds raised by type of investor (% of amount)

15 15 US LPs decrease in importance, with UK LPs maintaining their lead Ranking200720082009H1 2010 1The US The UK 2 The USFrance 3GreeceAustralasiaFranceAustralasia 4 CanadaItalyThe US 5GermanyFranceGermanyBelgium Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Ranking of top limited partners by location (per European fundraising year)

16 16 Average fund sizes are on the rise Amounts in €m 200720082009H1 2010 Fund stageAmoun t Nr of funds Avg fund size Amoun t Nr of funds Avg fund size Amoun t Nr of funds Avg fund size Amoun t Nr of funds Avg fund size Growth1,29691442,452102456487931,2482624 Buyout57,1918071559,551669029,001156008,91715594 Mezzanine4,70212392508316954041351,5464387 Independent funds raised63,18810162662,5117979110,1902639211,71121558 Final closings by fund stage focus (cumulative amount raised at final closing) Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

17 17 UK & Ireland and Benelux see more final closings than in full-year 2009 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Final closings by fund region (by number of funds closed)

18 18 €500-999m is the most popular fund size range in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Final closings by fund size range By number of funds By cumulative amount raised €bn

19 19 Most buyout funds are not sector specific Amounts in €m200720082009H1 2010 Fund sector focusAmountNr of funds AmountNr of funds AmountNr of funds AmountNr of funds Agriculture, chemicals and materials 1042000000 Business and industrial products and services 1,737511620000 Consumer products, services and retail 2,52845019811011 Energy and environment20015461003151 Financial services001161575100 ICT648211421001561 Life sciences001,00010000 Generalist57,9728760,570719,4162311,23918 Independent funds raised63,18810162,5117910,1902611,71121 Final closings by fund sector focus Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

20 20 Investment levels start to recover, expected to reach 2005 levels by year-end Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics for 2007-H1 2010 data. For prior years’ data: EVCA/Thomson Reuters/PriceWaterhouseCoopers Investments by European private equity firms- evolution

21 21 H1 2010 investment into European companies has already reached 80% of the full-year 2009 amount Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Investments into European portfolio companies - evolution

22 22 GP proximity to investee companies increases in importance during the crisis Amounts in €m 200720082009H1 2010 Geographic origin of investments AmountNumber of cos AmountNumber of cos AmountNumber of cos AmountNumbe r of cos Domestic 42,8851,50933,8401,59813,1481,38011,647719 Intra-European 19,11228110,9653105,2862382,94085 Outside Europe 3,403421,385334341847611 Total investment 65,4001,76946,1911,88918,8691,60315,062807 Investments by geographic origin Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

23 23 Average investment size in UK & Ireland more than doubles on 2009 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Average deal size by region

24 24 The UK & Ireland’s domination as investment markets further increases in H1 2010 % of amount% of number of companies Geographic destination of investments 200720082009H1 2010200720082009H1 2010 Benelux12%7%10%4%10%8%12%7% CEE region3%5%13%3%5% 6%4% DACH region18%20%13%15%16%18%22%23% France17% 12%11%20%30%19%17% Nordic region10%9%13%11%12% 14%15% Southern Europe11%17%15%8%13%12%11%9% UK & Ireland29%26%23%49%24%15%16%25% Europe100% Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Investments by region

25 25 Most capital is sourced domestically. The Nordic region has the most active intra-regional cross-border flows Regional cross-border flows for H1 2010 % of amount% of number of companies Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

26 26 Most companies attract growth capital in 2009-H1 2010 versus buyout in 2007-2008 Amounts in €m 200720082009H1 2010 Stage distribution of investments AmountNumber of cos AmountNumbe r of cos AmountNumber of cos Amoun t Number of cos Growth5,0823527,3975784,4947512,483413 Rescue/ turnaround 452543297168314629352 Replacement capital1,7391391,5211751,7751671,40662 Buyout58,1281,26036,9441,11811,91758910,881289 Total investment65,4001,76946,1911,88918,8691,60315,062807 Investments by financing stage Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

27 27 Growth deals dominate across most regions. France and Nordic regions are the exception with buyouts as the single largest subset Investments by region and stage in H1 2010 (% of number of companies) Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics

28 28 Buyouts recover most of the lost value since 2007 in average investment size Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Investments by stage of financing (average amount of equity invested per company)

29 29 In H1 2010, mid-market deals account for 45% of the transaction value (vs. large and mega deals being 70% of TV in 2007), nearly 90% of the companies are small buyouts (vs. 60% in 2007) Equity vs. transaction value* by deal size 2007 H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics * Transaction value includes the contributions of all co-investors in a deal and the leverage. Therefore, the difference between private equity funds’ contribution (“equity value”) and transaction value consists of two parts: the contributions of syndication partners other than private equity firms (such as LP co-investors, corporate co-investors, financial institutions) and leverage.

30 30 The largest source of buyout deals in H1 2010 is private equity firms (secondary buyouts) by amount, and family & private owners by number of companies financed Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Percentages are presented for the buyout deals where the source is known. Sources of buyouts % of amount invested% of number of companies

31 31 Most sectors register an uplift in average investment size on 2009 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Average size of investment per company - sector overview

32 32 Consumer goods & retail is the most appealing sector in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Amount invested by sector €million

33 33 More new investments for PE firms in H1 2010 prove the recovery of the investment market Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Initial versus follow-on investments (% of number of companies)

34 34 Follow-on deals are bigger than initial investments in France and the DACH region Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Initial versus follow-on investments by region – H1 2010 (average amount invested per company)

35 35 Syndication in buyouts further decreases in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Syndication by stage (% of amount)

36 36 The average amount invested in clubbed deals is lower than in non-syndicated deals in France and Benelux Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Syndicated versus non-syndicated deals by region – H1 2010 (average amount invested per company)

37 37 In 2007- H1 2010, 57% of European companies financed by buyout firms are SMEs Over 1,000 250-1,000 Up to 250 (SMEs) Number of employees: Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Investments by number of employees

38 38 The divestment market shows signs of revival with €7bn divested at cost in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Divestments at cost from European portfolio companies - evolution

39 39 40% of the European companies divested by private equity firms are located in the DACH region Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Divestments by location of the portfolio company – H1 2010

40 40 Trade sales have not picked up as expected in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Divestments by exit method (% of number of companies)

41 41 Life sciences is the most divested sector in H1 2010 Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Divestments by sector (excluding write-offs) (% of amount at cost divested)

42 42 Close to half of the H1 2010 write-offs are in consumer services Source: EVCA/PEREP_Analytics Write-offs by sector (% of amount at cost divested)

43 43 Buyout Performance as of December 2009

44 44 The long-term performance of the buyout industry remains robust Funds formed 1980-2009 MultiplesMultiples (as % of TVPI) Fund sizeSample sizeNet pooled IRR DPIRVPITVPIDPIRVPI Small28912.51.140.401.5474%26% Mid-market6615.41.060.481.5469%31% Large5118.71.160.381.5475%25% Mega528.40.690.521.2157%43% All buyout45811.90.830.491.3263%37% Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters Annualised net pooled IRR from inception to 31-12-2009

45 45 Top-quarter and top-half returns remain strong at 30.6% and 19.7% respectively Funds formed 1980-2009 Top-quarter net pooled IRR (Top-quarter funds formed 1980-2009) Top-half net pooled IRR (Top-half funds formed 1980-2009) Fund sizeSample sizeTop-quarter pooled IRR Overall upper quartile IRR* Sample sizeTop-half pooled IRR Overall median IRR** Small7228.716.114420.86.2 Mid-market1535.322.13325.27.3 Large1348.018.42524.04.6 Mega1223.616.92616.48.7 All buyout11330.617.022819.76.2 Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters * Entry point that funds have to meet or exceed as return in order to become part of top-quarter funds. ** Entry point that funds have to meet or exceed as return in order to become part of upper-half funds. Top-quarter and upper-half net pooled IRR as of 31-12-2009

46 46 The spread of returns across the four performance quarters has narrowed in 2009 Funds formed 1980-2009 Fund sizeNet pooled IRR Upper quartile Net pooled top quarter IRR Small12.516.128.7 Mid-market15.422.135.3 Large18.718.448.0 Mega8.416.923.6 All buyout11.917.030.6 25 50 75 100 1.6% -18.9% 17.0% Net IRR Percentile 11.3% 30.6% 6.2% -2.7% Net pooled for the quarter Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters Buyout performance per quarter as of 31-12-2009

47 47 Buyout investments during downturns generate superior performance Funds formed :1980-19841985-19891990-19941995-19992000-20042005-2009 Fund sizeIRRDPIIRRDPIIRRDPIIRRDPIIRRDPIIRRDPI Small9.21.8810.51.6018.41.958.11.0913.51.051.60.17 Mid-market17.81.698.81.2731.71.6217.51.16-3.70.16 Large25.92.6816.91.5612.40.96-3.90.16 Mega10.81.3420.61.28-10.40.11 All buyout9.21.8813.61.6518.62.0412.31.3518.11.20-9.00.11 Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters Annualised net pooled IRR by vintage years as 31-12-2009

48 48 Three-year IRRs reflect the impact of the crisis Funds formed 1980-2008 Fund size1-year IRR3-year IRR5-year IRR10-year IRR Small17.04.110.18.0 Mid-market-1.9-2.75.56.5 Large-9.1-0.27.88.8 Mega8.6-5.78.58.1 All buyout7.2-3.98.38.0 Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters Short-, medium-, and long-term returns reflected by net horizon IRRs to 31-12-2009

49 49 Buyout performance stands at 8.3% on the 5-year horizon and 8.0% on the 10-year horizon Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters

50 50 Industrial/energy funds once more achieve the highest returns. Life sciences is the only sector that registers a modest improvement in performance on 2008 Funds formed 1980-2009 Fund sizeSample sizeNet IRR to Dec 2009 Net IRR to Dec 2008 Net IRR to Dec 2007 Net IRR to Dec 2006 Net IRR to Dec 2005 Consumer related3715.016.722.122.7 ICT3110.210.711.512.212.6 Industrial/energy2522.322.923.523.423.7 Life sciences218.37.911.0 7.3 Other5914.115.018.318.413.7 Source: EVCA/Thomson Reuters Performance by sector focus


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