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ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Martina Flörke Center for Environmental Systems Research University of Kassel Climate.

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Presentation on theme: "ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Martina Flörke Center for Environmental Systems Research University of Kassel Climate."— Presentation transcript:

1 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Martina Flörke Center for Environmental Systems Research University of Kassel Climate Adaptation – modelling water scenarios and sectoral impacts

2 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Aim of the Project Objectives To put in place an integrated assessment framework (IAF) To analyse a set of comprehensive scenarios To identify and assess vulnerable regions and sectors To identify and assess potential adaptation measures To involve experts and stakeholders To make results available for WISE and ACE To support policy action at the EU-level

3 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Integrated Assessment Framework C. Giupponi

4 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Comprehensive scenarios Living with uncertainty… Basis Ensembles of hydrological simulations (SRES A1B ENSEMBLES climate input, bias-corrected) 4 socio-economic scenarios and water use projections (SCENES)

5 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Ensembles of hydrological output

6 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Ensembles of hydrological output

7 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 SCENES scenarios Sustainability Eventually Policy Rules Economy First Fortress Europe SCENES A1 A2 B1 B2 GEO-4 IPCC K. Kok, I. Bärlund, M. Flörke

8 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Ensembles of hydrological output

9 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Projections of total water withdrawals

10 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Vulnerability Assessment vulnerable river basins

11 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Selection of adaptation measure(s)

12 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Assessment of measures

13 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Elicitation of relative weights

14 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Analyzing the results with mDSS C. Giupponie

15 ClimWatAdapt – 2 nd Stakeholder Meeting Budapest, 30-31 March 2011 Business and Pleasure… 1.Assessment of measures water scarcity & droughts, flooding 5 criteria for weighting (1 to 5) 2.Discussion on usefulness and effectiveness semi-quantitative 3.YOUR experience & knowledge is needed Why are WE here?

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