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Global Social Entrepreneurship Competition University of Washington February 28, 2008 John Paul Scott Brewster
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Market Need Problem Oil prices continue to increase Global warming continues to worsen Plantation biofuel models create food/fuel tradeoff Opportunity Decentralized energy production Increased employment opportunities Lower environmental footprint Solution
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The Business PLAN Develop biofuel production and consumption at the village level, starting in Ghana HOW Jatropha Local Partners Capacity Building RESULTS Economically Viable Social Benefits Environmental Benefits
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Jatropha Value Proposition Electricity Generation Presscake & Fruit Hulls Hardy Hedgerows Clean Lighting Economically Competitive FarmersCommunity Increased incomes and crop productivity; better land management Lower fuel costs & environmental impact; electricity for battery charging & refrigeration
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Excess Seeds Saplings & Financing Excess Seeds Business Ecosystem (Village Scale) Biodiesel Processor Entrepreneur Farmers Carbon Markets Carbon Credits Business Model
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Summary of Revenue Streams Saplings Seeds to Processor Carbon Credits Farmers Seeds to Entrepreneur Presscake Oil Sales to Community Seeds to Akan Entrepreneur
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Hedgerows Incremental Revenue Better Land Management Eliminates Food/Fuel Trade-off
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Co-CreationCapacity BuildingDecentralized WealthRural EnhancementMaintain BiodiversityTop-DownExtractiveConcentrated WealthRapid UrbanizationMonoculture Plantation Model
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Akan Energy Scale-Up Plans
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Business Ecosystem Financial Summary Total NPV of $113K NPV of $27K NPV of $24K Within each business ecosystem… Entrepreneur Farmers
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Social Return on Investment (SROI) Inputs Access to saplings Access to financing Access to equipment Activities Capacity building Microenterprise development Training Outputs Increased agricultural production Localized fuel production & consumption Outcomes Increased incomes Reduction in poverty Energy self- sufficiency Reduced oil importation Lower carbon emissions Benefits (NPV at Yr 8)Single EcosystemAkan Energy Farmer Earnings$71K$29M Fuel Savings$44K$11M Oil Imports Reduced (BBL)1.5K160K Carbon Credits2.5K240K 94,000 Households Benefit by Year 8
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Questions?
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Appendix
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Management Team Founders – John Paul: 7 years experience w/ emerging market social ventures at World Resources Institute & Acumen Fund; work experience in India, Ghana & Nepal – Scott Brewster: Background in chemical engineering in the energy industry; has experience in the evaluation of biofuel related investment opportunities. Advisors – Dr. Stuart Hart Author, Capitalism at the Crossroads Founder, Cornell's Center for Sustainable Global Enterprise – Dr. Tralance Addy Founder of Waterhealth International & Plebys International Experienced Ghanaian entrepreneur – Dr. Mark Milstein Director, Cornell's Center for Sustainable Global Enterprise
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Where We Are Today Some Givens... Feasible Model Strong Local Demand/Need Significant Financial, Social & Env. Returns Jatropha Cultivation & Seed/ Oil Yields Ownership of Press (Entrepreneur, Community, Cooperative) And Many Moving Parts… Need to Further Develop Model w/ Help of Local Partners Jatropha, Oil, & Carbon Price Fluctuations Revenue Sharing Agreements Equipment Suppliers & Costs
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Scale Up Plans Next Steps Years 1 & 2 Years 3 - 6 Feasibility Study Work w/ Local Partners Stress Test Assumptions Feasibility Study Work w/ Local Partners Stress Test Assumptions Pilot 10 Ecosystems Iterate & Revise Model 30 More Ecosystems Finalize Model Pilot 10 Ecosystems Iterate & Revise Model 30 More Ecosystems Finalize Model Full Scale Up 50 Ecosystems per Year Break-Even by Year 7 Full Scale Up 50 Ecosystems per Year Break-Even by Year 7 $20 K$300 K$500 K
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Business Ecosystem Assumptions Year 1: Plant saplings Year 3: First harvest Year 5: Seeds harvested exceeds local demand
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Sensitivity Analysis: Entrepreneur
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Sensitivity Analysis: Akan Energy
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CostYieldEnvironment Required Inputs Food / Fuel Trade Feasibility for AE Model Jatropha Palm Sunflower Soy Bean Rapeseed Diesel N/A Biofuel Comparison
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Entrepreneur Equipment Details Capacity: 70-100 kg seed / hour (assume 60kg for model) Engine: 8 hp motor, capable of running on jatropha oil Fuel consumption: 1.5 liters / hours (est.) Oil Recovery: approximately 87% Uses: any hard seed with more than 25% oil content Lifetime: needs to be replaced every 5-10 years Cost: Approximately $2000 USD Sundhara / Sayari Mechanical Screw Oil Press
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Future Markets Jatropha Climate in 50% of Africa 1080 Million Ha Jatropha Seeds 300 MT Seeds / Yr 100 Million MT Jatropha Oil
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Akan Energy - Pro Forma
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Entrepreneur- Pro Forma
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Farmer - Pro Forma
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Fin Model Assumptions
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