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May 28, 2013 Evan Girvetz, PhD The Nature Conservancy Central Science and Climate and Disaster Risk Reduction.

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Presentation on theme: "May 28, 2013 Evan Girvetz, PhD The Nature Conservancy Central Science and Climate and Disaster Risk Reduction."— Presentation transcript:

1 May 28, 2013 Evan Girvetz, PhD The Nature Conservancy Central Science and Climate and Disaster Risk Reduction

2 Neil Palmer, CIAT

3

4 Assess Risk

5 http://ClimateKnowledgePortal.ClimateWizard.org

6 Climate Impact Models Assess Impacts (Modeling by partners Natural Capital Project and CGIAR-CIAT) – General Circulation Climate Models – Hydrologic modeling SWATInVEST

7

8 http://news.com.au

9 Assess Risk Evaluate Solutions

10

11

12 Analyze Solutions

13 Assess Risk Evaluate Solutions Design Investments

14 Biophysicalweights Biophysical weights Feasibility ofActivities –StakeholderPreferences Feasibility of Activities – Stakeholder Preferences Changes inLanduse Changes in Landuse Feasibility ofActivities –StakeholderPreferences Feasibility of Activities – Stakeholder Preferences Changes inLanduse Changes in Landuse Portfolio ofInvestments Portfolio of Investments RIOS: Optimized Portfolio of Investments EstimatedCosts ofActivities Estimated Costs of Activities Erodibility Erosivity Slope Vegetation Condition Management Factor Retention Efficiency

15 Fences Protection Restoration Silvopasture Optimized Investments Total Budget (US$ Millions) Change in Sediment Retention (%)

16 RIOS: Planning for the Future 2013 ActivityWeightsInvestmentPortfolio 2030 2050 Year Optimal Portfolio of Investments Over Time

17 Assess Risk Evaluate Solutions Design Investments Implement & Monitor

18 Solution: Silvopastoral System (Livestock and Trees) Neil Palmer, CIAT

19 Assess Risk Evaluate Solutions Design Investments Implement & Monitor Science & Tools Capacity Building Stakeholder Engagement Partner Collaboration

20

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