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Malformation rates in Bavaria following the Chernobyl accident Alfred Körblein Munich Environmental Institute
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Monthly malformation rates in Bavaria
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Caesium-137 deposition in Bavaria
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BfS study: no significant effect on odds ratios
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Ratio of maformation rates southern vs. northern Bavaria (odds ratios)
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Caesium burden of pregnant women
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Odds ratios after shifting time windows
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Dependency on caesium deposition
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Odds ratio: Ratio of malformation rates in Nov+Dec 1987 to rates in Nov+Dec of all other years (1984-1991)
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Results No increase of malformation rates in 1987 relative to the long- term trend for Bavaria as a whole In Nov+Dec 1987, seven months after the maximum caesium burden of pregnant women, malformation rates are nearly 2- times higher in southern Bavaria than in northern Bavaria Analysis on a district level reveals a significant dependency on caesium deposition in Nov+Dec 1987 Decrease of malformation rates in districts with low caesium deposition, increase where caesium deposition is high. Sum effect: no increase in Bavarian average, 1987
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