1. Economic Prosperity and Resilience In the New Era of Biocapacity Constraints Mathis Wackernagel, Ph.D. April 2011 – UN Dialogue on “Harmony with Nature”

2. Biocapacity Creditors and Biocapacity Debtors

4. Global Footprint --------------------------- = 1.5 Global Biocapacity Biocapacity Creditors and Biocapacity Debtors

5. The Ecological Footprint CARBON footprint

6. Biocapacity: How much bioproductive area is available to us? Ecological Footprint: How much bioproductive area do we demand? Accounting Framework for Ecological Services

7. The Basic Equation Amount per year Area = ------------------------- Yield Translate area from ha into global ha…

8. Biocapacity per person Ecological Footprint

9. Biocapacity per person Italy

10. Italy’s Biocapacity Deficit Italy’s relative GDP per capita (compared to World)

11. A special report on debt Re: A better way The rich world should worry about growth- promoting reforms more than short-term fiscal austerity

12. Ecological Creditors and Ecological Debtors in Europe Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity PER CAPITA,1961-2005 HU DKAT DE ES RO SE CH IT PT NL FR PO GR RU BE FI UK IR SK CZ BY RS UA

13. Mathis’ life (1962 – onwards) Annual deficit adds up to a global biocapacity debt

14. UN’s Most Moderate Scenario Mathis’ life

19. Preparing for resource constraints is in the most direct self-interest of cities and countries. (much more so than for individuals or companies…) mathis@footprintnetwork.org

20. we’re working on national govs offical national gov Footprint studies (2011) WBCSD UNDP EP and EC UNEP Green Econ. SEEA (?)

21. Summary The planet has limits. Do you know how much biocapacity you have? and how much you use? Blindness costs lives & opportunities. Link to economic stability and competitiveness mathis@footprintnetwork.org

22. Ecological Footprint per person Biocapacity per person Deficit ITALY 2007

23. / = PER CAPITA ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT (DEMAND) PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION RESOURCE EFFICIENCY DIFFERENCE BETW. BIOCAPACITY DEMAND AND BIOCAP. SUPPLY PER CAPITA BIOCAPACITY (SUPPLY) x AREA BIO- PRODUCTIVITY / POPULATION = Five Factors

24. WBCSD Vision 2050 - Who’s in? 24WBCSD Vision 2050

25. Measuring “sustainable development” development  HDI  Sustainable (fits on one planet?)

26. Ecological Creditors and Ecological Debtors in Africa Ecological Footprint and Biocapacity PER CAPITA,1961-2005 MW CGAO Alge. CI SD ZM UG ML NE MG ET MZ KE SN BF GH ZA MA EG NG CM TZ ZW

27. Biocapacity Ecological Footprint Shrinking Biocapacity Credit Increasing Ecological and Social Instability

28. 15 Sustainability wedges for ending overshoot by 2050 (WBCSD)

31. MRIO (GTAP7 based) covering 93 countries (+ 20 regions) Consumption – break down national total into 57 consumption categories Import – which countries do these 57 cats come from? Export – in which countries do exports get consumed? NEW!