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QMD: Waiting-line analysis

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Presentation on theme: "QMD: Waiting-line analysis"— Presentation transcript:

1 QMD: Waiting-line analysis

2 Overview Terminology Characteristics of Waiting-lines
Operating characteristics M/M/1 model – single channel Example: video store M/M/S model – multi-channel Example: Multiplex theater Psychology of waiting

3 You’ve Been There Before!
QM D Total Cost per Hours You’ve Been There Before! © 1995 Corel Corp. Thank you for holding. Hello...are you there? ‘The other line always moves faster.’ ‘If you change lines, the one you left will start to move faster than the one you’re in.’ MGT 301 S.K. Williams

4 Waiting Line System Population Service Facility Waiting Line

5 QM D Total Cost per Hours
Waiting Line Examples Situation Arrivals Servers Service Process MGT 301 S.K. Williams

6 QM D Total Cost per Hours
Waiting Line Examples Situation Arrivals Servers Service Process Bank Customer Teller Deposit etc. Doctor’s Patient Doctor Treatment office Traffic Cars Light Controlled intersection passage Assembly line Parts Workers Assembly Tool crib Workers Clerks Check out/in tools MGT 301 S.K. Williams

7 Waiting Line Terminology
QM D Total Cost per Hours Waiting Line Terminology Queue: Waiting line Arrival: 1 person, machine, part, etc. that arrives and demands service Queue discipline: Rules for determining the order that arrivals receive service Channel: Number of servers Phase: Number of steps in service MGT 301 S.K. Williams

8 Arrival Characteristics of a Waiting Line System
Population Service Facility Waiting Line Pattern of arrivals random scheduled Behavior of the arrivals join the queue, and wait until served No balking; refuse to join the line No reneging; leave the line

9 QM D Total Cost per Hours
Balking Input source Service facility Waiting line Service system © 1995 Corel Corp. Line was too long! MGT 301 S.K. Williams 2

10 QM D Total Cost per Hours
Reneging Input source Service facility Waiting line Service system © 1995 Corel Corp. I give up! MGT 301 S.K. Williams 2

11 Line Characteristics of a Waiting Line System - continued
Population Service Facility Waiting Line Length of the queue limited unlimited Service priority FIFO other

12 Waiting Line Arrangements
Service facilities (a) Single line

13 Waiting Line Arrangements
Service facilities (a) Single line Service facilities (b) Multiple lines

14 Waiting Line Arrangements
Service facilities (a) Single line Service facilities (b) Multiple lines

15 Service Facility Characteristics of a Waiting Line System - continued
Population Waiting Line Number of channels single multiple Number of phases in service system

16 Service Facility Arrangements

17 Service Facility Arrangements
(a) Single channel, single phase

18 Single-Channel, Single-Phase System
QM D Total Cost per Hours Single-Channel, Single-Phase System Arrivals Served units Service facility Queue Service system Dock Waiting ship line Ships at sea Ship unloading system Empty ships MGT 301 S.K. Williams 63

19 Service Facility Arrangements
(b) Single channel, multiple phase

20 Single-Channel, Multi-Phase System
QM D Total Cost per Hours Single-Channel, Multi-Phase System Arrivals Served units Service facility Queue Service system Pick-up Waiting cars Cars in area McDonald’s drive-through Pay Cars & food MGT 301 S.K. Williams 64

21 Service Facility Arrangements
(c) Multiple channel, single phase

22 Multi-Channel, Single Phase System
QM D Total Cost per Hours Multi-Channel, Single Phase System Arrivals Served units Service facility Queue Service system Example: Bank customers wait in single line for one of several tellers. MGT 301 S.K. Williams 62

23 Decision Areas Arrival rates Number of service channels
Number of phases Service time Priority rule Line arrangement

24 Performance Measures or Operating Characteristics
QM D Total Cost per Hours Performance Measures or Operating Characteristics Average queue length, Lq Average number in system, Ls Average queue time, Wq Average time in system, Ws System utilization,  MGT 301 S.K. Williams

25 Types of Queuing Models
QM D Total Cost per Hours Types of Queuing Models Simple (M/M/1) Example: Information booth at mall Multi-channel (M/M/S) Example: Airline ticket counter Constant Service (M/D/1) Example: Automated car wash Limited Population Example: Department with only 7 drills MGT 301 S.K. Williams

26 Simple (M/M/1) Model Characteristics
QM D Total Cost per Hours Simple (M/M/1) Model Characteristics Type: Single-channel, single-phase system Queue: Unlimited; single line Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS) Service rate > arrival rate MGT 301 S.K. Williams

27 Queuing Models  - ‘lambda’  - ‘mu’ arrival rate of the customers
service rate for a single server If the service time is 15 minutes per customer, what is the service rate??

28 Simple (M/M/1) Model Equations
QM D Total Cost per Hours Simple (M/M/1) Model Equations Average number of customers in the system Average number of customers in the queue MGT 301 S.K. Williams

29 Simple (M/M/1) Model Equations
Average time customers are in the system Average time customers are in the queue

30 Simple (M/M/1) Model Equations
Utilization factor – percent of time that the single server is busy; also the probability that a customer will wait

31 Example: Video Store The manager of a video store is interested in providing good service. On a Friday or Saturday night, on average 30 customers per hour arrive at the counter to check out a video. The customers are served at an average rate of 35 customers per hour from a single cash register.

32 Example: Video Store Determine the operating characteristics for the video store. Average number of customers in line Average number of customers in the system Average wait time in line Average time in the system Server utilization

33 Average number of customers in line

34 Average number of customers in the system

35 Average wait time in line

36 Average time in the system

37 Server utilization

38 Example: Video Store What service rate would be required to have customers average only 5 minutes in the system?

39 What service rate would be required to have customers average only 5 minutes in the system?
GO TO EXCEL OM

40 Multichannel (M/M/S) Model Characteristics
QM D Total Cost per Hours Multichannel (M/M/S) Model Characteristics Type: Multichannel system Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS)  Service rates > arrival rate MGT 301 S.K. Williams

41 Multichannel M/M/S Equations
QM D Total Cost per Hours Multichannel M/M/S Equations Probability of zero customers in the system: Average number of customers in the system: Average number of customers waiting for service: MGT 301 S.K. Williams

42 Multichannel M/M/S Equations
QM D Total Cost per Hours Multichannel M/M/S Equations Average time a unit spends in the system: Average time a person or unit spends in the queue MGT 301 S.K. Williams

43 Example: Movie Theater
A multiplex movie theater has 3 concession clerks serving customers on a first come, first served basis. The service time per customer is exponentially distributed with an average of 2 minutes per customer. Concession customers arrive at a rate of 81 customers per hour. 10 minutes of previews run in the lobby. If the average time in the concession area exceed 10 minutes, customers become dissatisfied.

44 Example: Movie theater
What is the average number of customers in the concession area?

45 What is the average number of customers in the concession area?
GO TO EXCEL OM

46 Multiplex Movie Theater
The distribution is reducing the length of the previews to 8 minutes. How many servers will be required to so that the average wait is no longer than 8 minutes?

47 QM D Total Cost per Hours
Total cost per Hour= waiting cost + service cost TC = CwLs + KCs Cw – cost of waiting per hour per customer Ls – number of customers in the system K – number of servers Cs- service cost per hour per server MGT 301 S.K. Williams

48 Total Cost: Video Store
Considering adding another cashier for Friday and Saturday nights. Part-time cashier will cost $6.00 per hour Customers waiting time (cost of goodwill, etc) is $10.00 per hour. Is it cost effective to hire the cashier?

49 Total Cost: Video Store M/M/1
TC = CwLs + KC Cw = $10/hour Ls = 6 K = 1 CS = $6.00/hr TC = 10(6) (6) = $66/hour

50 Total Cost: Video Store M/M/2
TC = CwL + KC Cw = $10/hour Ls = 1.05 K = 2 Cs = $6.00/hr TC = 10(1.05) + 2(6) = $22.50/hr

51 Remember:  &  Are Rates
QM D Total Cost per Hours Remember:  &  Are Rates  = Mean number of arrivals per time period e.g., 3 units/hour  = Mean number of people or items served per time period e.g., 4 units/hour 1/ = 15 minutes/unit If average service time is 15 minutes, then μ is 4 customers/hour © T/Maker Co. MGT 301 S.K. Williams

52 The Psychology of Waiting
Maister’s (1985) Propositions of customer satisfaction in queues Unoccupied time feels longer than occupied time Pre-process wait feels longer than in-process waits. Anxiety makes waits feel longer

53 The Psychology of Waiting
Uncertain waits seem longer than certain waits Unexplained waits seem longer than explained waits Unfair waits seem longer than equitable waits

54 Psychology of Waiting More valuable the service, the longer people will wait. Solo waiting feels longer than group waiting.


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