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SIX SIGMA QUALITY METRICS vs TAGUCHI LOSS FUNCTION Luis Arimany de Pablos, Ph.D. www.calidad-seis-sigma.com
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outside the mean 2 a maximum 25% of the values outside the mean 3 a maximum 11.11% of the values outside the mean 4 a maximum 6.25% of the values outside the mean 5 a maximum 4% of the values outside the mean 6 a maximum 2.77% of the values FOR ANY DISTRIBUTION
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outside the mean 2 there are 4.55% of the values outside the mean 3 there are 0.27% of the values outside the mean 4 there are 0.006% of the values outside the mean 5 there are 5.74·10 -5 % of the values outside the mean 6 there are 19.8·10 -8 % of the values FOR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION ( two tails )
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One of Motorola´s most significant contributions was to change the discussion of quality, from quality levels measured in % (parts-per- hundred), to one, in parts per million, or, even, parts per billion
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to the right of the mean + 2 there are 22,750 per million to the right of the mean +3 there are 1,349.96 per million to the right the mean + 4 there are 31.686 per million to the right of the mean + 5 there are 0.28715 per million to the right of the mean + 6 there are 0.001 per million FOR NORMAL DISTRIBUTION ( one tail )
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DEFECTIVE PRODUCT OR SERVICE X USLX LSL If we set the Specification Limits at m 3 On average 0.27 % defectives 2.7 per thousand 2,700 per million 1,350 per million (one tail)
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We should have a process with such a low dispersion that Specification Limits are at: m 6 0.00198 defective per million 0.001 per million in one tail 0.002 per million
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Process Capability Index, Cp (Potential Capability) Cp = ( USL-LSL)/6 USL-LSL = Specification interval 6 = Process Capability
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Process Centred at Target Process CpLSLUSL Right hand ppm defective 11 22 33 44 55 66 158,655 22,750 1,350 31.686 0.287 0.001 0.33 0.66 1 1.33 1.66 2 m- 1 m+ 1 m-2 2 m+2 2 m-3 m+3 m-4 4 m+4 4 m-5 5 m+5 5 m-6 6 m+6 6
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We should have a process with such a low dispersion that Specification Limits are at: m 6 0.00198 defective per million 0.001 per million in one tail 0.002 per million
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Working with 6 methodology you get 3.4 defectives per million How can this be, if the exact figure is 0.002 ppm (or 0.001 ppm if we consider only one tail)?
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Even if a process is under control it is not infrequent to see that the process mean moves up (or down) to target mean plus (minus) 1.5 . If this is the case, the worst case, working with the 6 Philosophy will guarantee that we will not get more than 3.4 defectives per million products or services
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Let us assume that the process mean is not at the mid-point of the specification interval, the target value m, but at m+1.5
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Process Capability Index, Cpk Cpk = ( USL-mp)/3 USL = Upper Specification Limit mp = process mean 3 =Half Process Capability
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Process Centred at m + 1.5 ProcessCpk USL Right hand ppm defective 11 22 33 44 55 66 691,464 308,536 66,807 6,209.66 232.67 3.4 -0.166 0.166 0.5 0.83 1.166 1.5 m+ 1 -0.51 m+2 2 0.5 m+3 1.5 m+4 4 2.5 m+5 5 3.5 m+6 6 4.5 Z score
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Process Centred at m + 1.5 Process Right hand ppm defective 11 22 33 44 55 66 691,464 308,536 66,807 6,209.66 232.67 3.4 Process Centred at m Cpk -0.166 0.166 0.5 0.83 1.166 1.5 Right hand ppm defective Cp 0.33 0.66 1 1.33 1.66 2 158,655 22,750 1,350 31.69 0.287 0.001
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QUALITY The Loss that a product or service produces to Society, in its production, transportation, consumption or use and disposal (Dr. Genichi Taguchi)
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L=k(x i -m) 2 E(L)=k 2
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Loss Function (Process Centred at Target) Six Sigma Metric Cp R H ppm defective 11 22 33 44 55 66 158,655 22,750 1,350 31.686 0.287 0.001 0.33 0.66 1 1.33 1.66 2 Loss Function 33 1.5 0.75 0.6 0.5 Standard Deviation 9k 2 2.25k 2 1k 2 0.56k 2 0.36k 2 0.25k 2
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Loss Function (Process Centred at m+1.5 ) Six Sigma Metric Cpk R H ppm defective 11 22 33 44 55 66 691,464 308,536 66,807 6,209.66 232.67 3.4 -0.16 0.16 0.5 0.83 1.16 1.5 Loss Function 33 1.5 0.75 0.6 0.5 Standard Deviation 29.25k 2 7.3125k 2 3.25k 2 1.8281k 2 1.17k 2 0.8125k 2
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Six Sigma Metric Cpk 11 22 33 44 55 66 -0.16 0.16 0.5 0.83 1.16 1.5 Loss Function (Process Centred at m+1.5 ) 29.25k 2 7.3125k 2 3.25k 2 1.8281k 2 1.17k 2 0.8125k 2 Loss Function (Process Centred at m) 9k 2 2.25k 2 1k 2 0.56k 2 0.36k 2 0.25k 2 Cp 0.33 0.66 1 1.33 1.66 2
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Six Sigma Metric Cpk 11 22 33 44 55 66 -0.16 0.16 0.5 0.83 1.16 1.5 R H ppm defective (Process Centred at m+1.5 ) R H ppm defective (Process Centred at m) Cp 0.33 0.66 1 1.33 1.66 2 158,655 22,750 1,350 31.686 0.287 0.001 691,464 308,536 66,807 6,209.66 232.67 3.4
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AVERAGE RUN LENGTH 3 Sigma process Probability to detect the change 0.5 Average Run Length 2
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AVERAGE RUN LENGTH 4 Sigma process Probability to detect the change 0.158655 Average Run Length 6.42
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AVERAGE RUN LENGTH 5 Sigma process Probability to detect the change 0.02275 Average Run Length 43.45
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AVERAGE RUN LENGTH 6 Sigma process Probability to detect the change 0.001349 Average Run Length 740.76
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Six Sigma Metric Standard Deviation 33 44 55 66 33 0.75 3 0.6 3 0.5 3 Probability of Defectives after the Shift Expected Number of samples to detect the Shift 2 6.42 43.45 740.76 0.5 0.158655 0.02275 0.001349 Average Run Length USL
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Six Sigma Metric Standard Deviation 33 44 55 66 33 0.75 3 0.6 3 0.5 3 Probability of Defectives after the Shift Expected Number of samples to detect the Shift 2 6.42 43.45 740.76 0.5 0.158655 0.02275 0.00134996 Average Run Length
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