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Published byBeverly Hill Modified over 9 years ago
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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.
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Earthquake & Tsunami Est. 8,000 people dead & 12,000 missing Est. $100-$200 billion in damage/repair One time incident (aside from after-shocks) Nuclear Power Plants Damaged 6 reactors/spent fuel-rod pools, some leaking radiation Reactors 150 miles north of Tokyo Situation still Unresolved….
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Potential for catastrophe, could be as worse as Chernobyl if situation not contained Engineers, firefighters, and military working around the clock to prevent disaster Fuel rods must be kept from over heating Military using choppers to dump water on reactors in order to keep cool Firefighters using water cannons on ground Engineers trying to restore power to water pumps (very critical)
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Nuclear Alert Level Raised Airtime: Fri. March. 18 2011 | 1:15 PM ET
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Japan is the 3 rd largest economy in the world Nuclear situation could weaken economy long- term if not resolved Japanese Economy: Export economy, major world supplier of technology & autos
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The Market’s Next Move Airtime: Fri. Mar. 18 2011 | 12:08 PM ET
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Investors cautious ahead of the weekend Taking positions off, holding cash Watching what’s going on in Japan & Middle East Many think the Japan situation will improve Some think Japan will have long term economic problems
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PKX (steel) MTL (steel & coking coal) XSRAF(copper, thermal coal, coking coal) BHP (iron ore, copper, coking coal) BTU (thermal coal) VALE (iron ore) OGZPY (nat gas) CVX (nat gas & oil)
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Japan & Middle East Dictate the Market
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Signals U.S. banking sector is healthy & stronger All 19 of the largest banks tested passed Banking system is profitable now 30% payout ratio limits
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RBC’s Cassidy on Bank Dividend Increases Airtime: Fri. Mar. 18 2011 | 1:36 PM ET RBC's Outlook on Banks
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Dramatic increase in dividends in next 3 years for banks Dividends will increase as earnings increase (higher ratio) A lot of M&A in banking sector in next 3-5 years Both borrowers & lenders will have more confidence, take more risk
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Is the Bull Market Broken? Airtime: Thurs. Mar. 17 2011 | 4:27 PMET
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Beginning of a major correction? Or just a normal healthy correction? (5%-7%) Market Technician: 3 weeks down, 7% correction since Feb high of 1,343 in S&P 500 Corrections are healthy, keeps the bull market going Says the financial sector will lead the way
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1 year chart of S&P 500
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Financials? JPM, BAC, C, WFC, USB, PNC, BK, STT, BBT Triple leveraged (3X) ETF’s? Bulls: FAS, EDC, TNA, ERX, DRN Bears: FAZ, EDZ, TZA, ERY, DRV
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P/E ratios is the price of the stock divided by annualized earnings Market often looks at projected future earnings of a company Normal P/E ratios range from 10x-20x earnings 15x often considered fair value Some sectors trade at different earnings multiples, like casino stocks (very high) Stocks like AAPL, HAL, BHP, MTL, & BAC have upward trends in their projected future earnings, BUY!!!
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