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4th International Symposium on Flood Defence: Managing Flood Risk, Reliability and Vulnerability Toronto, Ontario, Canada, May 6-8, 2008 CHARACTERIZATION OF FARM VULNERABILITY TO FLOODING FOR ECONOMIC APPRAISAL OF FLOOD MANAGEMENT PROJECTS Brémond Pauline, Bauduceau Nicolas and Grelot Frédéric
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French background and purpose Framework for an economic assessment of farm vulnerability to flooding −Assessment at plot scale => assessment at farm scale Current assessment methods of agriculture vulnerability Vulnerability assessment at the farm scale Farm A Farm B
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French background analysis WHY? −Policy-driven economic appraisals of flood management projects −Agriculture lands impacted by flood management policies −Non-structural measure efficiency can not be appraised −Little work on agriculture vulnerability HOW? −Modeling flood effects on farming system
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Assessing vulnerability Definition / assessment Economic appraisals: flood impacts ascertaining and valuation −Lack of understanding of impacts −Difficulties to value intangible, indirect impacts Address social, financial, temporal dimensions in vulnerability assessment Hazard parameters : Depth of submersion Duration of submersion Speed Season Monetary damage (€) D = V(A) System vulnerability
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Existing approaches to assess agriculture vulnerability to flood Agro-economic models −First work 1970 (USA) −Monetary loss due to crop damage Existing methods for quantifying agricultural area vulnerability to flooding do not reflect the whole impact of a project on agricultural areas Agriculture deemed as a sum of plots instead of an economic activity Example: a flooded vineyard
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Plan Loire tackles the issue of agriculture vulnerability Relevant scale to assess vulnerability = farms A qualitative measurement of farm vulnerability −To diagnose and reduce farm vulnerability −A tool : diagnostic handbook Go further => develop an approach to quantifying farm vulnerability
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Results: internal flood effects on the farming system Buildings Deterioration + inaccessibility Human beings Physiological and psychological injury Plots Deterioration + possible inaccessibility Equipment Deterioration + possible inaccessibility Stock of input Deterioration t 0 submersion t 1 post submersion Non optimal realization of several production cycle Delay of investment Loss of markets (long term) t 2 post submersion Damage (flood effects) Hazard parameters Depth of submersion Season … Damage t Agricultural output Bank Compensations Subsidies Loans Financial resources available Product Added value State Insurance Farmer financial resources reparation Farming system Human beings (workforce) plot Buildings Equipment Stock of input
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Results: external flood effects on the farming system Agricultural output Financial resources available Added value of the product reparation Distribution chain Deterioration + possible inaccessibility Input suppliers Deterioration + possible inaccessibility Farming system Human beings (workforce) plot Buildings Equipment Stock of input
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Conclusions and implications in further research A framework for quantifying agriculture vulnerability which integrates more effects −Mid term and long term effects −Systemic effects −Financial effects Compare results of Cost-Benefit Analysis −methods at plot scale / modeling at the farm scale
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Thank you for your attention! Any questions? Pauline Bremond pauline.bremond@cemagref.fr Montpellier, FRANCE
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