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Understanding FDI FDI Major Role (?) In Global Business Arguments For & Against FDI FDI for Quick Pay Backs (Outflows) FDI, CSR & Fanfare for People FDI, BRIC and Argentina FDI & Transfer Pricing Slide-1
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FDI Types Outward Inward Classified on Routing Basis Vertical FDI Slide-2
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FDI in Past & Near Future Global FDI in USD 1999636 bln 2010 (Forecast)1.2 Trillion 2011 (Forecast)1.3-1.5 Trillion 2012 (Forecast)1.6 – 2. Trillion FDI by M & A Investments in High Tech Sectors- Complicated Slide-3
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FDI for Going Global Investment Decisions from Assessment of Internal Resources Competitiveness Market Analysis & Expectation Incentives for FDI Infrastructures etc Local Regulations Payback Time Profitability and Repatriation Slide-4
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Studies on FDI FDI Role- Not Substantiated FDI, Account for mere 2% of Global GDP Profit Repatriation by MNC exceed FDI Inflow FDI in Form of High Tech as Equity FDI for Transfer of Skill & Expertise FDI is Partly Pro-cyclical FDI & Portfolio Inv. Equally Unreliable Slide-5
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FDI & Employment M & A of FDI hardly promote Employment FDI in Machineries & Intellectual Property FDI causes 60 – 70% Job Losses FDI has Limitations, yet welcome FDI for kleptocracies in governance misrouted to Swiss & Cypriot Bank A\C Causes Asset Bubbles from black money Slide-6
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World Investment Report 2010 1. Global Inflow in Billion USD YearDevelopedDevelopingOthersTotal 20071444565912100 200810186301231771 2009566478701114 2. Global Outflow in Billion USD YearDevelopedDevelopingOthersTotal 20071924292522268 20081572296611929 2009821229511101 Slide-7
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3. A LOOK AT TOP 20 FDI Recipients Slide-8
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4. UNCTAD FDI FORECAST 5. Global Economy Contracted 2% in 2009 to grow by 3% in 2010. Net Growth ? YearUSD 20101.2Trillion 20111.3Trillion 20121.6Trillion Slide-9
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FDI in Bangladesh FCY Promotion & Protection Act 1980 For FDI FDI is welcome YearMillion USD 2009900 2008793 2007793 2006989 2005845.30 Special Zones for FDI Refer to Table-2 (Page-6) Slide-10
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FACTS ABOUT BANGLADESH FDI 81% of Total Investment for Private Sector FY 2008-2009- Private Inv. Tk.120,200 Cr.FY 2009-2010 Tk.136,285 Cr. 14.6% of GDP in FY 2008-2009 and 19.74% of GDP in FY 2009-2010(Prov) Table 4 shows - Doing Business & Bangladesh Slide-11
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Private Inv. Proposal in 2009-2010 Tk 12,637 Cr. and FDI Tk. 4,262 Cr. Upto Feb 2010(BOI). Bangladesh Performed Better during Financial Crisis- FDI attracted from EU, ASEAN & FarEast Bangladesh BB Forum for Facilitating Recent FDI & Investment Trends Table-1 Vs Table-3 Slide-12
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Recurrent Bangladesh & Draft SFYP GDP to grow by 6%+ Past 3 years GDP grew 5.9% Average Poverty 56.67 in 1991/92 to 40% in 2005 5% Top have 20.85 times Income over 5% Bottom Slide-13
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PPP- 2% GDP in 2011 to 6% in 2015 GDP to grow 8% in 2015 Private Inv. 32% of GDP in 2015 from 19% Average yearly 29.6% Inv. in 2015 Power Generation of 9426 mw Added From US$ 9.5 Bln. Investment by 2015 Slide-14
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Profitability Attracts FDI FDI Constitute some 2% of Global GDP Can FDI alone Finance Development ? Bangladesh FDI FDI (FY 2010) USD 900 mln Private Investment Tk 136,285 Cr. GDP- USD 100 bln Oversight on FDI Needed Globalisation For Bangladesh Not Bangladesh for Globalisation CONCLUSION Slide-15
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