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1 Dr Ral Antic Chair, Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia
Tuberculosis Control in the Asia Pacific Region    Achievements, Deficiencies & Future Directions  Dr Ral Antic Chair, Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia

2 The 1st Asian Pacific Regional Conference 2007, IUATLD - APR
‘OVERCOMING AN OLD SCOURGE WITH A NEW FACE’

3 The 1st Asian Pacific Regional Conference 2007, IUATLD - APR
‘OVERCOMING AN OLD SCOURGE WITH A NEW FACE’ We could have (& have) been discussing, in this context Tuberculosis COPD Asthma Sleep Disorders ……. & others

4 Achievements in the last decade
What is different in the handling of these various disorders is The extent of the global and regional strategic planning for TB The structured multi-faceted public health approach as we have discussed That we are driving the ‘change agenda’ working back from defined targets and outcomes

5 Achievements and Deficiencies in TB
Global, Regional & Country What are we trying to achieve? Are our Directions and Targets right and achievable Do we have the ‘capacity’ to achieve the Vision, Goals and Targets we have set?

6 Achievements in TB in the last decade
The provision of effective Global, Regional and Country Leadership A sustained focus on development and updating of a Global and Regional Strategic Direction Its implementation in a strategic fashion Improvement in case detection and treatment Infrastructure building Better Surveillance and Quality monitoring

7 Achievements and Deficiencies
Global, Regional & Country In the last decade, we have appropriately changed direction But with the current tools, change is understandably slow. And this leaves us to wonder whether we are doing a good job.

8 Achievements and Deficiencies
Global, Regional & Country What is the burden of ill-health from TB ?

9 The Global TB Epidemic ‘Global TB Control’ , WHO Report 2007
TB is still a major cause of death worldwide, but the global epidemic is on the threshold of decline TB prevalence and death rates have probably been falling globally for several years But the total number of new TB cases is still rising slowly, as the population grows and the case-load continues to grow in the African, Eastern Mediterranean and SEA Regions

10 Estimated Burden from TB and Trends Western Pacific Region
Estimated 4 million cases of TB in WPR 2 million new cases Seven high burden countries account for >95% Cambodia, China, Lao PDR, Mongolia, PNG, Philippines & Vietnam

11 Stop TB Partnership Targets
By 2005: At least 70% of people with sputum smear-positive TB will be diagnosed (i.e. under the DOTS strategy), and at least 85% cured By 2015: The global burden of TB (per capita prevalence and death rates) will be reduced by 50% relative to 1990 levels By 2050: The global incidence of active TB will be less than 1 case per million population/year

12 WP Regional Goals & Targets Regional Committee WPR, 2000
Reduce TB prevalence and mortality by 50% in 2010 compared with 2000 Intermediate Targets (towards this goal): Detect 70% of estimated active cases Treat successfully 85% of these cases 100% DOTS coverage

13 What we have achieved in WPR
WPR achieved these intermediate targets in 2005. Also 26 countries globally have achieved targets - including China, the Philippines, Vietnam Targets were missed narrowly Globally: case detection % treatment success - 84% Treatment success in the SEA Region > 85%

14 MDR-TB and XDR-TB ‘The Global MDR-TB and XDR-TB Response Plan 2007-2008’ WHO Report 2007
> new cases of MDR-TB every year due to under investment in basic TB control, poor management of anti-TB drugs and transmission of drug-resistant strains. MDR-TB is much more difficult and costly to treat than drug susceptible TB recent work has shown that it is feasible and cost-effective to treat even in settings of limited resources.

15 MDR-TB and XDR-TB ‘The Global MDR-TB and XDR-TB Response Plan 2007-2008’ WHO Report 2007
Emerging XDR-TB The economic, social and health security of countries and communities with a high prevalence of TB threatened by it It is virtually untreatable TB among the bread-winners, parents and economically productive age groups.

16 MDR-TB and XDR-TB ‘The Global MDR-TB and XDR-TB Response Plan 2007-2008’ WHO Report 2007
Strengthening the coverage and quality of basic TB control is the first and most important measure to prevent MDR-TB and is the fundamental platform for deploying management of drug resistant TB Treat 1.6 rather than 0.8 million in 2008 with MDR-TB and save lives More costly >US$ 2.1B extra

17 Case Detection in WPR From < 40% to >70% overall in 5 years
Achieved by: Developing a strategic approach, The Global Plan to Stop TB Strengthening political commitment Accelerating DOTS expansion in public facilities Higher case detection success in many countries TB care more available and accessible Improving collaboration of health care providers Increase in financing and other resources

18 TB Performance Indicators in the Western Pacific Region, 2004
“Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 – 2010” Prevalance Rate (/105) Case detection SS+ (%) Treatment Success (%) Mortality Rate (/105) Australia 6 56 95 1 Cambodia 709 61 93 94 China 221 65 17 Hong Kong 77 72 78 Japan 39 62 76 4 Lao PDR 318 55 79 25 Malaysia 133 69 16 Mongolia 209 80 87 24 New Zealand 11 59 36 Papua New Guinea 448 31 58 42 Philippines 463 73 88 48 Republic of Korea 125 82 10 Singapore 41 67 Vietnam 232 89 92 22 TB Performance Indicators in the South East Asia Region, 2004 “National Tuberculosis Control Programs South East Asia Region” Indonesia 262 66 90 Thailand 218 74 20

19 Some future barriers to TB Control
Poverty, Housing, Social disruption The under-diagnosis of TB Perceived complexity of the public health systems we are promoting Natural progression of resistance in drugs The benefits and risks of having joint project eg malaria, smoking cessation, HIV-TB

20 Towards the Goals and Targets
Although the TB burden may be falling globally, the decline is not fast enough to meet the impact targets “Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 – 2010”

21 Estimated Trends Western Pacific Region
A decline of 15% in prevalence & 12% in mortality between Annual average of 4% and 3% respectively

22 Will achieving WHO targets reduce the notification rate?
The barriers Spread of HIV Accumulation of MDR-TB cases Insufficient access to high quality TB care for the poor and vulnerable populations and in private sector Lack of national guidelines & training materials Lack of human resources and their development AND/OR the rising numbers and urbanisation of the population Estimated targets and actual incidence need discussion

23 3 main areas of concern The current level of 70% detection will not be sufficient MDR-TB and TB-HIV co-infection will slow the annual decline Conventional DOTS service delivery does not guarantee equitable access to TB Services

24 The current position A new ‘Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific ’ has been developed to achieve the new targets.

25 The new Strategic Plan for WPR 2006-2010
To achieve the 50% reduction in prevalence & death rates, an 8% annual decline is needed The current annual decline is 3-4% There thus needs to be a change in approach This is the basis of the strengthened effort defined in the new Strategic Plan

26

27 TB (all case) notification and death rates per 100,000 in South Australia 1900 and 2006
160 140 Death Rate Notification Rate 120 100 3% decline Notification Rate/100,000 80 The National TB 60 Campaign improved 40 socioeconomic 10% conditions 4% 20 8% 14% 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year

28 The National TB Campaign Australia, 1948-1975
National Leadership (NTP) Commitment from National & State Govt Funding Legislative muscle – mandatory participation The Health Professions The community, because of community concern promotion of TB the disease and of the TB Campaign Financial incentives for patients with active disease to adhere to treatment A new Strategic Direction & sound systems, infrastructure Adequate funding Effective system of care active disease and infection case finding, new drugs, centralised treatment Adequate laboratory services DOT? Free drug supplies Appropriate monitoring systems, for individual care and Program No public/private mix, MDR-TB, HIV issues, but migration+

29 TB (all case) notification rate per 100,000 South Australia - 1945 to 2006 The National TB Campaign
60 20 18 50 16 14 40 12 Notification Rate / 100,000 30 Target rate of decline 10% per year Decline in Death Rate/ 100,000 10 8 20 Excess cases 6 4 10 2 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Death Rate Target decline rate

30 TB notification rate by age, Australian-Born South Australians between 1987 - 2006
0<14 15<24 25<34 35<44 45<54 55<64 > 65 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Notification Rate/100,000 Age

31

32

33 Elimination of TB as a public health problem
Framework of the Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific VISION Elimination of TB as a public health problem To reduce prevalence and mortality from all forms of TB by one half by 2010 relative to 2000, contributing to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals GOAL

34

35 Framework of the Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 - 2010
1.To sustain and optimize the quality of DOTS and go beyond the ‘70/85’ targets Case detection rate (beyond 70%) Cure rate (beyond 85%) 2. To ensure equitable access to high quality TB care for all people with TB Proportion of Facilities (include private or general hospitals) providing or referring to DOTS (at least 90%) 3. To adapt DOTS to respond to MDR TB and TB-HIV co infection Proportion of identified MDR-TB cases by DST provided with 2nd line treatment (at least 90%) identified HIV positive TB, eligible for ART, that are provided with ART CORE TARGETS Beyond 70% CDR At least 90% DOTS-Plus Treatment coverage of MDR-TB OBJECTIVES At least 90% ART coverage of HIV positive TB At least 90% PPMD coverage

36

37 Framework of the Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 - 2010
Country capacity quality of diagnosis for TB assured (i.e. smear microscopy, culture, chest X-ray) At least 90% laboratory units with satisfactory performance Improved TB case management in non- NTP TB facilities At least 85% cure rate of TB cases managed by non- NTP facilities Assessment of MDR-TB in targeted countries All targeted countries Have assessed their MDR-TB situation through drug resistance surveillance Adoption of the International Standards of TB Care & the Patients Charter for TB Care All countries have introduced the above standards DOTS-Plus initiated/scaled up in targeted countries At least 6 have initiated/scaled up DOTS-Plus. At least 10%0f failure cases tested by DST Uninterrupted supply of quality-assured anti-TB drugs at all DOTS units 100% of treatment units with uninterrupted supply of drugs in a given year EXPECTED RESULTS TB-HIV framework for collaboration developed & implemented All targeted countries are implementing TB-HIV surveillance Increased utilization of TB services by poor & vulnerable populations At least 10% of cases notified under pro-poor TB initiatives Enhanced case management for all registered TB cases, including smear negative TB All HBC have developed guidelines for diagnosis & treatment of smear negative TB e.g. children Country-driven advocacy, communications & social mobilisation strategies developed & implemented All HBC are implementing ACSM strategies for TB control on a national scale Access of TB patients to HIV Services At least 70% of TB patients tested for HIV in Category 1 and 2 countries/areas. At least 70% of newly diagnosed patients with HIV tested for TB

38

39 Components of the Strategic Plan & Implementation approaches
1. Pursue high quality DOTS expansion & enhancement Political commitment with increased & sustained financing Case detection through quality assured bacteriology Standardised treatment with supervision & patient support An effective drug supply & management system Monitoring & evaluation system & impact measurement

40 Components of the Strategic Plan & Implementation approaches
2. Address TB-HIV, MDR-TB & other challenges Implement collaborative TB-HIV activities Prevent & control MDR-TB Address prisoners, refugees & other high-risk groups 3. Contribute to health system strengthening Actively participate in efforts to improve policy, human resources, financing, management service delivery & information systems Share innovations, including the Practical Approach to Lung Health (PAL) Adapt innovations from other fields

41 Components of the Strategic Plan & Implementation approaches
4. Engage all care providers a. Public-Public & Public-Private Mix approaches b. International Standards for TB Care (ISTC) 5. Empower people with TB & communities Advocacy, communications & social mobilisation Community participation in TB care Patients Charter for TB Care 6. Enable & promote research Program- based operational research Research to develop new drugs, vaccines & diagnostics

42 Framework of the Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 - 2010
Activities directed at producing expected results are to be implemented at inter-country, regional and country levels: - Inter-country and regional activities are in the WHO plans of action - Country level activities are in the National TB Control Plans ACTIVITIES 1. Ensured availability of essential staff required for TB control 90% of key positions required for TB control filled by trained staff 2. Sufficient financing for TB control ensured All HBC develop annual funding plan for NTP that incorporates all financial inputs and funding gaps 3. Evidence-based policy and implementation strategy development through operations research (e.g. PAL, information system, child TB, and new diagnostic modalities) CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES

43 Estimated TB incidence rate, 2005
Estimated new TB cases (all forms) per population No estimate 0-24 25-49 50-99 300 or more The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement.  WHO All rights reserved

44 What have we learned from the presentations?
The current burden of disease remains large There are important Regional and Country successes Some targets are being achieved but The targets and so strategic plans are needing to be revised to achieve the primary Goal There are significant barriers Do we have systems in place to achieve these targets and overcome the barriers?

45 What else can/should we need to do?
What more should we (jointly) do – as the Union, the APR IUATLD, WHO, APSR & the many other organizations and as individuals? What is the real view of our Communities and Governments about TB - what is the image of TB? What can this and our future Conferences and its participants contribute to furthering the objectives of the Region? What are the special skills and the special ‘Capital’ that the attendees and their organisations bring?

46 The Future Direction The vision ‘The elimination of TB’ is right
The objectives are right. It needs global and local leadership It needs the proper application of our knowledge The resolve must be strengthened All cases have to be found and treated New drugs must be found More resources are needed TB can be eliminated.

47 It can be and it has to be done

48 My Thanks To: The Congress President The Secretariat
The Chair of the Organizing Committee The Chair of the Organizing Scientific Committee The Speakers and …. to all of you who have attended and participated

49 Dr Ral Antic Chair, Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia
Tuberculosis Control in the Asia Pacific Region    Achievements, Deficiencies & Future Directions  Dr Ral Antic Chair, Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia

50 What is the role of APR IUATLD?
Workforce Training Advocacy Service provision

51 What is the APR IUATLD The Asian Pacific Region of the UNION
In 2006, the Eastern Region IUATLD was divided into 2 new Regions, the South East Asian and Asian Pacific The aim was to reduce the size of the Regions to help facilitate their TB work There are 16 APR constituent member countries and other organisations and individuals

52 The different & complementary roles
Global and regional organisations Organisations within each country Governments Government and non-Government Organisations Different countries Within countries

53 Functional relationships
Organisations responsible for different diseases with overlapping risk factors and populations e.g. malaria, TB, AIDS

54 The challenges and barriers 1
The Private Sector NTP does not cover private sectors. Detailed information on case-finding activities & treatment outcomes are not known yet. The pilot project of Private-public mix (PPM) just started this year on a small scale with collaboration from some of university hospitals NTP has a plan to make guidelines for PPM The issues and challenges relate to improving the quality of reporting and treatment activities within the private sector How to increase the level of access of illegal foreign workers to medical facilities Case Finding and associated delays How to strengthen the capabilities of health workers in conducting contact investigation of TB outbreaks

55 The barriers 1 Laboratories
Challenge is to integrate commercial laboratories into the laboratory network of NTP and to expand quality assurance system Coordination & collaboration between TB, HIV, Malaria programs High burden and mortality of HIV among TB patients and TB among HIV-infected persons, and the high mortality rate of TB/HIV patients, successful TB/HIV collaboration is essential. The political commitment has been critical for initiating the collaboration between programs The support from technical and financial partners has facilitated the implementation of the collaborative activities

56 The barriers 2 This largely entails the sustenance of quality D.O.T.S. implementation and undertaking this in the context of health sector reforms and globalization. DOTS and DOTS beyond is our way forward. (Phil) The challenges including: ( chin) Migrants, MDR-TB, TB/HIV Quality of DOTS implementation to be improved Mechanism to ensure sustainability Inadequate human resource Adequacy of infrastructure Adequate funding of Programs Surveillance Health promotion Strengthen human resource development Lack of resources to tackle new challenges

57 Future Directions The global community needs to continue to take responsibility and make world-wide TB control a high priority

58 Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006-2010
A Road Map Ensure quality of TB Services Respond to challenge of rising MDRTB, TB-HIV co-infection Increasing case detection rate To get public and private health sector involved in TB control Increasing funding and regional and country level

59 Prisons Correctional institutions Social sponsored centers Development of a TB like Unit Cooperation and coordination of NTP, NTP/HIV, Ministry of Health, Ministry of Labor, War Invalids and Social Welfare and Ministry of Public Security Sustain political interest, training guidelines, advocacy and incentives, monitoring and supervision

60 Financing TB Control Although the funds available for TB control have increased enormously since 2002 ($2.0 billion US in 2007). Interventions on the scale required by the Global Plan to Stop TB would cost an extra $1.1 billion US in 2007 The Global Plan is more costly than country budgets primarily because it anticipates greater TB/HIV requirements: management, advocacy, communication & social mobilisation, especially in the African and South-East Asia regions Greater expenditure was associated with improved case-finding in Bangladesh, China, Congo, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Myanmar & Nigeria There was no systematic relationship between incremental expenditure and improved case detection across all HBCs The relationship between spending and case-finding needs to be investigated and understood country by country.

61 DOTS and the Stop TB Strategy
Most government health services now recognise that TB control must go beyond DOTS, but the broader Stop TB Strategy is not yet fully operational in most countries

62 Future Directions Countries and regions are more likely to reach these targets if they can increase budgets and step up activities in line with the Global Plan. Procedures for collecting financial and epidemiological data, and other information about programme performance, must be systematically improved. Surveillance and monitoring, and well-designed surveys, are a prerequisite for the accurate evaluation of progress in TB control.

63 The STOP TB STRATEGY The Objectives
To achieve universal access to high quality diagnosis and patient centered treatment To reduce the suffering and socioeconomic burden associated with TB To protect poor and vulnerable populations from TB, TB-HIV and MDR-TB To support development of new tools and enable their timely and effective use

64 To address high case fatality rates, it is necessary
HIV-TB IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC REGION PROGRESS OF TB/HIV COINFECTION CONTROL IN CHINA DR. PHILIPPE GLAZIOU Y.J.LAI*, S.W.JIANG*,W.B. YU**, L.ZHOU*, *National Center for TB Control and Prevention, China CDC, China **Tuberculosis Office of China Global Fund Program To address high case fatality rates, it is necessary to rapidly step-up the implementation of; provider-initiated HIV testing systematic detection of TB in HIV-infected individuals including diagnosis of the smear negative forms of TB infection control in AIDS care settings adequate treatment and support of dually infected individuals, including anti-retroviral therapy during the course of TB treatment

65 Early benefit but long term protection is uncertain
LATENT TB INFECTION IN HIV: TO TREAT OR NOT TO TREAT ? NITIPATANA CHIERAKUL Early benefit but long term protection is uncertain

66 AGING OF TB EPIDEMIC, CASE OF JAPAN DR. TAKASHI YOSHIYAMA
As community wide burden is reduced, the high prevalence in the aged becomes more noticeable The previously infected population is living longer In countries where transmission of infection has been low, the numbers in the aged population is falling. The case fatality rate of older tuberculosis cases is high and WHO target of 85% treatment success is difficult to achieve

67 TRADITIONAL AND NOVEL DIAGNOSTIC TESTS FOR TB INFECTION TORU MORI
TST opened the way to the modern epidemiology of TB decades ago. The diagnosis TB infection is important both in high and low-prevalence settings for epidemiological surveillance and research, indication for treatment of latent TB infection, an adjunct for diagnosis of active TB, etc. The new technology, Interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA), has been tested extensively, and it seems that it is practically as sensitive as TST and far exceeds its specificity. Other aspects of its performance, including influence of immunocompromizing factors, effects of treatment (both in active disease and latent TB infection), and cost-effectiveness have gradually been clarified.

68 Posing a threat to TB Control in several countries in WPR
MDR-TB: DISEASE IN THE WPR DR. PHILIPPE GLAZIOUDRUG SUSCEPTIBILITY TESTS FOR FIRST & SECOND LINE DRUGS IN DIAGNOSIS OF MDR & XDR TUBERCULOSIS DR CAMILLA RODRIGUES, MD NEW DRUGS AND DRUG REGIMENS IN THE TREATMENT OF CHRONIC AND MDR-TB W.W. Yew Posing a threat to TB Control in several countries in WPR Special programs may be required to reduce its increasing prevalence Improved interventions under DOTS Programmatic management MDR-TB urgent need to strengthen capacity for prompt and accurate laboratory based diagnosis of tuberculosis and detection of drug resistance strengthening of DOTS and DOTS-Plus programmes, infection control, and information sharing to enable local and global control Development of new drugs is a mandatory focus of activity too.

69 THE SINGAPORE TB ELIMINATION PROGRAMME (STEP) DR CYNTHIA CHEE
Reduction in prevalence via STEP program

70 Changes in policy, attitudes and resources needed
TB-HIV TREATMENT IN A PRISON SETTING DR. BENEDICT SIM LIM HENG TUBERCULOSIS (TB)- HUMAN IMMUNODEFICIENCY VIRUS (HIV) SCREENING PROGRAMME IN CLOSED SETTINGS B. VENUGOPALAN (MPH) Disease Control Unit, Selangor State Health Department, Ministry of Health, Malaysia. Many barriers to TB control, institutional, high burden of TB/HIV on entry, staff morale, drug availability and delivery etc In 1993, WHO presented their guidelines on HIV infection and AIDS in prisons and the 1st guiding principle in that article quoted was that “All prisoners have the right to receive health care, including preventive measures, equivalent to that available in the community without discrimination, in particular with respect to their legal status or nationality.” Changes in policy, attitudes and resources needed

71 What are we trying to achieve?
Millennium Development Goals Stop TB Partnership targets

72 Dr Ral Antic Chair Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia
Pre-Conference Workshop 1 National TB Control Program   Summary & Remarks Dr Ral Antic Chair Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia

73 TB Control in WPR-current state
We have heard reports from a mix of High, Intermediate and Low burden countries Significant improvements in reported results WHO targets are reported to be overall being met Yet ongoing burden of disease is often reported as high and trend of morbidity and mortality is ‘stagnant’ Ageing population and access to illegal migrants HIV-TB co-infection MDR-TB levels rising in some countries The performance of the private sector and general hospitals is variable Concern re care in the poor and vulnerable populations Health sector infrastructure variable especially in districts Funding and health workforce, although improved remains an issue

74 TB Performance Indicators in the Western Pacific Region, 2004
“Strategic Plan to Stop TB in the Western Pacific 2006 – 2010” Prevalance Rate (/105) Case detection SS+ (%) Treatment Success (%) Mortality Rate (/105) Australia 6 56 95 1 Cambodia 709 61 93 94 China 221 65 17 Hong Kong 77 72 78 Japan 39 62 76 4 Lao PDR 318 55 79 25 Malaysia 133 69 16 Mongolia 209 80 87 24 New Zealand 11 59 36 Papua New Guinea 448 31 58 42 Philippines 463 73 88 48 Republic of Korea 125 82 10 Singapore 41 67 Vietnam 232 89 92 22 TB Performance Indicators in the South East Asia Region, 2004 “National Tuberculosis Control Programs South East Asia Region” Indonesia 262 66 90 Thailand 218 74 20

75 Estimated WPR Burden from TB and Trends
Estimated 4 million cases of TB in WPR 2 million new cases Seven high burden countries account for >95% Cambodia, China, Lao PDR, Mongolia, PNG, Philippines & Vietnam A decline of 15% in prevalence & 12% in mortality between Annual average of 4% and 3% respectively

76 ACHIEVEMENTS In Leadership terms In Strategic Planning
Implementation Strategy Activities Infrastructure building Surveillance and Quality monitoring

77 Incentives Direct To the health care providers To the person with TB
To the community Indirect?

78 WP Regional Goals & Targets Regional Committee WPR, 2000
Reduce TB prevalence and mortality by 50% in 2010 compared with 2000 Intermediate Targets (towards this goal): Detect 70% of estimated active cases Treat successfully 85% of these cases 100% DOTS coverage

79 Case Detection in WPR From < 40% to >70% overall in 5 years
Achieved by: Developing a strategic approach, The Global Plan to Stop TB Strengthening political commitment Accelerating DOTS expansion in public facilities Higher case detection success in many countries TB care more available and accessible Improving collaboration of health providers Increase in financing and other resources

80 Treatment Success Overall the percentage of registered new TB patients completing anti TB treatment > 85% for last 10 years 5 of the 7 high burden of TB countries are achieving this target

81 Estimated numbers of new cases, 2005
Estimated number of new TB cases (all forms) No estimate 0-999 or more The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement.  WHO All rights reserved

82 Will achieving WHO targets reduce the notification rate?
The barriers Spread of HIV Accumulation of MDR-TB cases Insufficient access to high quality TB care for the poor and vulnerable populations Sub-optimal TB management practices in growing private sector Lack of National guidelines & training materials Lack of human resources and their development AND/OR the rising population numbers Incorrect targets for the desired outcome

83 Future Directions The current level of detection of 70% will not be sufficient Enhancing active case finding approaches Enhancing lab capacity New diagnostic tools Sustaining established mechanisms - e.g. monitoring and supervision of DOTS implementation MDR-TB and TB-HIV co-infection will slow the annual decline Conventional DOTS service delivery does not guarantee equitable access to TB Services In some countries, the same standards of care received through NTP service delivery are not met by general hospitals, private providers, and for the homeless, drug users, migrants & prisoners

84

85 What have we learned from these presentations?
The current burden of disease remains large There are important Regional and Country successes Some targets are being achieved but The targets have needed to be revised to achieve the objects There are significant barriers Do we have systems in place to achieve these targets?

86 Dr Ral Antic Chair Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia
Pre-Conference Workshop 1 National TB Control Program   Concluding remarks for the Workshop Dr Ral Antic Chair Scientific Committee IUATLD-APR Australia

87 Barriers to success Rising MDR-TB Rising TB & HIV Co-infection
Access to poor & vulnerable populations Prisons,homeless Aging population Suboptimal health infrastructure Lack of health workers Suboptimal laboratory facilities

88 ‘Programmatic’ factors
Accessibility of treatment services Awareness of TB in the community Uninterrupted supply of effective TB drugs Treatment adherence through DOTS

89 Will achieving WHO targets reduce the notification rate?
The barriers Spread of HIV Accumulation of MDR-TB cases Insufficient access to high quality TB care for the poor and vulnerable populations and private sector Lack of National guidelines & training materials Lack of human resources and their development AND/OR the rising population numbers Incorrect targets for the desired outcome

90 The 3 main areas to be addressed
The current level of 70% detection will not be sufficient MDR-TB and TB-HIV co-infection will slow the annual decline Conventional DOTS service delivery does not guarantee equitable access to TB Services

91 The new Strategic Plan for WPR 2006-2010
To achieve the 50% reduction in prevalence & death, an 8% annual decline is needed The current annual decline is 3% There thus needs to be a change in approach This is the basis of the strengthened effort defined in the new Strategic Plan

92

93 Reasons for significant improvements in TB Control
The rapid expansion of DOTS after WHO declared a global TB crisis in 1993 Higher case detection and treatment success in many countries The Stop TB Partnership, est in 2000, The Global Plans to Stop TB The significant increase in resources for TB TB care more available and accessible

94 Will achieving WHO targets improve notification rate?
The barriers Spread of HIV Accumulation of MDR-TB cases Insufficient access to high quality TB care for the poor and vulnerable populations Sub-optimal TB management practices in growing private sector Lack of National guidelines & training materials Lack of human resources and their development

95

96

97 Tuberculosis notification rates, 2005
Notified TB cases (new and relapse) per population No report 0-24 25-49 50-99 100 or more The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement.  WHO All rights reserved

98 TB Notification rate by population group for South Australia, 2006
0<14 15<24 25<34 35<44 45<54 55<64 >65 Overseas Born Australian Born Indigenous 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Notification Rate/100,000 Age


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