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The Financial Crisis
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Where did the crisis start?
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From Reality To Theory (1) Financial Crisis and your Macroeconomics knowledge: PIL; Unemployment; Inflation; Interest Rates; Investment; Supply and Demand of Money; Keynesian Multiplier; IS and LM; Fiscal and Monetary Policy; International Trade.
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The Financial Crisis
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The consequences for the private sector
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Global GDP Contraction
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From Reality to Theory… WWhich link to your course in macroeconomics? PIL = C+ I + G + X
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The impact on the macroeconomics indicators (1).
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The impact on the macroeconomics indicators (2).
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The Collapse in World Trade.
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The Causes of the Financial Crisis Deregulation in the Financial Sector: Debt/Capital ratio: from 1:15 to 1:40; Decrease the weight of mortgages in the capital formation of banks; Off-balance sheet activity (Basel II) securitisation in the IB! “American Dream”: zero equity mortgages
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Macroeconomic Policies? Fiscal Policy; Monetary Policy; Trade Policy; International Coordination.
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Macroeconomic Policies Fiscal Policy measures: Stabilize the financial sector; Support demand and improve confidence; BUT risk of increasing public deficit! Keynesian Multiplier = 1 but it may decrease; Inversely correlated to openness! Monetary Policy: Accommodative policy (decrease i –not in developing countries!); Cross-Border Coordination/Consistency in the financial sector policies to avoid distortions. Avoid Protectionism (WHY?)
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References OECD (2009): “ The OECD Economic Outlook Interim Report”. IMF (2009): ”Global Economic Policies and Prospects”, G20, London 13-14 March 2009.
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