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Quality Uncertainty and Market Efficiency

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1 Quality Uncertainty and Market Efficiency
Electronic Commerce Quality Uncertainty and Market Efficiency

2 The lemon problem Akerlof (1970) (one of winners of 2001 Nobel economic prize) Unrevealed information about used cars (the lemon cars) Those low-quality used cars were sold in the prices higher than their actual values. Lacking of the detective capability to discover the truth Adverse screening in banking Those who go for credit are short of money, why would the banks loan to them? The bank merely loaned capital to the affordable people. Those who are in the serious financial straits unfortunately went to the covert private bank with more higher interest burden. Other cases Senior (veteran) vs. junior (a green hand)

3 The market mechanism Markets fail! No! The market of lemon cars
Try out, a returnable term Promise and guarantee commitment The banking system Raise the interest rate for incredible loaners Credit reference and investigation Dynamic interest rates of loan The discriminatory pricing

4 Quality signaling in the market
Price Schumalensee effect The firm’s reputation, The size of market share Experience, Middlemen (commitment of third parties, retailers, brokers, infomediaries) Costs for developing quality signal Imitation, rip-off, fake Incentive for revealing quality information Raise prices higher for more returns

5 Some social/economic phenomena about signaling failure
濫竽充數, 混水摸魚 楚材晉用, 懷才不遇 魚目混珠 Corresponding mechanisms?

6 Online signaling mechanisms
Try-out strategy Freeware Shareware Help users recognize the preference and valuate the willingness to pay Possibility of discrimination Segmentation

7 The try-out economics If the cost bottom line is higher, then to sell at $1000 to high-type with try-outs. If the cost bottom line is lower, then to sell at $750 to all without try-outs.

8 The efficiency of market
Transaction cost Searching cost Bargaining cost Contracting/drafting cost Enforcement/monitoring cost Measurement cost Bonding/safeguarding/punishing cost Facilitating signals?

9 Functions of invisible hand— the price mechanism
Competition from sellers—reveal the bottom line of cost Competition from buyers—reveal the upper bound of willingness to pay Auctioning mechanism Doubt auctions approximate toward to perfect competition

10 The role of intermediary
As facilitators (matching & aggregating) As experts (specific time and space knowledge) As credible information sources (screening the cheating suppliers for preventing themselves from reputational spillover) As producers (packaging and customization services)

11 Quality assurance by intermediary
Subcontracting system Competitive bidding Long-term just-in-time system Cf. Japan auto firms vs. U.S. GM/Ford Incomplete contracting The futurity depends on the current performance Microproducts and micropayments A form of incomplete contracting directly used between producers and end users, i.e., charging by each usage and punishment by termination


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