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LRS Progress Report and Action Plan Update to the Profiling Working Group March 30, 2006
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2 Progress Report Continuing activities for Oil/Gas and the full sample : Load LS files and validate cuts Improve and automate SAS and C/S LodeStar code for loading, validating and analyzing data Delivered additional 18112 cuts to the CR mailboxes (to-date 2 CR’s have retrieved their data) Notice will be sent next month indicating a last chance to retrieve interval data files posted to-date. Then files will be deleted from the CR mailboxes. Completed preliminary Oil/Gas analysis Review Analyze-IT software to be used for Oil/Gas analysis and Round 2 sample design.
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3 Critical activities to complete before Round 2 sample selection begins: Finalize Profile ID assignment process. Re-evaluate residential assignment algorithm using LRS data. Estimate/determine 2006 Profile ID assignment changes and incorporate into analysis for sample design and new model development Many migrations were observed between business profile groups. Conduct further analysis targeting Business Load Factor assignment migration issues Determine accuracy requirements. Progress Report continued
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4 Next Steps Round 2 sample design and sample point selection. Complete Oil/Gas analysis. New Profile Model development.
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5 Action Plan 03/30/06: Present comparison of current profile models with 11/01/04 – 10/31/05 load research data PWG discussions on findings Discuss methodology for establishing load research accuracy requirements. 04/26/06: Preparation for Round 2 sampling. Critical path issues are; Finalize Profile ID assignment process. Re-evaluate residential assignment algorithm using LRS data. Estimate/determine 2006 Profile ID assignment changes and incorporate into analysis for sample design and new model development Conduct further analysis targeting Business Load Factor assignment migration issues Determine accuracy requirements. 05/30/06: Round 2 sample point analysis and design complete (pending resolution of issues identified during 03/30 and 04/26/06 meetings.)
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6 Action Plan continued 07/31/06: Complete profile model building. Establish impact analysis requirements such as test settlements Discuss model transition to production issues. Begin stakeholder process. 10/31/06: Stakeholder process of reviewing new models complete. 11/30/06: Round 2 sample point installation complete. 03/31/07: 150 day notification completed and new models implemented.
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