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The World Oil Market in 2008
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For more resources on the economics of Oil & Gas, visit our dedicated Economics Blog Channel
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Market volatility Crude prices reached a record high in July of $147 a barrel By the end of the year prices had collapsed – on one measure light sweet crude oil fell below $40 a barrel OPEC is desperately trying to stabilise prices through a series of production cuts The main cause of the collapse in prices is a sharp fall in global demand for oil
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A super-spike in prices
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Where next?
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Oil – a case study in price volatility
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Explaining high and low oil prices Quantity of Oil Price per barrel Short run supply Demand P1 Q1
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Explaining high and low oil prices Quantity of Oil Price per barrel Short run supply Demand P1 Q1 D2
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Explaining high and low oil prices Quantity of Oil Price per barrel Short run supply Demand P1 Q1 D2 P2
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Speculation can cause price spikes Short run supply Demand P1 Q1 D2 D2 + speculation P2 P3 Quantity of Oil Price per barrel
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Supply more responsive over time…… Short run supply Demand P1 Q1 D2 D2 + speculation P2 P3 Medium term supply P4 Quantity of Oil Price per barrel
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Falling demand as recession bites Short run supply D4 P1 Q1 D2 + speculation P2 P3 Medium term supply P4 Quantity of Oil Price per barrel
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Falling demand as recession bites Short run supply D4 P1 Q1 D2 + speculation P2 P3 Medium term supply P4 Quantity of Oil Price per barrel
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Oil prices and the number of rigs
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Will OPEC succeed in cutting output and stabilising prices?
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OPEC’s share of world supply
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UK oil consumption now at a twenty year low
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Oil producers – selected countries
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How much will world demand fall in 2009?
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Oil provides a bonanza for some
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The UK is now a net oil importer
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UK quarterly balance of trade in oil
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And North Sea oil output is well beyond the peak
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Crude prices and prices at the pumps
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Marginal and average cost It has been estimated that the average cost of oil per barrel is around $50 And that the marginal cost of bringing on additional output is between $75-$80 per barrel Explain some of the reasons why there is a difference between the marginal and average cost of production.
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Oil Market Videos OPEC agrees record oil output cut Russia rues oil price fall Oil prices fall below $50 per barrel Oil price affects crayon firm High oil prices lifts BP profits New battle over Arctic oil Why High Oil Prices Hits Us All
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