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Calculating the Cost of Capital MGT 4850 Spring 2009 University of Lethbridge
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Introduction DCF models using accounting statements to calculate free cash flows The Gordon model –cost of equity based on dividends The Capital Asset Pricing Model The cost of debt WACC RADR
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Gordon Model with constant Growth Rate Cost of equity
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Cost of Equity p.42
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Cost of Equity KELLOGG p.43
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Kellogg p.44
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All Cash Flows to Equity
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Gordon Model with all cash flows
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Dividend per share p.47
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Supernormal growth 2 growth rates Formula doesn't work
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Supernormal growth Calculate share price as DCF (dividends and share price at point 5
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Calculating Cost of Equity Choosing the growth rate
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Capital Asset Pricing Model Calculating beta of stock returns 125 monthly returns for SP500 and stock A Regression analysis Beta using variance/covariance matrix
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CAPM cost of capital
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Setting the regression in Excel (58)
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OUTPUT (p. 58)
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Regression graph (p. 54)
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Cost of Debt (p.67)
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Yield Curve (p.69)
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WACC (p.73) COMPUTING THE WACC FOR KRAFT Shares outstanding1,669,880,755 Share price, end 200527.75 Equity value, E46,339,190,951 Net debt, D10,884,000,000 WACC based on Gordon per-share dividends and interest from financial statements Cost of equity, r E 16.79%<-- ='Page 71'!B6 Cost of debt, r D 5.50%<-- ='Page 67'!B13 Tax rate, T C 29.37%<-- ='Kraft 10K, 2005'!B160 WACC14.33%<-- =$B$4/($B$4+$B$5)*B8+$B$5/($B$4+$B$5)*B9*(1-$B$10) WACC based on Gordon equity payouts and interest from financial statements Cost of equity, r E 14.46%<-- ='Page 72, top'!B11 Cost of debt, r D 5.50%<-- ='Page 67'!B13 Tax rate, T C 29.37%<-- ='Kraft 10K, 2005'!B160 WACC12.45% <-- =$B$4/($B$4+$B$5)*B14+$B$5/($B$4+$B$5)*B15*(1- $B$10) WACC based on classic CAPM and interest from financial statements Cost of equity, r E 6.82%<-- ='Page 72, bottom'!B12 Cost of debt, r D 5.50%<-- ='Page 67'!B13 Tax rate, T C 29.37%<-- ='Kraft 10K, 2005'!B160 WACC6.26% <-- =$B$4/($B$4+$B$5)*B20+$B$5/($B$4+$B$5)*B21*(1- $B$10) WACC based on tax-adjusted CAPM and interest from financial statements Cost of equity, r E 6.05%<-- ='Page 72, bottom'!B13 Cost of debt, r D 5.50%<-- ='Page 67'!B13 Tax rate, T C 29.37%<-- ='Kraft 10K, 2005'!B160 WACC5.64% <-- =$B$4/($B$4+$B$5)*B26+$B$5/($B$4+$B$5)*B27*(1- $B$10)
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Using SML to calculate cost of equity Beta as a measure of market risk Regression analysis Covariance of stock returns with market returns
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