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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals –explicit –unambiguous –measurable –realistic –attainable
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Describe factors influencing goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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program framework 2.Describe factors influencing goal attainment –what has to be managed to attain goal –simple model of system –can be improved as knowledge/time permit
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Success implementing EBM requires a theory of change What must be done to produce the necessary and desired outcomes? Adequately articulated, the theory of change: organizes action enables monitoring facilitates adaptive management
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Logic models
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monitoring to reduce uncertainty Validating assumptions about system behavior
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Goal modeling identification of factors potentially affecting attainment biological factors fauna flora microorganisms physical factors structure hydrology temperature chemical factors salinity pH nutrients toxics human factors use objectives modification of system knowledge
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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program framework 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps –simple initial assessment –critical factors not currently managed –opportunities for coordination 4.Develop management strategy –explicit, measurable intervention –clear, observable outcome
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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program framework 5.Develop monitoring program –monitoring reflects management priorities –monitoring designed to reduce uncertainty in system model –indicators link condition and management efforts –monitoring data is appropriate to decision thresholds for adaptive management
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uncertainties Monitoring must 1.Document conditions Status and trends 2.Document interventions Track implementation of management strategies 3.Reduce uncertainty Validate assumptions about system behavior model BMP performance stressor trajectories system behavior Adaptive management
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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time response time response time response Establishing performance expectations
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time response time response time response Establishing performance expectations Identifying uncertainty
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program framework 1.Articulate program goals 2.Develop system level model for goal attainment 3.Assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.Develop management strategy 5.Develop monitoring program 6.Assess performance 7.Manage adaptively
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program framework 1.articulate program goals 2.refine system level model for goal attainment 3.re-assess current management efforts – identify gaps 4.revise management strategy 5.adjust monitoring program 6.assess performance 7.manage adaptively
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