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1 Investors’ appetite for real estate companies on AIM 18 February 2008 Zimmerman Adams International Ltd A Practitioner’s View Zimmerman Adams International.

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Presentation on theme: "1 Investors’ appetite for real estate companies on AIM 18 February 2008 Zimmerman Adams International Ltd A Practitioner’s View Zimmerman Adams International."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 Investors’ appetite for real estate companies on AIM 18 February 2008 Zimmerman Adams International Ltd A Practitioner’s View Zimmerman Adams International Limited Registered in England and Wales No. 5136014; Registered Office: One Threadneedle Street, London EC2R 8AW Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Services Authority Member of the London stock exchange

2 2 Contents AIM – A Viable Alternative for Real Estate How liquid can you be? What makes a Company Suitable ZAI Unique Qualifications Case Study: DUPD Appendix: Recent article

3 3 AIM: A Viable Alternative for Real Estate

4 4 AIM: a viable alternative Why do Foreign Companies consider AIM? Lack of credible local alternatives: –German market: In 2003 the Neuer Markt shut down—wiping out billions of Euros of investors money –French market: very quiet and domestic –Italian market: very small –Other Europeans: not significant Natural appeal of Quoted Equity to the Small/Mid-cap company & Owner/Manager Advantages of AIM for foreign companies: The London Market represents a “Quality” brand for many continental companies Liquidity, and far more liquidity than a few years ago Availability of Institutional Investors for Small caps Availability of Equity Research support for small caps Availability of market-making facilities (that work) Better pre-money valuations (compared to PE) Higher “public profile” (attracts many Owner/Managers) Quality Exchange, Admission, and Continuing Obligations standards Access to equity capital for current and future growth

5 5 Are Russian property companies well represented? Seven London-quoted Russian property companies, but only 3 on AIM Compared to (on AIM): –Seven Balkan companies –Four Ukrainian companies –Total of more than 220 international companies (12.5% of all AIM companies) There is clearly room for more Russian companies!

6 6 Most Russian property companies are traded at a premium to NAV Consider the success of Mirland Development and R.G.I. International on AIM The shares of high geared Russian property companies appear to attract investors: see the impressive performance of larger companies Comparison of Property Companies (Central and Eastern Europe)

7 7 “It’s the economy, Stupid” (Bill Clinton 1992) -i.e. The basic economic growth of the region, supported by sound fundamentals, outweighs the many risks investors face 1.Nominal GDP per capita of $14,000 in Russia (approximately 45% of Euro area) but well ahead of other BRIC countries 2.S&P awarded Russia “investment grade” status in 2007 3.GDP growth forecasted at above 5% for next 3 years in the CIS countries 4.Robust economy will fuel corporate earnings in the medium term 5.The first phase of London IPO’s have inevitably been natural resources but... 6.ZAI forecasts a growth of interest in mid cap property company IPO’s as the property business in Russia matures and the population develops sustainable disposable income to be spent on housing 7.There is now an emerging private equity market in Russia, which signals the beginning of less risky business models Why Invest in Russian Pr o perty companies: “ it ’ s the economy, stupid ” ?

8 8 Liquidity: AIM and “comparable” exchanges

9 9 Availability of Equity Capital for International Companies in London: (Don’t take my word for it – look at the empirical evidence)

10 10 Source: Thomson Financial Quoted Equity: Size of the Investor Base

11 11 Source: London Stock Exchange Institutional Investors on AIM

12 12 Quoted Equity: The London Stock Exchange (July 2007) £ million Main ListAIMTotal As at July 2007 UKIntlLondon Market Cap.1,944,8002,571,100108,0674,623,967 Total No. of Companies Listed1,2683331,6733,274 New Equity Money Raised 20075,3039,9854,66319,951 Further Equity Money Raised 20074,8375267,03912,402 Total Equity Raised (July 2007)10,14110,51211,70232,355 Source: Statistics, the London Stock Exchange and AIM

13 13 Liquidity: Value of share trading of foreign companies in Jan-July 2007, $ bln

14 14 A Record £15.7 bln was Raised on AIM in 2006 Source: Statistics, the London Stock Exchange and AIM Money raised on AIM, £m 0.0 2,000.0 4,000.0 6,000.0 8,000.0 10,000.0 12,000.0 14,000.0 16,000.0 18,000.0 199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006 2007 to Jul

15 15 What makes a company suitable ?

16 16 Limited Track record of Company’s performance Limited market/sector knowledge in the CIS Don’t understand the legislation/regulation framework Political undertainty multiplied by recent press articles Quality of management (No MBA’s) Reduced investor protection despite listing (City Code not applicable) Complex tax arrangements may cause future issues (VAT optimisation schemes, Offshore structures etc) Problems the investors confront

17 17 Red, Amber & Green...Risk in the CIS

18 18  Fundamentally good companies  Solid Value propositions  Good Management This means: Generally larger size Companies than domestic equivalents Top-Line (Revenue) growth of 25-30% p.a. At least EBITDA positive Ideally PAT positive, or at least a clear indication of when profits will be shown. A clear value proposition targeting IRR’s in excess of 30% What are Investors Looking for – in property or any company?

19 19 elements of a successful flotation: A CASE STUDY- Dragon Ukrainian Properties and Development PLC Country of operation: Ukraine Country of registration: Isle of Man Sector: property investment and development Assets: Commercial and residential property projects Investors concerns and expectations: Ukrainian elections in 2008, construction supply side issues due to surge in demand for materials and skills IPO and Secondary placing: Further developments: –IPO Price: $2.02–Secondary placing: $100m –Market Cap: $208.0m–Current share price: $2.20 –Capital raised: $205.1m–Current market cap: $330m

20 20 CASE STUDY- Dragon Ukrainian Properties and Development PLC

21 21 Key elements of a successful flotation for an Emerging Markets Property Company As illustrated by: Dragon Ukrainian Properties & Development (DUPD) Four key success factors: –A strong market story, with reliable independent market research available DUPD is focussed on an interesting and to large extent undeveloped market, with significant upside potential The Kiev market, for office, commercial, and residential, is a compelling story There was (and is) quality independent research available on the market, from the leading western property consultants –Strong management team – able to communicate with investors good English language skills are essential Experience with investor communications are essential Credible independent Directors –Track record of management in the specific asset class in question The management team must have credible experience in the specific asset class in question, and the ability to show track record –Pipeline of projects Investors want to understand the opportunities and risks of the types of projects the company will invest in The ability to get the money invested quickly in quality projects is a big factor

22 22 ZAI Unique Qualifications

23 23 ZAI’s Unique Qualifications ZAI is the only AIM specialist wholly dedicated to International Companies. ZAI has a unique investor base: comprised of Institutions that specifically invest in “foreign”, i.e. non-UK shares, via the UK markets. Global distribution capability (European, Asian, Russian and American investors). In the CIS, the ZAI team acted as NOMAD and lead financial adviser respectively on the floats of Dragon Capital and Rambler Media Group. ZAI have a proactive strategy to promote AIM to small and medium-sized international companies. Russian speaking staff Some of the ZAI Team’s current and former CIS clients, include: Metromedia, Inc. (58 Telecom JV’s in Russia and the CIS) Rambler Media Group Sistema Lukoil AzTelekom (Azerbaijan state telecom monopoly) Dragon Capital (Ukraine) Teleset Networks Turkcell (Fintur) Kyrgyztelecom (Kyrgyz state telecom monopoly) Caspian American Telecoms Uzbek GSM Link Telecom (Macedonia) Mobicell – Bulgarian GSM Mobicom – Bosnian/Herzegovinian GSM RTN – Russian Telecommunications Network

24 24 Awards 2006/2007: 1 st place by price performance among Nomads 2007/2008: –4 th place by price performance among Nomads –ZAI is among the best performing Nomads and Brokers by capital raised Brokers’ performance: Nomads’ performance:

25 25 2007/2008 price performance of new issues In 2007 the average stock performance of the by ZAI floated companies was 25.54% Average stock performance of ZAI clients since their IPOs is 73.02%

26 26 Conclusions The record shows: Foreign Issuers CAN benefit from AIM. Such deals CAN be done, and money can successfully be raised, if left to specialist firms. Zimmerman Adams International have the expertise to do successful floats

27 27 Contact Details Zimmerman Adams International New Broad Street House 35 New Broad Street London EC2M 1NH United Kingdom Ray Zimmerman Aleksej Kotiasvili Ph: +44 20 7060 1760 Fax: +44 20 7060 1761 E-mail: rayz@zimmint.com E-mail: aleksejk@zimmint.com Irina Lomova Ph: +7 (926) 492 3424 E-mail: Irinal@zimmint.com Website: www.zimmint.com

28 28 Appendix Non-UK listings on Aim increase By Robert Orr Published: January 30 2008 02:00 | Last updated: January 30 2008 02:00 The total value of international groups to list on London's junior equities market in the past quarter exceeded that of domestic companies for the first time. The total market capitalisation of the 31 non-UK stocks that floated on the alternative investment market (Aim) in the fourth quarter of 2007 totalled £1.9bn ($3.8bn) compared with £1.7bn for UK listings, according to figures from Deloitte, the professional services firm. The number of companies joining Aim almost halved to 254 last year, while the total value of both UK and non-UK companies listing in the past quarter was well down on the same quarter of 2006. By contrast, the amount raised in the secondary market held up. Recent Articles


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