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1 (of 23) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 3-FX Quotations Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.
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2 (of 23) Learning Objectives 1. Explain the structure and mechanisms of the FX market. 2. Explain the spot market. 3. Convert FX rates between American and European terms.▪
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3 (of 23) An Additional Resources The Basics of Foreign Trade and Exchange (NY Fed) The Basics of Foreign Trade and Exchange Yahoo! Currency Converter Abbreviations List (supplements)supplements
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4 (of 23) The Spot Market
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5 (of 23) FX Rates Foreign Exchange (FX or Forex) How much one currency is worth in terms of another? Transfer of purchasing power FX rates are volatile and uncertain Foreign Exchange Risk is The possibility that the value of an investment, cash flow, return might change due to changes in exchange rates for currencies.
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6 (of 23) Current FX Rates NOTE: Yen quotations are to 6 places, not 4. 1.7769 dollars are worth one pound.
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7 (of 23) Currency Abbreviations Every currency has a three letter abbreviation Since ‘dollar’, ‘franc’ and ‘pound’ ambiguous Abbreviations List (supplements)supplements AUD Australian Dollar (AU$)CAD Canadian Dollar (C$) CHF Swiss Franc (CHF) EUR Euro (€) GBP British Pound (£) HKD Hong Kong Dollar (HK$) JPYJapanese Yen (¥) USD United States Dollar ($)
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8 (of 23) FX Notation I–Technical S(j/k) price of one unit of k in terms of j Or the number of j needed to buy 1 k. S($/¥) is 1 yen in terms of dollars Or the number of dollars to buy 1 yen. NOTE: In this notation either symbols (¥) or abbreviations (JPY) can be used, e.g., S(¥/$) = S(JPY/USD)
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9 (of 23) S($/AU$) = S($ / AU$) FX Notation II
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10 (of 23) FX Notation II S($/AU$) =.8363 means... You need to pay 0. 8363 USD for AU$ 1. Spot rate for Australian dollars is $0. 8363 An Australian dollar is worth $0. 8363. AU$ 1 = $0.8363.
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11 (of 23) ‘Yours’ versus ‘Theirs’ Spot Rate: The immediate rate Direct Quotation: From ‘your’ currency If an American works for a firm in Germany, ‘your’ currency is the euro. Indirect Quotation: From ‘their’ currency If an American works for a firm in Germany, ‘their’ currencies are the yen, American dollar, Kuwaiti dollar, etc. What about an American working for a German firm in Japan? ▪
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12 (of 23) American Terms FX Quotation in American Terms Non-dollar currency priced in US dollars S($/___) = number of US dollars to buy 1 ___. In American terms, $ is before the ‘/’. S($/C$) = number of US dollars to buy 1 Canadian dollar S($/C$) = $0.9422 (September 2008)
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13 (of 23) European Terms FX Quotation in European Terms US dollars priced in a non-dollar currency S(__/$) = number of ___ to buy 1 US dollar In European terms, $ is after the ‘/’. S(C$/$) = number of Canadian dollars to buy 1 US dollar S(C$/$) = C$1.0613 (September 2008) NOTE: The non-dollar currency need not be ‘European’.
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14 (of 23) Reading the FX Table I European Terms American TermsCross Rates ▪
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15 (of 23) Reading the FX Table II European Terms European Terms: How many non-dollar units does it take to buy one dollar? It takes 108.3650 yen to buy one dollar. ▪
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16 (of 23) Reading the FX Table III American Terms American Terms: How many dollars does it take to buy one non-dollar unit? It takes $1.4457 to buy one euro. ▪
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17 (of 23) Reading the FX Table IV Cross Rates Cross Rates: How many non-dollar units does it take to buy a different non-dollar unit? It takes C$1.8859 to buy one pound. ▪
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18 (of 23) Reading the FX Table V Cross Rates: How many non-dollar units in the row does it take to buy a non- dollar unit in the column? ▪
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19 (of 23) Appreciation/Depreciation I When there is more demand for the pound, Pound appreciates relative to the U.S. dollar S($/£) exchange rate increases More dollars to buy one pound. When there is less demand for the pound, Pound depreciates relative to the U.S. dollar, S($/£) exchange rate decreases Less dollars to buy one pound. ▪
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20 (of 23) Appreciation/Depreciation II If S($/£) = 1.80 You need to spend more than $1 for a pound. IMPORTANT: This does not mean the pound is ‘stronger’ or more in demand than the dollar. ‘Stronger’/’more in demand’ refers to change over time If yesterday S($/£) = 1.80, and now S($/£) = 1.70, The dollar has become ‘stronger’ or more in demand relative to the pound, Because it takes fewer dollars to buy one pound.
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21 (of 23) Appreciation/Depreciation III Remember supply and demand curves Dollar Demand and Supply of Pounds ▪ What Happened?▪ Demand for Pounds Supply of Pounds
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22 (of 23) American and European terms are inverses (or reciprocals), i.e., If you convert $1.74 From dollars to pounds, Then pounds to dollars You still have $1.74 Converting between American and European Terms I
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23 (of 23) American Terms S($/CHF) = 0.9049 ($0.9049 buys 1 Swiss franc) European Terms How many Swiss francs to buy 1 US dollar? ‘Reverse’ for European → American Terms ▪ Converting between American and European Terms II
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24 (of 23) Converting between American and European Terms: Examples European → American American → European
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25 (of 23) What if... S(£/$) = 0.5628 S($/£) = 1.855
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26 (of 23) General Rules of Thumb Most currencies are worth less than the USD If the FX rate between the US Dollar and another currency is less than 1, the rate is probably in... American Terms, i.e., S($/Non-Dollar) Exceptions GBP (£) and EUR (€) A few other minor currencies It takes a lot of yen to buy anything
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