1. Early Childhood Outcomes ECO Institute Kathy Hebbeler, ECO at SRI Robin Rooney ECO at FPG Prepared for the Office of Early Learning and School Readiness Ohio Department of Education May 2010

2. What we hope you get out of our time together Understand the Summary Statements for child outcomes –The background, the meaning, the math Develop at least a beginning understanding of how to analyze child outcomes data Begin to understand how to use data for program improvement Be able to explain Summary Statements and other data to public and media 2

3. The Summary Statements 1.Of those children who entered the program below age expectations in each Outcome, the percent who substantially increased their rate of growth by the time they turned 6 years of age or exited the program. 2.The percent of children who were functioning within age expectations in each Outcome by the time they turned 6 years of age or exited the program. 3

4. Why do you care? In 2011, data on the Summary Statements will be released by local district for the first time. What does this mean for you? 4

5. Possible Implications You will be asked to explain what the summary statements mean to ____? You will be asked to explain/defend related data for your district. You will choose to examine your data to see what you can learn about the kinds of progress children are making in your district. –Program improvement 5 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

6. Background on the Summary Statements 1992 Osborne and Graebler publish Reinventing Government 1993 GPRA (Government Performance and Results Act) passed 2003 2003 Program Assessment Review Tool (PART) reviews 130 federal programs including Part C and Part B preschool and gives both programs a score of 0 for accountability (“Results Not Demonstrated”) 2004 IDEA reauthorized. Shifts focus of monitoring to results. 6 Federal accountability and the focus on results:

7. IDEA 2004 7 SEC. 616. > MONITORING, TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE, AND ENFORCEMENT. (a) Federal and State Monitoring.-….. ….. (2) Focused monitoring.--The primary focus of Federal and State monitoring activities described in paragraph (1) shall be on-- (A) improving educational results and functional outcomes for all children with disabilities;

8. Child Outcomes for Special Education 2003OSEP funds the Early Childhood Outcome (ECO) Center 2005OSEP announces indicator for the three child outcomes 2008States first report data on the 5 progress categories 2010States set targets for the Summary Statements 2011Summary statement data released by district 8Early Childhood Outcomes Center

9. OSEP Reporting Requirements: Child Outcomes –Positive social emotional skills (including positive social relationships) –Acquisition and use of knowledge and skills (including early language/ communication and early literacy) –Use of appropriate behaviors to meet their needs 9

10. What States Report: OSEP Reporting Categories Percentage of children who: a.Did not improve functioning b.Improved functioning, but not sufficient to move nearer to functioning comparable to same-aged peers c.Improved functioning to a level nearer to same-aged peers but did not reach it d.Improved functioning to reach a level comparable to same-aged peers e.Maintained functioning at a level comparable to same- aged peers 10 3 outcomes x 5 “measures” = 15 numbers

11. What is the connection? COSF ratings OSEP categories Summary Statements 11 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

12. 12 COSF Ratings

13. Ratings Review The concepts in the scale can be summarized with a number or with a statement. Day 1, Handout 3 13 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

14. 14 Day 1, Handout 4

15. Key Concepts Related to Progress Categories Progress categories require 2 data points for each child, are based on growth trajectories, compare a child to him or herself over time, and also compare each child to age expectations Early Childhood Outcomes Center 15

16. What States Report: OSEP Reporting Categories Percentage of children who: a.Did not improve functioning b.Improved functioning, but not sufficient to move nearer to functioning comparable to same-aged peers c.Improved functioning to a level nearer to same-aged peers but did not reach it d.Improved functioning to reach a level comparable to same-aged peers e.Maintained functioning at a level comparable to same- aged peers 16 3 outcomes x 5 “measures” = 15 numbers

17. COSF Ratings to OSEP Categories (Day 1, Handout 5) 17 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

18. Origin of the Summary Statements States reported on the OSEP Progress Categories for a few years States knew they would be asked to set targets Using the progress categories would require setting 15 targets… 18 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

19. Origin of the Summary Statements ECO prepared papers with options Convened stakeholders Extensive discussion about pros and cons of various summary statements See Options and ECO Recommendations for Summary Statements for Target Setting on the ECO web site http://www.fpg.unc.edu/~eco/assets/pdfs/summary_of_target_setting-2.pdf 19 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

20. Summary Statement 1 1. Of those children who entered the program below age expectations in each Outcome, the percent who substantially increased their rate of growth by the time they turned 6 years of age or exited the program. 20 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

21. Other Ways to Think about Summary Statement 1 How many children changed growth trajectories during their time in the program? Percent of the children who entered the program below age expectations made greater than expected gains, made substantial increases in their rates of growth, i.e. changed their growth trajectories 21Early Childhood Outcombegines Center

22. Formula for SS 1 (c+d)/(a+b+c+d) 22

23. Summary Statement 2 2. The percent of children who were functioning within age expectations in each Outcome by the time they turned 6 years of age or exited the program. 23 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

24. Other Ways to Think about Summary Statement 2 24 How many children were functioning like same aged peers when they left the program? Percent of the children who were functioning at age expectations in this outcome area when they exited the program, including those who: started out behind and caught up and entered and exited at age level

25. Formula for SS 2 (d+e)/(a+b+c+d+e) 25

26. Activity Use the Ohio data on Handout 8. 1.Calculate SS 1 for Outcome 1. 2.Calculate SS 2 for Outcome 3. Use the National data on Handout 8. 3. Calculate SS 1 for Outcome 1. 4. Calculate SS 2 for Outcome 3. 26Early Childhood Outcomes Center

27. Other Summary Statements Percent of children who made progress What is the formula? 27

28. Other Summary Statements Of those children who entered the program below age expectations in Outcome __, the percent who made progress What is the formula? 28

29. Summary Statements 1 and 2 for Local Districts Summary statement data for local districts will be released in 2010. Be prepared to explain the numbers. Step 1. Understand where the numbers came from. Step 2. Understand what the numbers mean. 29 Early Childhood Outcomes Center

30. Who do you want to be? 30 Day 1, Handout 9