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Presenters: Whitney Cunningham Jo Pang Robert Talbott Alex Dunagan
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Qualitative Analysis Initial Quantitative Analysis Our Model Results Challenges Conclusion
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Interview with Residents Cop Part 1Cop Part 2Cop Part 3 Cop Part 4
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Explored topics presented in our qualitative analysis Uniform Crime Report: 1979-2007 Age Race Weapon Used Year Months Relation between Offender and Victim
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Not divided by neighborhood Neighborhoods do not all report this data Missing data in database No data from 2007-2010
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Our model will be linked here.
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DateEstimated Total Homicides Actual Total Homicides Correlation between Estimated and Actual March, 201036280.865 April, 201049420.881 May, 20106852.882
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#1: Wells/Goodfellow #2: Dutchtown #2: Kingsway West 4 2 2 2 #2: Mark Twain #2: Mark Twain/I-70 Industrial 2
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4 2 #3: Dutchtown #1: Wells/Goodfellow 3 #2: O’Fallon #3: Kingsway West 2 #3: Mark Twain 2
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3 #2: Jeff Vandelou 3 #2: Fairground #1: Wells/Goodfellow 4 4 #1: O’Fallon 3 #2: Dutchtown
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Demographics Categorization Time Resources Material Validity Data Time Frames
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Qualitative analysis to better understand the situation Demographic analysis to find significant trends Historical analysis for more accurate prediction
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Long-term Needs Continuously analyze demographics and their impact on crime, based on each neighborhood Intermediate Focus Ensure that data taken by FBI on homicides are complete and neighborhoods are listed. Devote preventative resources to crime- susceptible areas Immediate Resources Push most resources on neighborhoods with most past homicides, by month
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