1. Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009 A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs

2. C risis & R isk I nternational S ervices and S olutions C risis & R isk I nternational S ervices and S olutions Pedro Tichauer Economic Analyst Economic Analyst Hyo-Jin Paik Hyo-Jin Paik Asia Specialist Asia Specialist Young-Hun Oh Crisis Management Specialist Crisis Management Specialist Sinan Chu Foreign Relations Foreign RelationsSpecialist

4.  Background  Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk  North Korea’s “Plan B”  Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6”  Economic Impact  Political and Diplomatic Consequence  Social Issues  Conclusion  Background  Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk  North Korea’s “Plan B”  Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6”  Economic Impact  Political and Diplomatic Consequence  Social Issues  Conclusion A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility

5.  DPRK and Its Nuclear Program  Political regime and foreign relations  Nuclear Program  Plan A and Plan B  Multilateralism  The “Six-Party” Talk  Five rounds from 2003 to 2007  Latest Development  DPRK’s withdrawal from SPT in April 2009  Current events

7. U.S.A. Russia China North Korea (DPRK) South Korea (ROK) Japan

12. North Korea’s Military Expense

13.  US’s Position:  NO Bilateral Talks  US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis  SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council)  New Administration:  Fresh Impetus

16. Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk

17.  China  Political and Economic Ties with DPRK – less security concern  Refugee Concern  Imagine Building  South Korea and Japan  Security Concern  Refugee Concern  Diplomatic Normalization  Russia  Limited Political Power  Balance China and Japan North Korea

18.  Refugees  Humanitarian Aid  Social differences  Human rights

20. Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu