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Revenue Requirement Operating cost Capital cost Firm is allowed to make a return on investment called allowed revenues, valued added of the regulated activity, permissible revenues, rate base, regulated revenues, tariff base, total revenues, revenue requirements Determining revenue requirements Investments must be prudent Used and useful Known and measurable
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The test year Used to forecast future costs under normal operations Past years Future test years (actual data & projected data) Vetting costs Determining what is known and measurable can vary between regulators Costs Private vs. social Original vs. replacement Short-run vs. long-run
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RR=O&M+A&G+T+D+(WACC*RB) Operation and maintenance Administration and general Depreciation All taxes Weighted average cost of capital (represents capital plus rate-of-return and includes income taxes) O&M+A&G Deferred (recovered) vs. accrued (not recovered) Different rate classes (resid, comm, indust) Direct vs indirect (joint and common costs)
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Public Ownership Opposite of ‘free market’ Private vs. public ownership based on efficiency Meyer (1975) study of electricity utilities Public ownership has lower AC Ownership vs regulation? Pescatrice and Trapani (1980) Public ownership lower AC Controls for different techonolgies (public has more hydro and less capital) Controls for input prices Caused by regulation Atkinson and Halvorsen (1986) Control for competitive vs monopoly market structure Only examines steam generation Finds no cost difference between the two Both are inefficient
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Award one firm an exclusive right to produce and sell the good in a particular market. The firm that wins the right is one of many bidders. Competition among bidders should drive the price down. Production Technologies alone does not justify regulation Contract must be well-specified. Consumers must be knowledgeable in price-quality tradeoff New bidders must have access to existing capital
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Similar to example of weak monopoly with no barriers to entry Contestability Theory Does not work for strong natural monopoly
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Determining winner on well-specified criteria Price Quality Reliability vs price Duration of contract must be specified Long term contract – more durable Short term contract – easier to punish for bad quality Setting price Ensuring multiple bidders with equal footing Existing supplier’s capital Price? Fair-value? Competitive purchase? Depreciation? Agency to run negotiations Engineers, legal, accountants, and economic experts
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Create Incentives to promote cost-minimizing behavior Adopt penalties for inefficient behavior and decreased quality Difficulties to measure quality Electricity Reliability Average Heat Rate of Baseload Generators Passenger Trains/Railroad Punctuality Car-cleanliness
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COS regulation and regulatory lag Performance based regulation (PBR) (reduce costs) Incentive regulation Price cap regulation Sliding Scales Partial Adjustment Mechanisms Yardstick competition (reduce asymmetric informations) All three share a common structure shown but differ in the rules they set. Revenue Requirement tariff model (rules)prices and conditions for service
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All of these methods provide incentive to reach a specified objective Vary greatly by industry and objective, but the theoretical model typically used to analyze them are the principal-agent problem. (Joskow and Schmalensee 1986)
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Provides incentive to firms to increase operating efficiency Firms can increase ROR by decreasing their operating costs Reduces the regulatory lag (time between actual costs occur and the time those changes affect RR and COS) Firms face a set price
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CPI-X plan Regulate firm is constrained so that a weighted average of its prices increase by no more than the CPI less X percent Pros: Possible cost reduction, incentives for cost-minimization Protest core customers from monopoly prices Reduces regulatory burden Problems: CPI vs. other price index Still need to visit rate of return periodically
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Best in industries with asymmetric information Prices are based on the AC in the industry so firms compete and the most efficient firms are rewarded Problems include Collusion Comparability Commitment
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1) Cost-plus mechanisms are rarely optimal. Regulatory lag, partial adjustment, and using fuel price indices can increase the incentive to search, negotiate, and use forward markets 2) Scheme should depend on economic conditions Uncertainty requires more flexibility. Frequent regulatory modification (short vs. long run impacts)
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3) Compensation measure should focus on overall measure of performance. Examples, using CPI as benchmark, or emphasizing the electricity-generating unit availability 4) Developments not under managerial control should not be rewarded or punished Examples, risky cost or demand conditions (nuclear plant shut down) should be reflected in the rate of return
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5) Long-run viability cannot be jeopardized If rewards only occur when prices are low, then prices may rise 6) A firm commitment to stick to incentive mechanism will be difficult Political feasibility
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7)New schemes must be easily compared with traditional regulation Needed in order to gauge impact 8) Perfection is not possible with incentive schemes Some programs can result in greater incentives for cost minimization and should be given priority Regulation is not a zero-sum game
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