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Part V: Continuous Random Variables /statistics-notes-%E2%80%93-properties-of-normal-distribution-2/

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Presentation on theme: "Part V: Continuous Random Variables /statistics-notes-%E2%80%93-properties-of-normal-distribution-2/"— Presentation transcript:

1 Part V: Continuous Random Variables http://rchsbowman.wordpress.com/2009/11/29 /statistics-notes-%E2%80%93-properties-of-normal-distribution-2/

2 Chapter 23: Probability Density Functions http://divisbyzero.com/2009/12/02 /an-applet-illustrating-a-continuous-nowhere-differentiable-function//

3 Comparison of Discrete vs. Continuous (Examples) DiscreteContinuous Counting: defects, hits, die values, coin heads/tails, people, card arrangements, trials until success, etc. Lifetimes, waiting times, height, weight, length, proportions, areas, volumes, physical quantities, etc.

4 Comparison of mass vs. density Mass (probability mass function, PMF) Density (probability density function, PDF) 0 ≤ p X (x) ≤ 10 ≤ f X (x) P(0 ≤ X ≤ 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) P(X ≤ 3) ≠ P(X < 3) when P(X = 3) ≠ 0 P(X ≤ 3) = P(X < 3) since P(X = 3) = 0 always

5 Example 1 (class)

6 Example 1 (cont.)

7 Example 2

8 Comparison of CDFs DiscreteContinuous Function graphStep function with jumps of the same size as the mass continuous graphRange: 0 ≤ X ≤ 1

9 Example 3

10 Example 4

11 Example 4 (cont.)

12 Mixed R.V. – CDF Let X denote a number selected at random from the interval (0,4), and let Y = min(X,3). Obtain the CDF of the random variable Y.

13 Chapter 24: Joint Densities http://www.alexfb.com/cgi-bin/twiki/view/PtPhysics/WebHome

14 Probability for two continuous r.v. http://tutorial.math.lamar.edu/Classes/CalcIII/DoubleIntegrals.aspx

15 Example 1 (class) A man invites his fiancée to a fine hotel for a Sunday brunch. They decide to meet in the lobby of the hotel between 11:30 am and 12 noon. If they arrive a random times during this period, what is the probability that they will meet within 10 minutes? (Hint: do this geometrically)

16 Example: FPF (Cont)

17 Example 2 (class) Consider two electrical components, A and B, with respective lifetimes X and Y. Assume that a joint PDF of X and Y is f X,Y (x,y) = 10e -(2x+5y), x, y > 0 and f X,Y (x,y) = 0 otherwise. a) Verify that this is a legitimate density. b) What is the probability that A lasts less than 2 and B lasts less than 3? c) Determine the joint CDF. d) Determine the probability that both components are functioning at time t. e) Determine the probability that A is the first to fail. f) Determine the probability that B is the first to fail.

18 Example 2d

19 Example 2e

20

21 Example 3

22 Example 4 (class)

23 Example: Marginal density (class) A bank operates both a drive-up facility and a walk-up window. On a randomly selected day, let X = the proportion of time that the drive-up facility is in use (at least one customer is being served or waiting to be served) and Y = the proportion of time that the walk-up window is in use. The joint PDF is a) What is f X (x)? b) What is f Y (y)?

24 Example: Marginal density (homework) A nut company markets cans of deluxe mixed nuts containing almonds, cashews and peanuts. Suppose the net weight of each can is exactly 1 lb, but the weight contribution of each type of nut is random. Because the three weights sum to 1, a joint probability model for any two gives all necessary information about the weight of the third type. Let X = the weight of almonds in a selected can and Y = the weight of cashews. The joint PDF is a) What is f X (x)? b) What is f Y (y)?

25 Chapter 25: Independent Why’s everything got to be so intense with me? I’m trying to handle all this unpredictability In all probability -- Long Shot, sung by Kelly Clarkson, from the album All I ever Wanted; song written by Katy Perry, Glen Ballard, Matt Thiessen

26 Example: Independent R.V.’s

27 Example: Independence Consider two electrical components, A and B, with respective lifetimes X and Y with marginal shown densities below which are independent of each other. f X (x) = 2e -2x, x > 0, f Y (y) = 5e -5y, y > 0 and f X (x) = f Y (y) = 0 otherwise. What is f X,Y (x,y)?

28 Example: Independent R.V.’s (homework) A nut company markets cans of deluxe mixed nuts containing almonds, cashews and peanuts. Suppose the net weight of each can is exactly 1 lb, but the weight contribution of each type of nut is random. Because the three weights sum to 1, a joint probability model for any two gives all necessary information about the weight of the third type. Let X = the weight of almonds in a selected can and Y = the weight of cashews. The joint PDF is Are X and Y independent?

29 Chapter 26: Conditional Distributions Q : What is conditional probability? A : maybe, maybe not. http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/4914583-f-in-exams

30 Example: Conditional PDF (class)

31 Chapter 27: Expected values http://www.qualitydigest.com/inside/quality-insider-article /problems-skewness-and-kurtosis-part-one.html#

32 Comparison of Expected Values DiscreteContinuous

33 Example: Expected Value (class) a) The following is the density of the magnitude X of a dynamic load on a bridge (in newtons) b) The train to Chicago leaves Lafayette at a random time between 8 am and 8:30 am. Let X be the departure time. What is the expected value in each of the following situations:

34 Chapter 28: Functions, Variance http://quantivity.wordpress.com/2011/05/02/empirical-distribution-minimum-variance/

35 Comparison of Functions, Variances DiscreteContinuous Function (general) Function (X 2 ) Variance SD

36 Example: Expected Value - function (class) a) The following is the density of the magnitude X of a dynamic load on a bridge (in newtons) b) The train to Chicago leaves Lafayette at a random time between 8 am and 8:30 am. Let X be the departure time.

37 Example: Variance (class) a) The following is the density of the magnitude X of a dynamic load on a bridge (in newtons) b) The train to Chicago leaves Lafayette at a random time between 8 am and 8:30 am. Let X be the departure time. What is the variance in each of the following situations:

38 Friendly Facts about Continuous Random Variables - 1

39 Friendly Facts about Continuous Random Variables - 2

40 Chapter 29: Summary and Review http://www.ux1.eiu.edu/~cfadd/1150/14Thermo/work.html

41 Example: percentile


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