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A Blueprint for Greece’s Recovery in a Consolidating Europe Yanis Varoufakis Minister of Finance Hellenic Republic 7 th May 2015.

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Presentation on theme: "A Blueprint for Greece’s Recovery in a Consolidating Europe Yanis Varoufakis Minister of Finance Hellenic Republic 7 th May 2015."— Presentation transcript:

1 A Blueprint for Greece’s Recovery in a Consolidating Europe Yanis Varoufakis Minister of Finance Hellenic Republic 7 th May 2015

2 Source: European Commission (2014), IMF (2014). IMF Baseline Scenario for the Evolution of Debt 2014 – 2019 (% of GDP) - Contribution by factor Backward Induction Dynamic inconsistency

3 Austerity vs nominal GDP Growth 2009 to 2014 Structural Deficit Reduction  Nominal GDP Reduction   Nominal GDP Increase

4 Wage decline vs Export Growth

5 Looking Forward - Investment Privatisations – public equity stake Development Bank (DevBank) to mobilise public assets DevBank collaborates with EIB, Juncker Plan etc DevBank’s shares transferred to pension funds

6 Looking Forward – Private banks Identify the size/composition of NPLs at each bank. Establish the correct special purpose entity structure (BB) Swaps that un-clog the circuits of credit

7 Looking Forward – Real Economy

8 Looking Forward – Synergistic Reforms

9 Looking Forward – Democratic Governance Reforms

10 Elements of an Agreement Immediate reforms Fiscal plans and a sensible DSA Privatisations focused on investment, gvt equity VAT reform An IRS-like Tax and Customs Commission, under the Parliament’s jurisdiction Pension reform Judicial, out-of-court workouts

11 Elements of an Agreement Beyond June Investment Package Public Debt Management Anti-Poverty Drive

12 THANK YOU


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