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Published byChristiana Griffith Modified over 9 years ago
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A Blueprint for Greece’s Recovery in a Consolidating Europe Yanis Varoufakis Minister of Finance Hellenic Republic 7 th May 2015
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Source: European Commission (2014), IMF (2014). IMF Baseline Scenario for the Evolution of Debt 2014 – 2019 (% of GDP) - Contribution by factor Backward Induction Dynamic inconsistency
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Austerity vs nominal GDP Growth 2009 to 2014 Structural Deficit Reduction Nominal GDP Reduction Nominal GDP Increase
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Wage decline vs Export Growth
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Looking Forward - Investment Privatisations – public equity stake Development Bank (DevBank) to mobilise public assets DevBank collaborates with EIB, Juncker Plan etc DevBank’s shares transferred to pension funds
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Looking Forward – Private banks Identify the size/composition of NPLs at each bank. Establish the correct special purpose entity structure (BB) Swaps that un-clog the circuits of credit
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Looking Forward – Real Economy
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Looking Forward – Synergistic Reforms
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Looking Forward – Democratic Governance Reforms
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Elements of an Agreement Immediate reforms Fiscal plans and a sensible DSA Privatisations focused on investment, gvt equity VAT reform An IRS-like Tax and Customs Commission, under the Parliament’s jurisdiction Pension reform Judicial, out-of-court workouts
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Elements of an Agreement Beyond June Investment Package Public Debt Management Anti-Poverty Drive
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THANK YOU
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