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2006 Year End Confectionery Industry Review. USA Market Retail Performance.

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Presentation on theme: "2006 Year End Confectionery Industry Review. USA Market Retail Performance."— Presentation transcript:

1 2006 Year End Confectionery Industry Review

2 USA Market Retail Performance

3 2006 Retail Confectionery Sales 52 week sales estimates January - December 2006 % $Change Confectionery $28.9+2.8% (Chocolate, Sugar, Gum) Sales in billions Estimates are based upon interpretation of IRI retail sales data, NCA Shipment Data, and Euromonitor

4 2006 Retail Channel Performance Channel2006 $ Sales 2006 % Growth Supermarkets$4.3+0.1% *Wal-Mart$3.2+6.7% Mass X Wal-Mart$1.31.5% Convenience Stores$4.2+9.4% Drug Stores$2.4+4.6% *Warehouse Clubs$2.1-0.3 *Dollar Stores$.8Even Vending$1.2+0.5% *Bulk$1.5-0.4 Based on 52 Week Sales – January - December 2006 Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce Sales Figures in billions

5 2006 Retail Category Sales Category $ Sales GrowthCategory Size (000 millions) Misc. Snacks+28.0%$220 Snack/Granola Bars+4.3% $1,915 Coffee +3.0% $3,017 Bakery Snacks+3.5% $860 Salty Snacks+2.6%$7,462 Candy & Gum+1.6%$8,000 Ice Cream -0.3%$4,402 Cereal -0.6%$6,108 Cookies-0.6%$3,919 Carbonated Beverages -1.2% $13,315 Milk -2.9%$10,823 Dry Fruit Snacks -3.5%$510 Information Resources FDMX 52 week sales through December 31, 2006 Supermarkets, Drug and Mass Only

6 Candy and Gum Rank 3rd Among Food Categories IRI Food, Drug & Mass Excluding Wal-Mart 12/31/06

7 2006 Seasonal Performance What Affects Seasonal Sales?  Date/Day of Holiday  The Economy  Consumer Confidence  Consumer Mood  Shopping Patterns/Habits  Merchandising Strength/Visibility

8 Confectionery Seasonal Sales (** in millions of dollars) $ Sales 2006 Valentine’s Day $971 2006 Easter $1,884 2006 Halloween $2,146 2005 Christmas $1,389 Results as of January 2007 Source: Sales figures are compiled by National Confectioners Association based on input from Information Resources, Inc. NCA/CMA Monthly Shipment Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce

9 Holiday200520062007 Valentine’s Day MondayTuesdayWednesday Easter 3/27 4/164/8 Halloween MondayTuesday Wednesday Christmas SundayMondayTuesday Thanksgiving11/2411/2311/22 Shopping Days313233 Holiday Dates/Days

10 Seasonal Confectionery Trends 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 VALENTINE’S -4.0% -3.0% -7.6%+6.5% EASTER -7.6% +5.5% +2.2% -2.2% HALLOWEEN +2.4% +0.7% -0.4% CHRISTMAS -3.5% -1.4% -3.0% * IRI FD&M +0.1% +7.0% +2.3% +2.4%+1.0% +2.8%

11 USA Market 2006 First Eleven Months Manufacturer Performance

12 2006 Confectionery Performance CategoryManf. Sales % Chocolate$6.5 billion +0.9% Non-Choc. $3.1 billion +6.1% NCA Monthly Shipment Reports January – May 2006 Manufacturers’ Shipments January – November 2006


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