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meta From Greek –among, with, after Current: –occurring later than or in succession to –change : transformation –used with the name of a discipline to designate a new but related discipline designed to deal critically with the original one
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Metapopulations Metapopulation: Group of populations linked by migration in which each population has a significant risk of extinction. Persistence of a metapopulation is possible even where extinction of any population within the metapopulation is guaranteed!
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Metapopulation Dynamics Balance of extinction and colonization % occupied patches (P) = 1 - e/c e = extinction rate per occupied patch c = colonization rate per unoccupied patch per occupied patch Extinction if e > c
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VORTEX and Metapopulations Model a population within the metapopulation as a single closed population (c “low”). Model the metapopulation as a single closed population (c “high”). Many current conservation plans are based on metapopulation approaches.
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Natural Metapopulations
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Metapopulations & Fragmentation
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Glanville Fritillary Habitat occurs in discrete patches All populations have a substantial risk of extinction Dispersal occurs among all patches Patch dynamics are asynchronous Ignore population dynamics within a patch
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From: Hanski, I. A., and M. E. Gilpin. 1996. Metapopulation Biology. Academic Press Distribution of Glanville Fritillary metapopulation “network”
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Conservation Implications: Glanville Fritillary From: Hanski, I. A., and M. E. Gilpin. 1996. Metapopulation Biology. Academic Press
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Minimum Viable Metapopulation % occupied patches = 1- e/c e =.5, c=.75 Probability that all three patches go extinct? e # patches Rule of thumb: At least 10-15 well connected, patches are required for long term persistence of metapopulation, UNDER A CLASSIC METAPOPULATION MODEL
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Modifications of Metapopulation Models SOURCE vs. SINK
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Sources vs. Sinks SOURCE (high quality habitat) SINK (low quality habitat) r > 0 λ, R 0 > 1 r < 0 λ, R 0 < 1 dispersal Because sink populations will decline to extinction in the absence of dispersal, immigration from source populations has been termed the RESCUE EFFECT.
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Sources vs. Sinks DEFINED BY DEMOGRAPHY, NOT DENSITY! SOURCE SINK N = 200 r = -0.04 N = 50 r = 2.4
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Conservation Implications: Peregrine Falcon N = 60 0.71 fledglings / / yr. N = 29 0.53 fledglings / / yr. “SOURCE” “SINK” From: Wooton, T. J., and D. A. Bell. 1992. Ecological Applications 2: 307-321.
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Conservation Implications: Peregrine Falcon In order to manage these populations, you have instituted a captive breeding program that produces ~ 50 fledglings per year. Do you supplement the N or S population or ½ in each?
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Conservation Implications: Peregrine Falcon + 50 fledgling to N pop. + 25 fledglings to N pop. + 25 fledglings to S pop. + 50 fledgling to S pop. From: Wooton, T. J., and D. A. Bell. 1992. Ecological Applications 2: 307-321. CONCLUSION: Management of this population is best accomplished by focusing efforts on the northern population
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Source-Sink Caveats Data are difficult to generate. Sink one year could be a source the next! Nevertheless, many species seem to be characterized by source and sink populations. Remains a useful concept, especially where we consider the source-sink concept as a continuum
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VORTEX Food Web
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