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Linkages between the Public & Private Markets Georgiana Fung Small Cap Strategist, MLPF&S 212-449-9189 · georgiana_fung@ml.com May 2007 Georgiana Fung Small Cap Strategist, MLPF&S 212-449-9189 · georgiana_fung@ml.com May 2007 Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 1 1 Merrill Lynch does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 2 Background Public Market Structure Relationship to Private Equity Private Equity Outlook Investments Exits Background Public Market Structure Relationship to Private Equity Private Equity Outlook Investments Exits Outline
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 3 BACKGROUND
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 4 For Every Large Cap, there are 10 Smaller Cap Names Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 5 The Linkages between the Public and Private Equity Markets Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 6 Similarities of Smaller Cap Stocks and Private Equity Characteristics of Smaller Cap stocks & Private Equity vs. Large Cap stocks Less transparent Less recognized Less liquid Faster growth Characteristics of Smaller Cap stocks & Private Equity vs. Large Cap stocks Less transparent Less recognized Less liquid Faster growth
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 7 Information Flow Reduces as Company Size Decreases Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, IBES
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 8 Managers of Less Liquid Assets are More Likely to Provide Value Added Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Lipper
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 9 Smaller and Less Liquid Assets have Outperformed the S&P 500 Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Venture Economics
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 10 PRIVATE EQUITY OUTLOOK
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 11 Private Equity Outlook Investments Capital markets supportive of buyouts Opportunities in smaller cap public equities Exits IPOs expected to be healthy M&A to remain a key driver Investments Capital markets supportive of buyouts Opportunities in smaller cap public equities Exits IPOs expected to be healthy M&A to remain a key driver
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 12 INVESTMENTS Capital markets supportive of buyouts
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 13 Fund Raising Has Gone from Strength to Strength Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Venture Economics
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 14 Investors are Suspect over High Expectations among the Mega-50 Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, I/B/E/S
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 15 Anything but Large Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Lipper, ML High Yield Strategy, Venture Economics (*) Bond issuance and PE data is Quarterly as of Q4/06.
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 16 Capital Markets to Facilitate Deal Making Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Merrill Lynch High Yield Strategy
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 17 LBOs of Smaller Public Companies on the Rise Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Securities Data Corp.
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 18 Relative Values are Not Extreme Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 19 Cost of Being Public Weighs on Smaller Companies Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 20 More Opportunities in Small Cap Stocks Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 21 EXITS IPOs likely to be healthy; M&A to remain the driver
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 22 IPOs Expected to be Healthy Risk taking to curtail appetites for IPOs in the near- term However, healthy markets, a lower cost of capital and rising issuance go hand in hand Risk taking to curtail appetites for IPOs in the near- term However, healthy markets, a lower cost of capital and rising issuance go hand in hand
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 23 Over 400 Companies were Sold by VCs in Each of the Past 3 Years, a Solid Figure Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, VentureOne
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 24 Risk Appetites Unwinding and will Continue Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, VentureOne
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 25 An Improving IPO Backdrop can Fuel a Spate of Additional Fund Raising Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 26 M&A a Key Driver Hunt for growth by larger firms through acquisition Especially true in Healthcare Hunt for growth by larger firms through acquisition Especially true in Healthcare
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 27 Healthcare Increasingly becoming a more Meaningful Part of the Consolidation Wave Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, Securities Data Corp.
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 28 Expectations for Large Pharma Continue to Grind Down Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, I/B/E/S
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 29 Micro Cap Healthcare Offers Higher Growth Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research, I/B/E/S * Private Equity/Micro Cap Proxy
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 30 Smaller Biotech/Drug Sell Below Long-term Average Valuations Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 31 Large Cap Healthcare Companies are Hunting for Growth
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 32 Final Remarks Source: Merrill Lynch Small Cap Research PUBLIC PRIVATE
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Refer to important disclosures on slide 33. 33 Disclaimers
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