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Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts.

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Presentation on theme: "Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts."— Presentation transcript:

1 Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts

2 Columbia River flow, reconstructed from tree rings Gedalof et al., JAWRA, 2005

3 Case Inlet Protection Island Jamestown A record of past climate from geoducks!

4 Geoduck growth 1835-1998 Mean of four series at Protection Island Are Strom, UW

5

6 Baseline Forecast at The Dalles using Older Resampling Methods (Oct 1, 1993 initial conditions) Blue = ensemble mean Red = long-term mean

7 Alaska and PNW salmon production are out of phase (Hare et al 1999, Fisheries)

8 Eco-provinces RegionModelCorrelation Cascade mixed-P(yr) - P(yr-1)0.50 Intermountain semi- desert T(yr) - P(Ap- Se) 0.46

9 Relative trends 1950-1997

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