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MIGRATION, PUBLIC POLICY, and LATINO COMMUNITIES
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DEADLINES! February 22 [today]: submission of optional take-home exams March 1 [next week]: deadline for analytical papers
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NEWS FLASHES ALBA Summit (Havana) Statements by Fidel and Raúl Struggle for relevance (what with Obama) Issues: Colombia, Honduras Present: Cuba, Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador, “several” Caribbean nations Unity Summit for LAC (Cancún) Alternative to OAS Exclusion of USA and Canada (!) Issues: Honduras, Haiti, Falkland/Malvinas Islands
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READING Smith, Talons, ch. 8 Jorge Castañeda, ExMex: From Migrants to Immigrants, ch. 8 (Course Reader 6)
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I. PATTERNS OF MIGRATION INTRODUCTION THE NUMBERS GAME(S) Flows Stocks Proportions Costs and benefits Rates of assimilation
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EMOTIONAL ISSUES AND POLITICAL DEBATES Ethnicity vs. melting pots Diversity vs. tradition Fairness vs. efficiency NAFTA AND MEXICAN MIGRATION Claims and expectations Preliminary realities Hypotheses and prognostications
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Mexican-Origin Population in United States, 1900-2003 Mx-born (9.9)
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Regional Origin of Mexican Migrants
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Geographical Concentration of Mexican Migrants
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Deaths at the Border 2001 = 528 2002 = 470 2003 = 478 2004 = 460 2005 > 500
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Remittances to Mexico, 1990-2003
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MIGRATION AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS Context: joblessness everywhere New entries down (not due to border enforcement, since 95% of migrants without papers get through) Return migration stable (despite concern in Mexico about major increase) Within USA, unemployment among Latino men > Anglo men
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II. QUESTIONS OF PUBLIC POLICY DIMENSIONS ~12 million illegal immigrants in U.S. 55-60% from Mexico 25% of Mexico’s able-bodied male workforce now in U.S. U.S.-Mexican wage ratio ~ 8:1 or 10:1
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PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS Economic threat? Cultural threat? Societal threat?
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THE RANGE OF POLICY CHOICE: LEGAL MIGRATION Revise legal quotas Revise criteria for entry THE RANGE OF POLICY CHOICE: ILLEGAL MIGRATION Strategies for restriction: Building fences Blocking corridors (e.g., Operation Gatekeeper) Withdrawing incentives and benefits (e.g., Prop 187) Punishing employers
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Strategies for opening: Augmenting quotas Guest-worker programs Eliminating barriers Strategies for reduction: Targeting economic development Circulating information Additional steps?
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Bush on Migration: Phase 1: The Whole Enchilada (January-September 11, 2001) Phase 2: Focus on Security Phase 3: The Second Term Temporary amnesty for those here and employed Guest-worker program Eventual path to citizenship
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What Would You Do?
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