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Black-Scholes Pricing cont’d & Beginning Greeks
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Black-Scholes cont’d Through example of JDS Uniphase Pricing Historical Volatility Implied Volatility
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Beginning Greeks & Hedging Hedge Ratios Greeks (Option Price Sensitivities) delta, gamma (Stock Price) rho (riskless rate) theta (time to expiration) vega (volatility) Delta Hedging
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Hedge Ratios Number of units of hedging security to moderate value change in exposed position If trading options: Number of units of underlying to hedge options portfolio If trading underlying: Number of options to hedge underlying portfolio For now: we will act like trading European Call Stock Options with no dividends on underlying stock.
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Delta, Gamma Sensitivity of Call Option Price to Stock Price change (Delta): = N(d 1 ) We calculated this to get option price. Gamma is change in Delta measure as Stock Price changes…. we’ll get to this later!
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Delta Hedging If an option were on 1 share of stock, then to delta hedge an option, we would take the overall position: +C - S = 0 (change) This means whatever your position is in the option, take an opposite position in the stock (+ = bought option sell stock) (+ = sold option buy stock)
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Recall the Pricing Example IBM is trading for $75. Historically, the volatility is 20% ( A call is available with an exercise of $70, an expiry of 6 months, and the risk free rate is 4%. ln(75/70) + (.04 + (.2) 2 /2)(6/12) d 1 = -------------------------------------------- =.70, N(d 1 ) =.7580.2 * (6/12) 1/2 d 2 =.70 - [.2 * (6/12) 1/2 ] =.56, N(d 2 ) =.7123 C = $75 (.7580) - 70 e -.04(6/12) (.7123) = $7.98 Intrinsic Value = $5, Time Value = $2.98
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Hedge the IBM Option Say we bought (+) a one share IBM option and want to hedge it: + C - S means 1 call option hedged with shares of IBM stock sold short (-). = N(d 1 ) =.758 shares sold short.
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Overall position value: Call Option cost = -$ 7.98 Stock (short) gave = +$ 56.85 ( S =.758*75 = 56.85) Overall account value: +$ 48.87 Hedge the IBM Option
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Why a Hedge? Suppose IBM goes to $74. ln(74/70) + (.04 + (.2) 2 /2)(6/12) d 1 = -------------------------------------------- = 0.61, N(d 1 ) =.7291.2 * (6/12) 1/2 d 2 = 0.61 - [.2 * (6/12) 1/2 ] = 0.47, N(d 2 ) =.6808 C = $74 (.7291) - 70 e -.04(6/12) (.6808) = $7.24
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Results Call Option changed: (7.24 - 7.98)/7.98 = -9.3% Stock Price changed: (74 - 75)/75 = -1.3% Hedged Portfolio changed: (Value now –7.24 + (.758*74) = $48.85) (48.85 - 48.87)/48.87 = -0.04%! Now that’s a hedge!
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Hedging Reality #1 Options are for 100 shares, not 1 share. You will rarely have one option to hedge. Both these issues are just multiples! + C - S becomes + 100 C - 100 S for 1 actual option, or + X*100 C - X*100 S for X actual options
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Hedging Reality #2 Hedging Stock more likely: + C - S = 0 becomes algebraically - (1/ ) C + S So to hedge 100 shares of long stock (+), you would sell (-) 1/ options For example, (1/.758) = 1.32 options
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Hedging Reality #3 Convention does not hedge long stock by selling call options (covered call). Convention hedges long stock with bought put options (protective put). Instead of- (1/ ) C + S - (1/ P ) P + S
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Hedging Reality #3 cont’d P = [N(d 1 ) - 1], so if N(d 1 ) < 1 (always), then P < 0 This means - (1/ P ) P + S actually has the same positions in stock and puts ( -(-) = + ). This is what is expected, protective put is long put and long stock.
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Reality #3 Example Remember IBM pricing: ln(75/70) + (.04 + (.2) 2 /2)(6/12) d 1 = -------------------------------------------- =.70, N(d 1 ) =.7580.2 * (6/12) 1/2 d 2 =.70 - [.2 * (6/12) 1/2 ] =.56, N(d 2 ) =.7123 C = $75 (.7580) - 70 e -.04(6/12) (.7123) = $7.98 Put Price = Call Price + X e -rT - S Put = $7.98 + 70 e -.04(6/12) - 75 =$1.59
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Hedge 100 Shares of IBM - (1/ P ) P + S = - 100 * (1/ P ) P + 100 * S P = N(d 1 ) – 1 =.758 – 1 = -.242 - (1/ P ) = - (1/ -.242) = + 4.13 options Thus if “ + “ of + S means bought stock, then “ + “ of +4.13 means bought put options! That’s a protective put!
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Hedge Setup Position in Stock: $75 * 100 = +$7500 Position in Put Options: $1.59 * +4.13 * 100 = +$656.67 Total Initial Position =+$8156.67
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IBM drops to $74 Remember call now worth $7.24 Puts now worth $1.85 * 4.13 * 100 = $ 764.05 Total Position = $7400 + 764.05 = $8164.05 Put Price = Call Price + X e -rT - S Put = $7.24 + 70 e -.04(6/12) - 74 =$1.85
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Results Stock Price changed: (74 - 75)/75 = -1.3% Portfolio changed: (8164.05 – 8156.67) / 8156.67 = +0.09%!!!! Now that’s a hedge!
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