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Enough Water for Enough food? Trends and Prospects in Water Management for Agriculture David Molden IWMI.

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Presentation on theme: "Enough Water for Enough food? Trends and Prospects in Water Management for Agriculture David Molden IWMI."— Presentation transcript:

1 Enough Water for Enough food? Trends and Prospects in Water Management for Agriculture David Molden IWMI

2 Threshold for national food security Developed countries World Asia One liter of water produces one calorie on average Food Supply in Calories

3 Will there be enough water? More people – 6.5 to 9 billion people by 2050 More calories & more meat, fish, milk More food production – need to double grain production by 2050 More water for food – if practices don’t change, water needs for agriculture will double Something has to change

4 Water Scarcity and Climate Change Some areas wetter, some areas drier

5 Investing in Irrigation Irrigation Food price index World Bank lending for irrigation 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 1960 196519701975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 2010 July 2008 Jan 2009 Living Planet index Freshwater Irrigation in SSA

6 Growth in Yields United States China Latin America Sub-Saharan Africa IPCC – yields in SSA will decline by 50% because of climate change It is possible to more than double yields in SSA in spite of climate change.

7 Key Trends in SSA Rapid Water Development Hydropower/energy Rapid urban growth The role of China “Land and Water Grabs” Private sector – contract farming, markets Transboundary water concerns Growth of informal water economies

8 Informal Water Economies

9 Opportunities Water Management

10 Major Pathways to Meet Future Food & Water Demands 1.Improve water productivity (more food/water) – Irrigation systems – Rainfed systems 2.Expand irrigated & rainfed agriculture 3.Promote trade from highly productive to less productive regions 4.Manage demand, consume and waste less

11 Around 70% of the world’s under-nourished live in rural areas where non-agricultural livelihood options are limited. Get water to poor people, use it better Improve and Safeguard Water Access Access to Technologies

12 Irrigation potential developed: Egypt, Morocco, Somalia, South Africa > 75% Botswana, Sudan, Zimbabwe, Madagascar, Mali, Malawi, Uganda 50-75% Rest < 50% % Irrigated Land INDIA: ~50 SSA: 5

13 Upgrade Water Management in Rainfed Landscapes Rainfed land has the highest potential for poverty reduction and water productivity gains. Upgrade Rainfed Agriculture with a range of water management options – pumps, water harvesting, soil moisture, supplemental irrigation, irrigation.

14 Making it happen Seek opportunities: – AWM falls between institutional cracks – Failure to focus on women Focus on agriculture, water access, drinking water & hydropower Its not just about technologies, but about markets, institutions, capacity

15 Thank you


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