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Dr Tatanka
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Tatanka Resources
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Tatanka Resources
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Tatanlka Resources
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Carbon regulation is creating a complex web of opportunities and risks for managers.
Tatanka Resources
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BUFFALO SPARING TATANKA RESOURCES
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Tatanka Resources
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Winrock International
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Relative Size of Carbon Markets (2008)
OFFSET MARKETS ALLOWANCE MARKETS Kyoto Markets: CDM & JI 418.3 mil. tCO2e U.S. Regional & State Markets EU Emissions Trading Scheme 2,981 mil. tCO2e 27.4 mil. tCO2e Chicago Climate Exchange U.S. Voluntary & Pre-compliance Markets New South Wales 69.2 mil. tCO2 54 mil. tCO2e 30.6 mil. tCO2e Source: Source: Ecosystem Marketplace, New Carbon Finance, World Bank Group. Winrock International
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Waxman-Markey H.R.2454 Reduction Targets
(17% by 2020, 42% by 2030, 83% by 2050)
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Options for Compliance
Emissions Cap: 300 tCO2e metric tons CO2 equivalent Allowance transfer (A buys from B) Offset transfer (A buys from B) Tatanka Resources
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AMEREN CO2 OUTPUT AND RISK
Tons CO2 MWh Energy Intensity % Fossil % Hydro % Nuclear 2000: 55,600,000 60,000,000 1,855 80.59 1.77 16.66 Present: 66,000,000 74,400,000 1,773 87.37 2.24 10.16 Future: 66,600,000 75,100,000 87.49 2.22 10.07 TATANKA RESOURCES
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So lets do a little math By 2015
AMEREN U.E. POTENTIAL CARBON LIABILITY 65,000,000 TONS PER YEAR x % = 13,000,000 TONS TO BE REDUCED OR OFFSET AT $ 10 PER TON = $130,000,000 $ 20 PER TON = $ 260,000,000 $ 40 PER TON = $ 520,000,000 Tatanka Respurces
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ESTIMATED TONS OF OFFSETS NEEDED BY THE U.S. POWER SECTOR BY 2020
2 BILLION TONS PER YEAR TATANKA RESOURCES
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Winrock International
Talking Points Winrock International
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Winrock International
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VOLUNTARY MARKETS HAVE PAVED THE WAY FOR COMING COMPLIANCE ( REGULATORY) MARKETS
ASKING AND ANSWERING BASIC QUESTIONS DEVELOPING INFRASTRUTURE AND TEMPLATES MAKING THE FIRST ROUNDS OF MISTAKES, STANDING BACK UP AND CONTINUING ON Tatanka Resources
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Tatanka Resources
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CARBON MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE
STANDARDS SETTERS REGISTRIES AND EXCHANGES ALL THE PEOPLE WHO GET THE WORK DONE (CONSULTANTS, AGGREGATORS, VERIFIERS, LAWYERS, FORESTERS, SOIL SCIENTISTS, CHEMISTS ETC. ETC.) Winrock International
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ROLE OF STANDARDS SETTERS IN CARBON MARKETS
DEFINITION MEASUREMENT CERTIFICATION RE-CERTIFICATION TATANKA RESOURCES
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PRINCIPAL U.S. VOLUNTARY MARKET STANDARDS
CHICAGO CLIMATE EXCHANGE CALIFORNIA CLIMATE ACTION REGISTRY AMERICAN CARBON REGISTRY REGIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS INIATIVE ( RGGI) U.S. E.P.A. CLIMATE LEADERS VOLUNTARY CARBON STANDARD GOLD STANDARD AND OTHERS TATANKA RESOURCES
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Ex. - Project Types that Create Offsets
Activity Category GHG Project Type Energy efficiency Transport Buildings Vehicle fleet efficiency Building insulation Forestry Tree planting Conservation Watershed reforestation Forest protection Methane capture & destruction Landfills Livestock Landfill gas capture and destruction Livestock manure management Renewable energy (LDCs) Grid connected Off grid Small hydro PV home lighting systems Industrial process Carbon capture & storage Fuel switching Enhanced oil recovery Coal-to-gas fired electricity generation Winrock International Winrock International
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U.S. Carbon Offset Transactions (2008)
Tatanka Resources
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Tatanka Resources
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How the Trading Process Works
Project Owner/Sellers A project developer (e.g., company, government, individual) undertakes a project action to reduce/remove GHG emissions. For example, Methane capture Reforestation Solar water heating Independent verifier confirms proper GHG measurement, accounting and reporting A verified project action creates verified carbon offsets Project developer registers verified offsets on a registry Carbon Offset Buyers Through registries: Governments, companies, and individuals in the U.S. transaction with project developers to in order to buy carbon offsets Some buy carbon offsets to help satisfy state and regional mandatory obligations Others buy carbon offsets to apply toward voluntary reduction commitments, or to save them in order to meet anticipated federal mandatory obligations Carbon Offsets $$ This diagram illustrates how carbon trading works in concept. Tatanka Resources
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What is a Transaction Carbon Registry?
A transaction registry is a marketplace – a place where buyers and sellers meet to trade offsets A credible transaction registry uses standards and transparent rules to ensure legal ownership, environmental integrity, and market transparency for every offset traded Tatanka Resources
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WHAT DOES A REGISTRY DO? REVIEWS AND ACCEPTS PROJECT DOCUMENTATION AS KEEPER OF THE KEYS CREATES A UNIQUE FINANCIAL ASSET ISSUES IT TO THE OWNERS TRACKS OWNERSHIP AND TRANSFERS CANCELS THE CREDITS WHEN THEY ARE USED AS OFFSETS TATANKA RESOURCES
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Minimum Normative Reference Standards for a Credible Registry
GHG Protocol for Project Accounting (2005) ISO Series 14064: 2006, Parts 1-3, project GHG quantificatin ISO 14065: 2007, verifier accreditation requirements United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA), Climate Leader Program, GHG Inventory Protocol (May 2005) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (2007) Winrock International
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U.S. Offset Market Characteristics
The U.S. carbon offset market (excluding CCX) grew from US$262 million in 2007 to US$397 million in 2008; estimated growth to US$ 1 billion in 2009. Both volumes and prices still going up, in spite of market uncertainties, on average price of $7.34 in the U.S. Range from US$2 to US$15. Corporations continue to set reduction targets, but pre-compliance demand is beginning to dominate with the anticipation of cap-and-trade as part of the American Clean Energy and Security Action (ACESA). Voluntary buyers interested in low risk, “high charisma” carbon (e.g., forest, energy efficiency). New administration is serious about climate change. This helps with the US market Charismatic carbon carbon offsets of special interest to investors, such as forest preservation and community development, school lighting, etc. in contrast with e.g., gas flaring offsets. These offsets command a premium in the market. Tatanka Resources
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Winrock International
Who Buys, Who Sells & How Buyers include companies that buy carbon offsets for their own operations and/or on behalf of their customers (e.g., airlines), events (e.g., 2005 Gleneagles G8 Summit), and individuals who want to be “carbon neutral”. Includes hedge funds who buy as speculators. Buys from a transaction registry. Sellers include project developers who invest and undertake a qualifying project action that reduces or removes GHG emissions. Sells on a transaction registry. Market intermediaries include offset wholesalers who buy offsets from project developers and sell them to retailers, and brokers who connect project developers and wholesalers to compliance buyers, CSR buyers, aggregators, and other large buyers. Convene buyers and sellers on a transaction registry. Winrock International
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Tatanka Resources
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Tatanka Resources
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