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Explaining Economic Development A Survey Saving physical capital, k Population growth Human capital, h Nutrition/healthEducationOpennessGovernment Rule of law Corruption Ethnic fractionalization Inequality –Accumulation or instability?
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Explaining Economic Development GeographyLatitude Access to sea Natural capital Africa: a special case? Disease environment Ethnic fractionalization Social capability Population density Terms – of – trade shocks
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Scatter Diagrams Cause of high per capita income? Effect of high per capita income? Some of both?
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Latitude … and geographic features Latitude helps Seasons Heat Disease Eurasia vs. the Americas Propagating advances Small states (Europe) vs. Large state (China) – –Different strokes/competition vs. Uniformity/Complacency ? War Progress ? Neighbors spillovers Mexico has U.S./Poland has Germany (EU) Brazil has Argentina/Zimbabwe has South Africa But … Reversals of Fortune
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Access to sea Trade specialization productivity Trade technology transfer/idea transfer
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Natural Resources Endowments Economic Organization Income Distribution Institutions Growth Mineral wealth: Mexico/Bolivia/Peru Draft labor Inequality Ignorance is power Staple crops for world market: sugar, cotton, coffee,… Plantation agriculture Slave labor Ignorance is power Diversified foodstuffs Independent farmers/Homogeneous migrants/Equality Institutions supportive of capitalism
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Embarrassments of Riches: The Resource Curse Natural Capital:Total Capital High Lagging Development Resource boom Capital Inflow Bubble Debt Crisis Dutch disease: Real overvaluation Protection in reverse Export Low Tech Raw Material – Import Manufactures/High Tech Rent seeking Dysfunctional conflict Sierra Leone Congo
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